NFL – Thursday Night Picks & Props – Week 2

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*These free NFL picks and NFL player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

BUFFALO BILLS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS

Thursday, September 12th

TEAM TRENDS

  • 5 of the Bills’ last 6 games have gone Overs.
  • The Dolphins have failed to cover their last 4 games.
  • The Bills have been the first to 15 points in their last 15 games vs the Dolphins.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BUF 1 0 1-0-0 0-0-0
MIA 1 0 1-0-0 0-0-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BUF 34.0 28.0 +6.0 62.0
MIA 20.0 17.0 +3.0 37.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BUF UNDER BUF
+2.5 48.5 31-10
NFL PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Josh Allen has at least 1 TD in 8 of the Bills’ last 9 games.
  • Raheem Mostert has at least 1 TD in 5 of his last 6 regular season games.
  • Khalil Shakir has a TD in the Bills’ last 3 games.
  • Tyreek Hill has a TD in the Dolphins’ last 3 games.

ROI BETS OF THE NIGHT

  • Miami – 3Q Spread: Covering the 3Q Spread in 9 of their last 10 home games gives a 90% win rate.
  • Miami – 2Q Game Total Over: Hitting the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games gives a 76% win rate.
  • Buffalo – 3Q Moneyline: Winning the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games results in a 55% win rate, still solid but not as impressive as our top 2.

MATCHUP PREVIEW

Both the Bills and Dolphins head into their Week 2 Thursday Night Football clash at Hard Rock Stadium with some swagger after wins in their season openers.

The Dolphins pulled off a gutsy 20-17 win over the Jaguars, erasing a 14-point second-quarter deficit, with Jason Sanders nailing a 52-yard game-winning field goal as time expired.

WR Tyreek Hill, despite some pre-game issues, finished with 130 receiving yards and an 80-yard touchdown.

The Bills overcame a similar 14-point second-quarter deficit to overcome the Cardinals 34-28 at Highmark Stadium. Josh Allen notched himself four touchdowns—two through the air and two on the ground.

Buffalo won both matchups against Miami last season, including a dominant 48-20 home win and a 21-14 win in Miami. Allen was great in those games, pulling out 679 passing yards and six touchdowns. Buffalo has now won four straight against the Dolphins.

PICK – BUFFALO BILLS +2.5

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