NBA Playoff Picks – Day 20

nba tips
nba tips

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly. 

NBA Playoff Picks


Tonight’s Midfield NBA Playoff Parlay

Cleveland @ Toronto – Total Points Over 213.0

San Antonio @ Houston – Total Points Over 213.5


Cleveland @ Toronto

EASTERN CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS – GAME 3

CLEVELAND LEADS 2-0

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Cleveland  Over  Cleveland
-4.5 213.0 115-94

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Cleveland 31-10 20-21
Toronto 28-13 23-18

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Cleveland 110.3 107.2 +3.1
Toronto 106.9 102.6 +4.3

SERIES

GAME 2 Cleveland Toronto 125 : 103
GAME 1 Cleveland Toronto 116 : 105
13.04.17 Cleveland Toronto 83 : 98
06.12.16 Toronto Cleveland 112 : 116
16.11.16 Cleveland Toronto 121 : 117
29.10.16 Toronto Cleveland 91 : 94

The Say-

The Cavaliers are 7-1 against the Raptors in their last 8 with that one loss coming at the hands of a under strength Cleveland team (LeBron and Kyrie rested). The Cavs have a stranglehold over the Raptors and with the trade deadlines deals in Ibaka and Tucker, the Defense is still letting in over 120 points per game in the two games so far.

When these two teams met in the ECF last season, Game 3 & 4 were turning points where the Raptors were able to even the series before LeBron took over giving 38 & 26 point victories respectively to clinch the series.

The spotlight is on none other than DeMar DeRozan who averaged 27.3 points per game in the regular season, although has slumped to 12 points per game in this series. Eventough the Raptors aren’t having too much trouble on offense, keeping up with the high scoring Cavs needs more fire power from their max guard.

Even with all the stats and trends against the Raptors, you can still feel the home court advantage being enough for maybe one victory during this trip. However with the Cavs on a 6 game streak in the post season, we all sort of have to ride the LeBron wave until something happens.

Picks –

The Best Pick – Cleveland WIN

Feeling Lucky – Total Points Over 213.0


San Antonio @ Houston

WESTERN CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS – GAME 2

SERIES TIED 1-1

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Houston  Over  San Antonio
+5.0 213.5 103-92

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
San Antonio 31-10 30-11
Houston 30-11 25-16

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
San Antonio 105.3 98.1 +7.2
Houston 115.3 109.6 +5.7

SERIES

GAME 2 Spurs Rockets 121 : 96
GAME 1 Spurs Rockets 99 : 126
07.03.17 Spurs Rockets 112 : 110
21.12.16 Rockets Spurs 100 : 102
13.11.16 Rockets Spurs 100 : 106
10.11.16 Spurs Rockets 99 : 101

The Say-

For the first time in a while during the Popovich reign, the Spurs will have to push through the post season without Champion point guard Tony Parker. Although on the decline, the experience lost at the position will definitely make an impact on the court in leadership while putting even more responsibility on Kawhi. Patty Mills, step up!

The last two matchups have gone against the trends from the regular season where all 4 games were decided by an average margin of 3 (Spurs 3-1) while the post season series average margin is 24.

Game 1 was a blowout where Houston dominated early and the threes were going in. The Rockets will continue to live by the three where in game 1, they shot 50 times from the arc in compared to 34 in game 2.

San Antonio have not lost a game in Houston since Christmas Day 2015.

Picks –

Best Pick: Total Points Over 213.5

Feeling Lucky Pick – San Antonio WIN