NFL – Free Sunday NFL Picks – Week 3

*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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NEW YORK GIANTS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Giants have lost 8 of their last 9 road games.
• 5 of the Browns’ last 6 games have gone Overs.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Giants to Score Last – Scored last in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 71% ROI)
2. Browns 1Q Game Total Over – Hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
3. Giants 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 57% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Giants visit the Browns at Huntington Bank Field, seeking their first win of the season.

In their last outing, the Giants made NFL history by scoring three touchdowns, allowing none, yet losing 21-18 to Washington. Rookie Malik Nabers stood out, with 10 catches for 127 yards and a touchdown, ranking fourth in the NFL in receiving yards.

The Browns bounced back with an 18-13 win over the Jaguars, highlighted by a key safety from Alex Wright late in the fourth quarter. Cleveland’s defense has been a force, allowing just 166.3 passing yards per game with a 57.0% completion rate since last season, both league-leading stats.

PICK – UNDER 39.5 TOTAL POINTS

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GREEN BAY PACKERS @ TENNESSEE TITANS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Titans have won the first half in 8 of their last 9 games.
• The Packers have covered 5 of their last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Packers 1Q Moneyline – Hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+7.40 Units / 60% ROI)
2. Titans 1H Moneyline – Hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 40% ROI)
3. Packers Team Total Over (Away Games) – Hit the Team Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

Green Bay and Tennessee will clash at Nissan Stadium for the first time since Week 11 of the 2022 season.

The Titans are off to a tough start in 2024, falling to 0-2 after a 24-17 loss to the Jets, their second straight loss by 7 points. Tennessee’s offense gained 300 yards, but quarterback Will Levis struggled with turnovers, committing two in the loss.

The Packers, on the other hand, had their first win of the season by beating the Colts 16-10. With Malik Willis filling in for the injured Jordan Love, Green Bay focused on its rushing game, notching up 261 yards as a team, with Josh Jacobs adding 151 yards on 32 carries.

If Love stays on the sidelines, Willis will look to continue his good play and seek revenge against the Titans, who traded him to Green Bay for a 2025 seventh-round pick before the season.

PICK – OVER 37.5 TOTAL POINTS

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CHICAGO BEARS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Bears have scored first in 7 of their last 9 games.
• The Bears have covered 4 of their last 5 games.
• The Colts have lost 4 of their last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Colts 1Q Game Total Over – Hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 35% ROI)
2. Bears 1Q Spread – Covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
3. Bears to Score First – Scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Bears and Colts meet at Lucas Oil Stadium for the first time since Week 4 of the 2020 season.

The Colts are coming off a 16-10 loss to the Packers, where they were smashed on the ground, giving up 261 rushing yards. To make matters worse for Indianapolis, defensive tackle DeForest Buckner has been placed on IR with an ankle sprain, further weakening their run defense. The Colts have been poor at home, posting a 4-11 record in their last 15 home games.

The Bears are looking to bounce back from a 19-13 loss to the Texans, where their offense struggled. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams was sacked seven times, threw two interceptions, and has yet to throw a touchdown in 2024.

After being a strong rushing team last season, Chicago’s ground game has faltered, and improvement in that area could help ease Williams’ transition into the league.

PICK – CHICAGO +1.5

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HOUSTON TEXANS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Sunday, September 22nd, 2024

TEAM TRENDS

• 4 of the Vikings’ last 5 games as underdogs have gone overs.
• The Texans have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games as road favs.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Texans 1H Moneyline – Hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+13.75 Units / 45% ROI)
2. Vikings 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
3. Texans 2Q Moneyline – Hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+8.80 Units / 37% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

Both the Texans and Vikings are off to a 2-0 start in 2024 and will battle for a perfect record at U.S. Bank Stadium.

The Vikings had a 23-17 upset over San Francisco in Week 2, thanks to a strong defensive showing that forced two turnovers from Brock Purdy. Justin Jefferson sparked the offense with a 97-yard touchdown, helping Minnesota maintain their lead.

The Texans beat the Bears 19-13 at home, with Nico Collins leading the charge with eight catches for 135 yards and a TD. Collins now ranks first in the NFL for receiving yards (252) this season.

Houston’s defense was great, forcing rookie quarterback Caleb Williams into two interceptions and sacking him seven times. The Texans and Vikings last met in 2020, with Minnesota winning 31-23. The Vikings have won all five of their last matchups against Houston.

PICK – MINNESOTA +2.5

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PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Eagles’ last 5 games, the first score has been an opponent Field Goal.
• The Eagles have lost their last 4 road games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Philadelphia 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
2. New Orleans 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
3. New Orleans 3Q Moneyline – Hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 32% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Eagles face a challenge as they head to Caesars Superdome to take on the league’s hottest team.

