Home Free NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight’s Best NBA Predictions & Trends – Wed, 18th March

Tonight’s Best NBA Predictions & Trends – Wed, 18th March

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A strong slate sees the Lakers riding a six-game winning streak behind Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves, while the Hawks bring serious swagger with 10 straight wins led by Jalen Johnson.

Denver continues to play well through Nikola Jokic’s all-around brilliance, while Oklahoma City remains one of the league’s most consistent performers. Meanwhile, struggling teams like Memphis and Dallas look to halt losing runs, with several matchups shaped by recent form, star output and contrasting form.

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GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS @ BOSTON CELTICS

TD Garden, Boston, MA
Odds: GS $5.50 / BOS $1.16

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GS 33 35 19-15 14-20
BOS 45 23 23-10 22-13

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
GS 115.3 114.4 +0.9 229.7
BOS 114.3 107.1 +7.2 221.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS OVER BOS
-12.5 215.5 120-99

Team Trends

  • Celtics have won 8 straight vs teams with losing records
  • Celtics have won last 5 first quarters vs Warriors
  • Warriors have covered in 9 of last 10 games

Player Trends

  • Jaylen Brown – 20+ points in 11 straight as favourite vs West
  • Jaylen Brown – 2+ threes in 9 of last 10 vs Warriors (home)
  • Jaylen Brown – 6+ assists in 8 of last 9 games
  • Jayson Tatum – 4+ assists in 12 straight home games
  • Jayson Tatum – 8+ rebounds in last 4 vs losing teams
  • Draymond Green – 4+ assists in 8 straight games
  • Gui Santos – 15+ points in 6 straight games
  • Derrick White – 15+ points in 6 straight as favourite

Set to meet for the second time this season, the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics will face off at TD Garden on Wednesday night. Their first meeting went the way of the Celtics 121-110 at Chase Center on February 19 behind Jaylen Brown’s 23-point, 15-rebound, 13-assist triple-double. More recently, Boston defeated Phoenix 120-112 at this venue, led by Brown’s 41-point, six-assist display, extending their strong home form against Western Conference opponents.

Golden State enters off a 125-117 win over Washington, where Kristaps Porzingis recorded 30 points and three blocks while De’Anthony Melton added 27 points. That result snapped a six-game losing streak against Eastern Conference opponents. Quinten Post is listed as questionable for the Warriors.

PICK – OOVER 215.5 TOTAL POINTS


OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ BROOKLYN NETS

Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Odds: OKC $1.05 / BKN $11.00

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 54 15 29-6 25-8
BKN 17 51 9-24 8-27

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
OKC 118.4 107.7 +10.7 226.1
BKN 106.6 115.6 -9.0 222.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BKN OVER OKC
+19.5 215.0 121-92

Team Trends

  • Thunder have won 27 straight road games vs losing teams
  • Nets have failed to cover in 13 of last 14 as home underdogs vs West
  • Nets have lost the 1st quarter in 12 straight as underdogs
  • 7 of Thunder’s last 8 games have gone UNDER

Player Trends

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – 30+ points in 7 of last 8 road games
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – 2+ threes in last 4 games
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – 6+ rebounds in last 5 road games vs Nets
  • Chet Holmgren – 15+ points in all 4 career games vs Nets
  • Chet Holmgren – 8+ rebounds in 9 straight games
  • Isaiah Hartenstein – 4+ assists in 8 of last 10 as favourite
  • Luguentz Dort – 10+ points in 9 of last 11 vs Nets
  • Ajay Mitchell – 15+ points in 5 of last 6 road games

At opposite ends of the standings, Oklahoma City meets Brooklyn after dominating the first matchup 105-86 despite Shai Gilgeous-Alexander being absent. The Thunder now enter on a 9-game winning streak, most recently defeating Orlando 113-108 behind Gilgeous-Alexander’s 40-point, 4-steal performance.

Brooklyn continues to struggle, falling 114-95 to Portland and losing 14 of its last 16 games. With OKC’s elite defence and consistency against weaker opposition, this shapes as a one-sided matchup.

PICK – OVER 215.0 TOTAL POINTS


PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS @ INDIANA PACERS

Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Odds: POR $1.22 / IND $4.50

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 33 36 18-16 15-20
IND 15 54 10-24 5-30

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
POR 115.1 117.2 -2.1 232.3
IND 111.2 120.1 -8.9 231.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
POR OVER POR
-9.5 234.5 127-119

Team Trends

  • Pacers have lost 14 straight games
  • Pacers have failed to cover in 9 straight vs losing teams
  • Last 4 meetings between these teams have gone to the home side
  • 5 of Pacers’ last 6 home games vs West have gone OVER

At Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana hosts Portland on the second leg of a back-to-back with both teams meeting for the second time this season after the Trail Blazers’ 131-111 win on March 8. The Pacers are in freefall, coming off a 136-110 loss to New York and now riding a franchise-worst 14-game losing streak.

