Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens
A snore-fest is on the cards as strugglers Baltimore host the winless Cleveland Browns. The Ravens elite defence should have few problems against this Browns offense, and they will need their defense on point given how much Joe Flacco and their offense has struggled. Each of the last three meetings between the Browns and Ravens have been won by the road team.
Line bet – Browns +8.5
Best bet – Ravens to win @ $1.22
Feeling lucky – Dennis Pitta to score first touchdown @ $11.00
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
The Texans are yet to win on the road while the Jaguars are 2-6 overall and wallowing at the bottom of the AFC South standings. Any slim chance of a revival goes on the line here; the Texans have won 9 of the last 11 games in the series.
Line bet – Jaguars at the line +1.5
Best bet – Jaguars +8.5 points @ $1.28
Feeling lucky – Jaguars to win by 1-6 points @ $3.80
Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints
The elite Denver defence was shredded by Oakland last weekend and will face a similar challenge this weekend against a New Orleans team that ranks second in scoring at 30.2 points per game and they have passed 32 points in five of their eight games this season. Denver has scored exactly 34 points in its last four games against the Saints.
Line bet – Saints at the line -1.5
Best bet – Broncos +8.5 points @ $1.28
Feeling lucky – Saints at the line and game total score over 48 points @ $3.30
Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets
A tight defence takes on a quarterback who has played one game in his career in this ‘clash’. The Jets have been terrible, while the Rams rank dead last in scoring offense. Tumbleweeds will move at a faster pace than this game, despite each of the last four games between the Rams and Jets resulting in the total game score being over the market line.
Line bet – Rams at the line +2.5
Best bet – Total game score under 42.5 points @ $1.64
Feeling lucky – Jets to score under 15.5 points @ $3.55
Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles
The elite Falcons offense takes on the top-shelf, but staggering Eagles defence in this NFC showdown. Despite being last in their division, the Eagles are just a game out of a wildcard spot and have beaten the Vikings and Steelers already at home this season. Atlanta have covered the spread in their last six away games and the game total score has passed the market line in eight of their nine games this season.
Line bet – Eagles at the line +0.5
Best bet – Total game score over 49.5 points @ $1.87
Feeling lucky – Eagles to score between 21-23 points @ $6.60 (have been between 20-23 points in their last five games)
Kansas City Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers
The best team no-one talks about is the Kansas City Chiefs, who have won their last four games while conceding less than 15 points a game. The Panthers eked out a win over the Rams last weekend, but are miles away from where they were last season and will struggle offensively against an elite Chiefs secondary. The market line is bewildering in this game, with Carolina installed as favourite.
Line bet (stealing money) – Chiefs at the line +3.5
Best bet (of the season arguably) – Chiefs to win @ $2.30
Feeling lucky – Chiefs to win by more than 5 poins @ $3.90 OR Panthers to score under 15.5 points @ $5.50
Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bears are fresh off the bye, and will be looking to continue the momentum from a stunning win against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 8. Tampa Bay concede the fourth-most points per game and the fifth-most yards; they are woeful defensively. The Buccaneers have lost eight of their last nine games when playing as a favourite.
Line bet – Bears at the line +1.5
Best bet – game total over the market line
Feeling lucky – Bears to win by 1-6 points
Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Redskins
Remember when the Vikings were the darlings of every NFL fans? Me neither, and it was only three weeks ago! Reality has struck them in the face as their offense is so bad, their defence cannot bail them out anymore. Each of the last four games between Washington and Minnesota have resulted in the game total going over the market line, and the Redskins will look to keep the game up-tempo as they know Minnesota will struggle to pass 20 points.
Line bet – Vikings at the line +3.5
Best bet – Vikings +8.5 points @ $1.38
Feeling lucky – Vikings to score under 14.5 points @ $3.40
Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans
The Packers are just staying relevant in the most confusing division in football, while the Titans can make a statement and push towards the top spot in the AFC South with a win here. Tennessee have won three of their last four encounters with the Packers; points are likely to be the order of the day as four of the last five games between the teams have seen the match total surpass the market line, while six of the Titans’ last seven home games have seen the same result.
Line bet – Titans at the line +2.5
Best bet – Titans +8.5 points @ $1.33
Feeling lucky – Titans to win by 1-6 points @ $3.85
Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers
Arguably the two form running backs in the NFL go head-to-head; Melvin Gordon leads the NFL in touchdowns with nine, while Jay Ajayi recently became the first running back in 14 years to tally 200 rushing yards in consecutive games. The home team has won the last six games in this series, covering the spread in all six wins.
Line bet – Chargers at the line -3.5
Best bet – Chargers to score more than 26 points @ $1.87
Feeling lucky – Chargers to score more than 32 points @ $3.75
San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals
The 49ers have conceded a record number of yards to running backs. Arizona have arguably the best running back in the game in David Johnson, and are this season’s biggest disappointment coming up against a defence that has conceded 34 or more points in six of its last seven games, and 40+ in three of those games. This could get really ugly, despite how inconsistent the Cardinals have been this season.
Line bet – Cardinals at the line -12.5
Best bet – Cardinals to score more than 30 points @ $1.89
Feeling lucky – Cardinals to score more than 37 points @ $4.30
Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers
The Dallas Cowboys are the story of the NFL season, controlling game tempo and preventing their opposition from possessing the football as they have the equal-best record in the NFL. The dangerous Steelers realise time is running out if they want to stake a claim for a playoff berth and they will be amped to perform in front of their home crowd in this key match. Dallas have won all four road games this season, covering the spread in all of them.
Line bet – Cowboys at the line +2.5
Best bet – Cowboys +8.5 @ $1.33
Feeling lucky – Steelers to win by 1-6 points @ $3.60
Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots
Seattle were bailed out by questionable refereeing decisions in sneaking home over Buffalo on Monday Night Football, and head to Foxsborough in a short week to tackle the rested Patriots. Tom Brady and crew should be too much for the Seahawks in a replay of the classic 2015 SuperBowl; scoring is on the menu as Each of the last four games between Seattle and New England have resulted in the game total finishing over the market line.
Line bet – Patriots at the line
Best bet – Patriots to win
Feeling lucky – Patriots to win by 12 or more points
Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Giants
Monday Night Football looks considering underwhelming, save for the superstar wide receiver battle between A.J.Green and Odell Beckham Jr. Their respective quarterbacks are perennial whipping boys and the odds are that one will wilt under the bright lights of primetime. The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Bengals and Giants.
Line bet – Bengals at the line +1.5
Best bet – Bengals +6.5 @ $1.42
Feeling lucky – Bengals at the line and total game score over by 49.5 points @ $4.20
