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NBA Playoff Picks – Day 19

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly. 

NBA Playoff Tips

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Boston @ Washington

EASTERN CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS – GAME 3

BOSTON LEAD 2-0

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Washington  Over  Washington
-5.5 218.5  116-89

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Boston 30-11 23-18
Washington 30-11 19-22

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Boston 108.0 105.4 -0.2
Washington 109.2 107.4 +3.2

SERIES

GAME 2 Celtics Wizards 129 : 119 (114 : 114)
GAME 1 Celtics Wizards 123 : 111
21.03.17 Celtics Wizards 110 : 102
25.01.17 Wizards Celtics 123 : 108
12.01.17 Celtics Wizards 117 : 108
10.11.16 Wizards Celtics 118 : 93

The Trends-

  • Boston are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
  • Total Points Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

Washington were in a good spot early on in Game 2, similar to in Game 1, however a late push from the Celtics in the 4th drew overtime, and the rest is history.

Oh yeah, and Isaiah Thomas dropped 53 (29 in the 4th including overtime) on his recently deceased little sisters birthday. Respect.

“What else is there to say?” Celtics coach Brad Stevens said of his team’s leading man. “You know, there’s a point today when he was not feeling good at all, and was having a tough day, and I thought he was going to really have to gut this one out. And he not only guts it out, he ends up with (53). Pretty impressive.”

With Boston taking the first 2 on home court, the pressure now lies with the Wizards to do the same in DC. Wall himself finished with 43 in Game 2, and if it weren’t for a missed floater from Bradley Beal at the buzzer we’d be 1-1 in the series.

Washington won both home regular-season games against Boston, and we’ll be riding that here, but not willing to take the line of -5.5. The overs is our bet again (our gravy train of late).

Picks –

The Best Pick – Total Points Over 218.5 

Feeling Lucky – Washington 1-10 @2.39


Utah @ Golden State

WESTERN CONFERENCE SEMIFINALS – GAME 2

GOLDEN STATE LEADS 1-0

Picks against the spread

Spread Pick O/U Points Result
Utah  Under  Golden State
+13.0 204.5  115-104

Win/Loss

TEAM HOME ROAD
Golden State 36-5 31-10
Utah 29-12 22-19

Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Warriors 115.9 104.3 +11.6
Jazz 100.7 96.8 +3.2

SERIES

GAME 1 Warriors Jazz 106 : 94
11.04.17 Warriors Jazz 99 : 105
21.12.16 Warriors Jazz 104 : 74
09.12.16 Jazz Warriors 99 : 106

The Trends-

  • Total Points Under is 24-7-2 in the last 33 meetings.
  • Utah are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Golden State.
  • Total Points Under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Golden State.

The Warriors took Game 1 by 12 points, and a line of +13.0 for the Jazz is pretty tempting here, despite what COULD happen if Splash City reaches a peak.

Hayward (averaging 23.7 in the Clippers series) was just 4 of 15 and totaled 12 points in the loss, and if they are a chance of stealing a couple in this series they will need 20+ from the great white hope.

Golden State was just 7 of 29 (24.1 percent) from 3 in the opener, and with that we take the Jazz +13.0, with the Utah hopefully hitting a better % from the field.

Warriors win under the -13.0 line.

Picks –

Best Pick: Total Points Under 204.5

Feeling Lucky Pick – Golden State 1-10 @ 3.12