Tonight’s NBA Semi-Finals Playoff Picks – Sunday, 10th May

Game 4 pressure defines today’s semifinal slate. New York look to complete a sweep in Philadelphia, while San Antonio aim to take firm control against Minnesota.

NEW YORK KNICKS @ PHILADELPHIA 76ERS

Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Odds: NY $1.85 / PHI $2.00
East Semifinals – Game 4 (NY leads 3-0)

New York’s +6.4 differential and elite 110.1 OPPG defense have overwhelmed Philadelphia through three games. The 76ers (-0.2 differential) now face elimination despite a solid 23-18 home record. Expect slower tempo and half-court execution as New York aim to close the series.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

Able to complete a sweep of this Eastern Semi-final matchup, the New York Knicks will visit the Philadelphia 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday afternoon. The Knicks claimed Game 3 108-94 on Friday to take a commanding 3-0 series lead, extending their winning streak against Philadelphia to five games.

New York’s perimeter defence completely controlled the matchup, holding the 76ers to just 9-32 (28.1%) shooting from beyond the arc. Jalen Brunson once again led the charge with 33 points and nine assists, while the Knicks improved to 3-1 on the road this postseason despite missing OG Anunoby. Philadelphia now faces elimination after dropping to 1-3 at home in these playoffs.

Team Trends

• The Knicks have won each of their last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Seven of the Knicks’ last 8 road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total match points line.
• The home team has won the first quarter in 13 of the Knicks’ last 16 playoff games.
• The Knicks have covered the line in each of their last 7 road games against the 76ers.

Player Trends

• Jalen Brunson – Scored the first basket in 4 of the Knicks’ last 5 playoff road games.
• Paul George – Made 3+ threes in each of the 76ers’ last 8 games.
• Mikal Bridges – Made 2+ threes in 6 of his last 7 playoff appearances against the 76ers.
• Joel Embiid – Recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 12 home appearances.
• Tyrese Maxey – Recorded 6+ assists in 4 of the 76ers’ last 5 home games.
• Karl-Anthony Towns – Recorded 6+ assists in each of the Knicks’ last 6 games.
• Quentin Grimes – Recorded 2+ assists in each of the 76ers’ last 5 games.
• Karl-Anthony Towns – Scored 20+ points in 11 of his last 12 appearances after being held to single digits previously.
• Jalen Brunson – Scored 30+ points in 6 of the Knicks’ last 7 playoff games against the 76ers.
• VJ Edgecombe – Scored 10+ points in each of the 76ers’ last 7 games against the Knicks.
• Mikal Bridges – Scored 15+ points in each of the Knicks’ last 4 games.
• Kelly Oubre Jr. – Scored 15+ points in each of the 76ers’ last 2 games.
• Tyrese Maxey – Scored 25+ points in each of the 76ers’ last 3 playoff games facing elimination.
• Joel Embiid – Scored 25+ points in 18 of his last 23 appearances.
• Kelly Oubre Jr. – Recorded 6+ rebounds in each of the 76ers’ last 5 home games against the Knicks.
• Joel Embiid – Recorded 8+ rebounds in 13 of the 76ers’ last 14 playoff games facing elimination.
• Karl-Anthony Towns – Recorded 10+ rebounds in each of the Knicks’ last 7 playoff road games.
• VJ Edgecombe – Recorded 6+ rebounds in 6 of the 76ers’ last 7 home games.
• Josh Hart – Recorded 10+ rebounds in 6 of the Knicks’ last 7 road games against the 76ers.

PICK – NEW YORK -1.5

SAN ANTONIO SPURS @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Odds: SA $1.56 / MIN $2.50
West Semifinals – Game 4 (SA leads 2-1)

San Antonio’s +8.3 differential and 119.8 PPG offense continue to drive their postseason run. Minnesota (+3.4 differential) remains competitive at home (26-15), but defensive consistency against elite half-court execution remains the key challenge.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

The San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves will play Game 4 of their Western Conference Semi-final matchup at Target Center on Sunday night, with the Spurs holding a 2-1 series lead after claiming a 115-108 victory in Game 3. San Antonio’s elite defence proved decisive, holding Minnesota to just 38.4% shooting from the field while continuing their dominant road playoff form.

Victor Wembanyama was unstoppable with 39 points and 15 rebounds on 13-18 shooting, while Anthony Edwards answered with 32 points and 14 rebounds for Minnesota. The Spurs are now 3-0 on the road this postseason and have won 12 straight games when Wembanyama scores 35+ points.

Team Trends

• The Spurs have won 13 of their last 14 road games against Western opponents.
• 6 of the Spurs’ last 7 playoff games as road favourites have gone OVER the total points line.
• The Spurs have lost the first half in 6 of their last 7 playoff games as road favourites.
• The Spurs have covered the line in each of their last 4 playoff road games.

Player Trends

• Victor Wembanyama – Scored the first basket in each of the Spurs’ last 3 games.
• Naz Reid – Made 3+ threes in each of the Timberwolves’ last 4 home games against the Spurs.
• Julian Champagnie – Made 2+ threes in each of the Spurs’ last 8 games.
• Stephon Castle – Recorded 6+ assists in 10 of the Spurs’ last 12 road games.
• Devin Vassell – Recorded 2+ assists in each of the Spurs’ last 10 games.
• Julius Randle – Recorded 4+ assists in 7 of his last 9 home appearances.
• De’Aaron Fox – Scored 15+ points in 14 of his 15 previous playoff appearances.
• Naz Reid – Scored 15+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last 4 home games against the Spurs.
• Devin Vassell – Scored 20+ points in 5 of his last 7 road appearances against the Timberwolves.
• Jaden McDaniels – Scored 15+ points in 7 of his last 8 home appearances.
• Rudy Gobert – Scored 10+ points in 8 of his last 9 home appearances.
• Victor Wembanyama – Scored 30+ points in 3 of his last 4 road appearances.
• Anthony Edwards – Scored 20+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last 6 Western Conference Semi-final home games.
• Keldon Johnson – Scored 10+ points in each of the Spurs’ last 11 road games against the Timberwolves.
• Victor Wembanyama – Recorded 14+ rebounds in each of the Spurs’ last 4 games.
• Jaden McDaniels – Recorded 6+ rebounds in each of the Timberwolves’ last 4 home games.
• Devin Vassell – Recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Spurs’ last 5 road games.
• Rudy Gobert – Recorded 10+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 home appearances.
• Naz Reid – Recorded 6+ rebounds in each of the Timberwolves’ last 8 games.
• Victor Wembanyama – Recorded 5+ blocks in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 games.

PICK – SAN ANTONIO -4.5