Free NFL Picks & Parlays

NFL – Thursday Night Picks – Week 7

October 17, 2024

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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

DENVER BRONCOS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Thursday, October 17th – Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

TEAM TRENDS

The Saints’ opponents have scored 1st in 8 of their last 9 games vs. AFC teams.
The Saints have lost their last 4 games.
4 of the Broncos’ last 5 road games vs. NFC teams have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM	W	L	HOME	ROAD
DEN	3	3	1-2	2-1
NO	2	4	1-2	1-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM	PPG	OPPG	DIFF	TOT.AV.
DEN	18.7	16.0	+2.7	34.7
NO	27.8	24.5	+3.3	52.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD	POINTS	RESULT
DEN	OVER	DEN
-1.5	36.5	33-10

NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

Alvin Kamara has a TD in the Saints’ last 4 games after a home loss.
Courtland Sutton has a TD in 4 of the Broncos’ last 5 October games.
Bo Nix has a TD in the Broncos’ last 2 games vs. NFC teams.
Juwan Johnson has a TD in his last 2 Thursday games.

BEST ROI PICKS

Denver Broncos Moneyline – Hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Denver Broncos 1H Moneyline – Hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
New Orleans Saints 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.30 Units / 44% ROI)

MATCH PREVIEW

In the midst of a four-game losing streak, the Saints welcome the Denver Broncos at Caesars Superdome on Thursday Night Football, as former Saints head coach Sean Payton makes his return to Louisiana.

The Saints are coming off a 51-27 loss to the Buccaneers, a game in which they allowed their highest point total since 2012. QB Spencer Rattler made his first NFL start and, while showing flashes, couldn’t secure the win.

The Saints staged a big second-quarter comeback to take a 27-24 lead at halftime after being down 17-0 early, but the game slipped away as the Buccaneers rattled off 27 unanswered points in the second half.

The Broncos’ Week 6 ended in a 23-16 loss to the Chargers at Empower Field. Although the score suggests a closer game, Denver was down 23-0 entering the fourth quarter and only managed a late surge.

Adding to the Broncos’ woes, star cornerback Pat Surtain suffered a concussion early in the game and is unlikely to play Thursday. Luckily for Denver, New Orleans are dealing with injuries to their top receivers Chris Olave (concussion) and Rashid Shaheed (knee), leaving Rattler with limited weapons in his second start.

PICK – DENVER -1.5

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