Portland arrives with confidence after a 114-95 win over Brooklyn, showing improved defensive form on the road. With Indiana struggling to compete and Portland already proving too strong in this matchup, the trends point heavily toward another Blazers-controlled game.

PICK – PORTLAND -9.5


TORONTO RAPTORS @ CHICAGO BULLS

United Center, Chicago, IL
Odds: TOR $1.35 / CHI $3.30

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 38 29 19-16 19-13
CHI 28 40 17-18 11-22

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 113.6 111.9 +1.7 225.5
CHI 116.0 120.0 -4.0 236.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CHI OVER TOR
+7.5 234.5 139-109

Team Trends

  • Raptors have won 9 straight vs East teams with losing records
  • Bulls have covered 11 of last 12 as home underdogs off a win
  • Bulls’ last 6 home games have gone UNDER
  • Raptors have lost the 1st half in 4 straight games

Player Trends

  • Brandon Ingram – 20+ points in 6 straight as road favourite
  • Brandon Ingram – 2+ threes in last 4 vs Bulls
  • Josh Giddey – 20+ points in last 3 as underdog
  • Josh Giddey – 8+ assists in 8 straight games
  • Josh Giddey – 8+ rebounds in 7 straight games
  • Immanuel Quickley – 25+ points in last 3 as road favourite
  • Immanuel Quickley – 6+ assists in last 4 vs East teams
  • Scottie Barnes – 8+ rebounds in 7 of last 8 vs Bulls

Toronto looks to complete the season sweep after winning the first two meetings, with Brandon Ingram averaging 32.0 points in the series. The Raptors enter off a 119-108 win over Detroit, while Chicago comes off a dominant 132-107 victory over Memphis behind Josh Giddey’s triple-double and Matas Buzelis’ 29 points.

Despite Toronto’s edge, Chicago’s strong record as a home underdog suggests this matchup could stay competitive.

PICK – CHICAGO +7.5


UTAH JAZZ @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Odds: UTAH $5.50 / MIN $1.16

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 20 48 12-22 8-26
MIN 42 27 23-12 19-15

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
UTA 117.3 124.9 -7.6 242.2
MIN 118.4 115.0 +3.4 233.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN OVER MIN
-12.0 233.5 147-111

Team Trends

  • Timberwolves have won 11 straight home games vs Northwest teams with losing records
  • Jazz have covered 9 of last 10 road games vs winning teams
  • Jazz last 6 vs Northwest opponents have gone OVER
  • Timberwolves have won both halves in last 5 home games vs Jazz

Player Trends

  • Julius Randle – 32+ points in last 2 games
  • Julius Randle – 6+ rebounds in 8 of last 9 games
  • Rudy Gobert – 12+ rebounds in 8 straight games (with Edwards out)
  • Naz Reid – 15+ points in 8 of last 9 games (with Edwards out)
  • Kyle Filipowski – 10+ points in 8 straight vs West teams
  • Kyle Filipowski – 8+ rebounds in 6 straight in this spot
  • Brice Sensabaugh – 21+ points in last 4 games
  • Isaiah Collier – 17+ points in last 6 road games

Minnesota hosts Utah on the second leg of a back-to-back, leading the season series 2-1 despite dropping the last meeting. The Timberwolves enter off a 116-104 win over Phoenix behind Julius Randle’s 32-point effort, while Utah fell 116-111 to Sacramento despite Cody Williams’ 34-point outing.

Minnesota’s home dominance contrasts with Utah’s struggles, having lost 34 of its last 36 road games in conference play.

PICK – OVER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS


LA CLIPPERS @ NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Odds: LAC $2.05 / NO $1.80

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 34 34 19-15 15-19
NO 23 46 14-21 9-25

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 113.5 112.7 +0.8 226.2
NO 115.6 119.7 -4.1 235.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAC UNDER NO
-2.0 232.5 124-109

Team Trends

  • Pelicans have won 5 straight home games
  • Pelicans have covered 10 of last 11 home games vs Clippers
  • Pelicans’ last 9 of 10 home games vs West have gone UNDER
  • Pelicans have won both halves in last 3 home games

Player Trends

  • Zion Williamson – 20+ points in 8 of last 9 vs Clippers
  • Zion Williamson – 6+ rebounds in last 3 vs Clippers
  • Trey Murphy III – 20+ points in 5 of last 7 games
  • Trey Murphy III – 4+ assists in 6 of last 7 games
  • Trey Murphy III – 6+ rebounds in last 3 games
  • Dejounte Murray – 7+ assists in last 5 home games vs Clippers
  • Darius Garland – 20+ points in last 5 games
  • Darius Garland – 4+ threes in last 4 games
  • Kawhi Leonard – 28+ points in last 7 games

New Orleans returns home riding strong form, coming off a 129-111 win over Dallas behind Zion Williamson’s 27 points on 11-13 shooting. The Pelicans have now won five straight at home, while the Clippers arrive struggling, having lost three straight without Kawhi Leonard. Darius Garland impressed with 25 points and 10 assists last game, but his status remains uncertain.

