NFL – Thursday Night Picks – Week 5

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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ ATLANTA FALCONS

Thursday, October 3rd

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Falcons have scored first in their last 5 games.
  • The Buccaneers have scored last in their last 7 road games.
  • The Buccaneers have won 6 of their last 7 games as underdogs.
  • The Falcons’ last 7 Thursday games have gone unders.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TB 3 1 2-1-0 1-0-0
ATL 2 2 1-2-0 1-0-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TB 24.2 19.5 +4.7 43.7
ATL 18.7 21.2 -2.5 40.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
TB OVER
+1.5 43.5
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Chris Godwin has a TD in 3 of the Buccaneers’ last 4 games.
  • Mike Evans has a TD in 3 of the Buccaneers’ last 4 games vs NFC opponents.
  • Baker Mayfield has a TD in each of the Buccaneers’ last 2 games vs NFC opponents.
  • Kyle Pitts has a TD in 3 of the Falcons’ last 5 home games.

BEST ROI PICKS

  1. Tampa Bay 2Q Moneyline – Hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+8.55 Units / 78% ROI)
  2. Tampa Bay to Score Last (Away Games) – Scored last in 8 of their last 9 away games (+8.10 Units / 85% ROI)
  3. Tampa Bay 2Q Spread – Covered the 2Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)

MATCH PREVIEW

The Week Five NFL schedule kicks off Thursday night with an NFC South showdown between the Buccaneers and Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Buccaneers (3-1) lead the division, averaging 24.3 points per game. In their most recent outing, Tampa Bay surged ahead early and cruised to a 33-16 win over Philadelphia, scoring the first 24 points.

Baker Mayfield torched the Eagles’ secondary for 347 passing yards and two TDs, while Mike Evans added a two-yard touchdown and racked up 94 receiving yards.

The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) raised eyebrows this offseason by signing QB Kirk Cousins and drafting QB Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth pick.

The Falcons have some injuries along the offensive line and are scoring a tad south of 19 points per game. On Sunday, Younghoe Koo nailed a 58-yard field goal with two seconds remaining to lift Atlanta to a 26-24 home win over New Orleans.

The Falcons failed to score an offensive touchdown on Sunday, and Kirk Cousins is struggling behind an injured offensive line.

PICK – TAMPA BAY +1.5

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