Coming off a big 47-10 win over the Panthers in Week 1, the Saints followed up with a 44-19 road upset of the Cowboys in Week 2. Alvin Kamara was awesome with 180 total yards and four touchdowns, placing him at the top of the league in TDs.

The Eagles are reeling from an upset 22-21 home loss to the Falcons. Despite Jalen Hurts adding 85 rushing yards and a TD, a last-minute game-winning drive from Kirk Cousins and a controversial decision to kick a field goal instead of going for it on fourth down proved costly for Philadelphia. With a struggling defense, the Eagles will need to tighten up quickly to contain New Orleans’ high-powered offense.

PICK – NEW ORLEANS -2.5

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LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Steelers have covered 3 of their last 4 games vs the Chargers.
• The Steelers have won 5 of their last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Pittsburgh to Score Last – Scored last in 7 of their last 8 home games (+5.95 Units / 62% ROI)
2. Chargers 3Q Game Total Under – Hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
3. Pittsburgh 4Q Moneyline – Hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 home games (+5.10 Units / 49% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

Both sitting at 2-0 in 2024, the Chargers and Steelers clash at Acrisure Stadium in a battle to stay unbeaten.

The Steelers are fresh off a hard-earned 13-6 win over the Broncos, marking their lowest winning score since 2015.

The Chargers had it pretty easy, cruising past the Panthers 26-3 in their largest winning margin since 2019. Los Angeles hasn’t opened a season 3-0 since 2002, and they’ll look to break that streak.

These teams last met in 2021, when the Chargers won a 41-37 shootout. Justin Herbert was electric, throwing for 382 yards and three TDs while adding 90 rushing yards. However, Herbert has had a quiet start to 2024, with just 274 passing yards across two games, ranking 27th in the league.

PICK – UNDER 35.5 TOTAL POINTS

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DENVER BRONCOS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• 6 of the Broncos’ last 8 games vs NFC teams have gone overs.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Denver 1Q Spread – Covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 37% ROI)
2. Tampa Bay to Score Last – Scored last in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
3. Denver to Score First – Scored first in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

The undefeated Buccaneers will host the winless Broncos at Raymond James Stadium.

The Broncos are coming off a 13-6 loss to the Steelers, marking their lowest score since Week 12, 2020. Rookie QB Bo Nix struggled again, throwing two interceptions and failing to find the end zone for the second straight week. Denver’s ground game was also worrying, finishing with just 64 rushing yards, with Nix leading the team with 25.

The Buccaneers continued their strong start by upsetting the Lions 20-16 in Week 2. Baker Mayfield combined with Chris Godwin for seven receptions, 117 yards, and a touchdown, helping Mayfield rank tied for first in the NFL for touchdown passes through two games.

The Bucs will now aim to improve their impressive 5-1 record over their last six home games.

PICK – TAMPA BAY -6.5

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CAROLINA PANTHERS @ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Raiders have covered 5 of their last 6 games.
• The Panthers have lost their last 10 road games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Raiders 2Q Spread – Covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 home games (+5.80 Units / 64% ROI)
2. Raiders to Score First – Scored first in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
3. Carolina 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Raiders will play their home opener against the Panthers at Allegiant Stadium after securing their first win of 2024 with a 26-23 upset over the Ravens in Week 2.

Gardner Minshew II was sharp, completing 30 of 38 passes for 276 yards and a touchdown, while Davante Adams and rookie tight end Brock Bowers combined for 18 catches and 208 yards.

The Panthers are coming off a 26-3 loss to the Chargers, which prompted the team to bench rookie QB Bryce Young after another poor showing. Young, who was selected with a high cost in draft picks, has found it hard, throwing for just 245 yards with zero touchdowns and three interceptions in two games.

Veteran Andy Dalton will replace Young as the Panthers look to bounce back.

PICK – LAS VEGAS -5.5

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MIAMI DOLPHINS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Dolphins have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• The Dolphins’ last 4 games have gone unders.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Miami 2Q Game Total Over – Hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 44% ROI)
2. Seattle 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 37% ROI)
3. Miami 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 38% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Dolphins and Seahawks meet for the first time since Week 4, 2020, at Lumen Field.

The Seahawks remain unbeaten after a 23-20 OT win against the Patriots in Week 2, with QB Geno Smith impressing by completing 33 of 44 passes for 327 yards, including a touchdown to D.K. Metcalf, who caught 10 passes for 129 yards.

The Dolphins had a 31-10 loss to the Bills, which was made worse by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa sustaining his third diagnosed concussion.

With Tagovailoa placed on IR, the Dolphins will turn to backup quarterback Skylar Thompson. Running back De’Von Achane stood out in the loss, recording 165 yards from scrimmage, leading the team in both rushing and receiving, and will likely play a big role in supporting Thompson against Seattle’s defense.

