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9 tonight, Warriors looking for 4th gear

*Original betting lines and lineups taken game morning, adjust accordingly.

Here are tonight’s free NBA picks. The original lines for each game are taken a couple of hours prior to the tip-off, so adjust your picks accordingly should a line change.

Confidence = 1-5 stars  

Tonight’s Best Picks

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Tonight's Best Picks - CLICK HERE

Denver @ New York: Denver -4.0    

Dallas @ Utah: Under 192.0    

Toronto @ Portland: Under 215.5  

 

Tonight’s NBA Picks

San Antonio @ Boston

H2H Trends –

  • San Antonio are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • San Antonio are 13-3-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Boston.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Boston 4 2 1-1 3-1
San Antonio 4 2 2-0 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Boston 100.5 95.0 +5.5
San Antonio 98.8 97.3 +1.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Boston Under Boston
-3.5 193.5 108-94

Spread Confidence = 

The Spurs are on a B2B and have dropped two straight on the road. Boston are yet to defeat San Antonio at home in 6 years. With Leonard still out, the Spurs just are struggling to take care of business.

Minnesota @ Miami

H2H Trends –

  • Minnesota are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Miami 2 3 2-2 0-1
Minnesota 3 3 2-1 1-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Miami 103.0 106.0 -3.0
Minnesota 106.8 114.2 -7.3

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Minnesota Over Minnesota
-3.0 216.0 125-122 1OT

 

Spread Confidence = 

With Whiteside still out for the Heat, the favored option is the away team. Although, the Timberwolves are still lacking that defensive edge that usually comes with a Tom Thibodeau coached team. Do fancy the Overs though.

Denver @ New York

H2H Trends –

  • Denver are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Miami 2 3 2-2 0-1
Denver 3 3 1-1 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
New York 100.2 101.4 -1.2
Denver 103.0 102.5 +0.5

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Denver Over New York
-4.0 209.0 116-110

 

Confidence = 

The Knicks made it rain last night on the road to the Cavs where both Hardaway Jnr and Porzingis scored 30+ points. Both teams are on a B2B with Denver the closest distance to tonight’s game having played in Brooklyn last night. Denver look nice here.

Philadelphia @ Houston

H2H Trends –

  • Philadelphia are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Houston 5 2 1-1 4-1
Philadelphia 2 4 0-2 2-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Houston 103.9 101.4 +2.4
Philadelphia 102.3 108.5 -6.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Houston Over Philadelphia
-6.0 217.0 115-107

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Rockets were able to get out of jail last out against the 76ers with a late Eric Gordon three. Both teams are a little banged up with the match winner questionable. Philly also have some gaps in the guard position with Redick and Fultz (3 weeks) out.

Charlotte @ Memphis

H2H Trends –

  • Charlotte are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Memphis 5 1 4-0 1-1
Charlotte 3 3 3-1 0-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Memphis 100.8 94.2 +6.7
Charlotte 102.7 101.8 +0.8

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Charlotte Over Charlotte
+6.0 194.5 104-99

 

Spread Confidence = 

This will be the battle of the Bigman/Littleman routine with the Hornets and Grizzlies teams sporting stars at both ends of the position scale.

Orlando @ New Orleans

H2H Trends –

  • Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Orlando are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in New Orleans.
  • Under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
New Orleans 3 3 1-1 2-2
Orlando 4 2 3-0 1-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
New Orleans 110.0 108.8 +1.2
Orlando 117.2 109.3 +7.8

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
New Orleans Over Orlando
-7.5 226.0 115-99

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Magic have the 2nd best points per game rating behind the Warriors which is a stark contrast from previous seasons. With the Pelicans two tower show, Orlando will have to roll with a bit more of the three ball. Being on a B2B, the Pelicans have the edge but maybe take the Over.

Dallas @ Utah

The Trends –

  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
  • Dallas are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Dallas are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Utah.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Utah 3 3 3-0 0-3
Dallas 1 6 1-4 0-2

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Utah 94.5 93.8 +0.7
Dallas 99.6 107.4 -7.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Dallas Under Utah
+7.5 192.0 104-89

 

Spread Confidence = 

Two teams that you cant really trust but the one thing that does look juicy is that total points number. Take the Under, especially in Utah.

Toronto @ Portland

The Trends –

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Toronto are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Portland.
  • Toronto are 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Win/Loss

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
Portland 4 2 2-1 2-1
Toronto 3 2 2-0 1-2

Season Points +/-

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
Portland 111.3 98.2 +13.2
Toronto 111.0 100.8 +10.2

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Portland Under Toronto
-2.0 215.5 99-85

 

Spread Confidence = 

Toronto have had some luck in Portland but will find it difficult with Jonas. The Raptors will play their 4th straight road game where they are coming from LA. Portland probably have enough to get the win but wont be as high scoring.

Golden State @ LA Clippers

The Trends –

  • Golden State are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Golden State are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

Win/Loss 

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LA Clippers 4 1 2-1 2-0
Golden State 4 3 2-2 2-1

Season Points +/- 

TEAM PPG OPP PPG DIFF
LA Clippers 106.2 92.4 13.8
Golden State 118.1 114.3 3.9

Picks against the spread

Spread O/U Points Result
Golden State Over Golden State
-5.0 221.5 141-113

 

Spread Confidence = 

The Warriors are $1.50 which doesn’t happen to often, regardless of form you must take it, in a parlay at least…