PICK – LA CLIPPERS -2.0


ATLANTA HAWKS @ DALLAS MAVERICKS

American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Odds: ATL $1.30 / DAL $3.70

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 37 31 19-16 18-15
DAL 23 46 14-20 9-25

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
ATL 117.8 116.6 +1.2 234.4
DAL 113.2 118.2 -5.0 231.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DAL OVER ATL
+8.0 238.0 135-120

Team Trends

  • Hawks have won 10 straight games
  • Mavericks have lost 9 straight home games
  • Mavericks have failed to cover in 5 of last 6 at home
  • Mavericks have lost the 1st quarter in 10 straight home games
  • 9 of Mavericks’ last 11 games have gone UNDER

Player Trends

  • Jalen Johnson – 20+ points in last 6 games
  • Jalen Johnson – 8+ assists in last 4 games
  • Jalen Johnson – 10+ rebounds in 7 of last 8 road games
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker – 20+ points in 5 of last 6 games
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker – 4+ assists in 5 of last 6 road games
  • Dyson Daniels – 6+ assists in 9 of last 12 as favourite
  • Cooper Flagg – 25+ points in last 4 home games
  • Cooper Flagg – 8+ assists in last 2 games
  • Naji Marshall – 25+ points in last 2 games

Atlanta heads to Dallas in dominant form, riding a 10-game winning streak after a 124-112 win over Orlando where Nickeil Alexander-Walker exploded for 41 points and Jalen Johnson posted a 24-point triple-double. Dallas continues to struggle, falling 129-111 to New Orleans despite Naji Marshall’s 32 points, and has now lost nine straight at home.

PICK – DALLAS +8.0


DENVER NUGGETS @ MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Odds: DEN $1.15 / MEM $5.80

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 42 27 19-13 23-14
MEM 23 44 11-20 11-23

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 120.7 116.4 +4.3 237.1
MEM 115.6 118.6 -3.0 234.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN OVER MEM
-13.0 242.5 125-118

Team Trends

  • Nuggets have won 4 straight vs Grizzlies
  • Grizzlies have lost 8 straight games
  • Nuggets’ last 14 road games vs West teams have gone OVER
  • Nuggets have failed to cover last 4 as favourites with rest disadvantage

Player Trends

  • Nikola Jokic – 30+ points in 5 of last 6 (B2B)
  • Nikola Jokic – 12+ assists in last 5 games
  • Nikola Jokic – 12+ rebounds in 9 of last 11 vs Grizzlies
  • Jamal Murray – 25+ points in 4 of last 5 (B2B)
  • Jamal Murray – 6+ assists in 10 of last 11 road games
  • Christian Braun – 10+ points in last 7 vs Grizzlies
  • Ty Jerome – 20+ points in last 5 home games (post absence)
  • GG Jackson II – 15+ points in 5 of last 6 home games

Denver enters in strong form after a 124-96 win over Philadelphia, while Memphis continues to slide, coming off a 132-107 loss to Chicago. Nikola Jokic remains the focal point, dominating across points, rebounds and assists, while Jamal Murray continues his strong scoring run.

PICK – DENVER -13.0


LOS ANGELES LAKERS @ HOUSTON ROCKETS

Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Odds: LAL $2.15 / HOU $1.73

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 43 25 23-12 20-13
HOU 41 26 23-9 18-17

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 116.3 114.9 +1.4 231.2
HOU 113.8 109.8 +4.0 223.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
HOU OVER LA
-2.0 222.5 124-116

Team Trends

  • Lakers have won 6 straight games
  • Lakers have covered 4 of last 5 vs Rockets
  • Lakers have won the 1st quarter in 9 of last 10 road games
  • Rockets’ last 4 games have gone UNDER

Player Trends

  • Luka Doncic – 35+ points in last 4 road games vs Rockets
  • Luka Doncic – 8+ assists in 14 of last 17 vs West teams
  • Luka Doncic – 8+ rebounds in 7 of last 8 games
  • Austin Reaves – 25+ points in 4 of last 5 games
  • Austin Reaves – 5+ assists in last 7 games
  • Amen Thompson – 15+ points in last 9 games
  • Amen Thompson – 4+ assists in last 9 games
  • Kevin Durant – 20+ points in 46 of last 49 vs Lakers
  • Alperen Sengun – 6+ assists in 8 of last 10 home games

The Lakers return to Houston after a 100-92 win on Monday, where Luka Doncic led with 36 points as LA forced 24 turnovers. The Lakers have now won six straight, while Houston has dropped three of its last four without Alperen Sengun.

PICK – HOUSTON -2.0