PICK – OVER 41.5 TOTAL POINTS

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BALTIMORE RAVENS @ DALLAS COWBOYS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Ravens have won their last 9 games vs NFC opponents.
• In 6 of the Cowboys’ last 7 games, their opponents have scored first.
• The Ravens have covered 8 of their last 10 games following a loss.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Ravens 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 37% ROI)
2. Ravens 1H Moneyline – Hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+7.20 Units / 48% ROI)
3. Cowboys 2Q Game Total Over – Hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

The Ravens and Cowboys will meet for the first time since Week 13 of the 2020 season at AT&T Stadium.

Dallas, fresh off a season-opening win, were shocked by a 44-19 loss to the Saints in Week 2, with Alvin Kamara tallying 180 total yards and four TDs. The defeat was only the Cowboys’ second in their last 18 home games.

Meanwhile, the Ravens also suffered a disappointing loss, falling 26-23 to the Raiders after blowing a 10-point fourth-quarter lead. With a 0-2 start for the first time since 2015, Baltimore faces a pivotal stretch, taking on the Cowboys, Bills, and Bengals over the next three weeks as they aim to turn their season around.

PICK – BALTIMORE -1.5

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SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ LOS ANGELES RAMS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The 49ers have won 12 of their last 13 games vs NFC West teams.
• 4 of the 49ers’ last 5 games as favs vs the Rams have gone overs.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. 49ers 1H Game Total Over – Hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
2. Rams 1Q Spread – Covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
3. Rams 2Q Moneyline (Home Games) – Hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 home games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

NFC West rivals, the 49ers and Rams clash at SoFi Stadium.

The Rams are coming off a 41-10 loss to the Cardinals, their largest losing margin since 2019. They quickly fell behind 21-0 in the second quarter, with Kyler Murray throwing three touchdowns. To add insult to injury, after placing Puka Nacua on IR, Cooper Kupp suffered an ankle injury, sidelining him for several games.

The 49ers also faced a tough 23-17 loss to the Vikings, extending their road losing streak to Minnesota to eight games.

Brock Purdy was sacked six times, and the offense took another hit with Deebo Samuel sustaining a calf injury, joining Christian McCaffrey on the injured list.

Both squads will be looking to bounce back despite injury challenges.

PICK – SAN FRANCISCO -6.5

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DETROIT LIONS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Lions have won 4 of their last 5 games vs the Cardinals.
• The Lions have covered 5 of their last 6 road games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Detroit to Cover the Spread – Covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
2. Detroit 3Q Game Total Over – Hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 38% ROI)
3. Arizona 2H Moneyline – Hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.10 Units / 89% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

Both with a 1-1 to start the season, the Lions and Cardinals match up at State Farm Stadium.

The Cardinals are coming off a huge 41-10 smashing of the Rams, their largest winning margin since 2016. Kyler Murray and rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. bounced back after a quiet Week 1, combing on four occasions for 130 yards and two TDs. Murray threw three touchdown passes overall, leading the Cardinals’ offensive.

The Lions fell 20-16 to the Buccaneers at Ford Field. Despite Jared Goff attempting 55 passes—one of the highest totals of his career—he failed to throw a TD and was intercepted twice.

Arizona will aim to secure its first win over Detroit since 2015. Both teams will be eager to improve to 2-1 and gain some swagger early in the season.

PICK – DETROIT -3.0

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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ ATLANTA FALCONS

Sunday, September 22nd

TEAM TRENDS

• The Chiefs have covered 7 of their last 8 games.
• The Chiefs have won their last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

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BEST ROI BETS

1. Chiefs 4Q Game Total Under – Hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 19 games (+14.75 Units / 67% ROI)
2. Chiefs 3Q Spread – Covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 43% ROI)
3. Falcons 4Q Moneyline (Home Games) – Hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 home games (+2.15 Units / 24% ROI)

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MATCHUP PREVIEW

Coming off a thrilling road win on Monday Night Football, the Falcons will take the spotlight again when they host the Chiefs.

The Falcons pulled off a 22-21 upset over the Eagles, highlighted by a game-winning drive led by Kirk Cousins. With just 1:39 left on the clock, Cousins pulled off a six-play, 70-yard march, culminating in a TD pass to Drake London.

The Chiefs held on for a narrow 26-25 win over the Bengals at home. A crucial 4th-and-16 pass interference penalty by the Bengals allowed Kansas City to stay alive, leading to a game-winning 51-yard field goal.

The Chiefs, aiming to improve their impressive 11-2 record in their last 13 road games, will have to adjust without running back Isiah Pacheco, who suffered a fractured fibula and will miss 6-8 weeks.

Both squads are looking to build on their dramatic wins in this prime-time clash.

PICK – KANSAS CITY -3.0