HOUSTON ROCKETS @ MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
TEAM TRENDS
- The Bucks have won each of their last six home games against the Rockets.
- Each of the Rockets’ last seven road games have gone OVERS.
- The Rockets have won the first quarter in each of their last six road games.
- The Bucks have covered the line in nine of their last 11 home games.
- WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD HOU 5 3 2-1 3-2 MIL 6 3 4-1 2-2 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. HOU 122.9 112.9 +10.0 235.8 MIL 120.6 118.1 +2.5 238.7 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT MIL OVER HOU +3.5 232.5 122-115 The Milwaukee Bucks (6–1) are flying right now and haven’t lost at Fiserv Forum all season. Their latest win — a 126–110 victory over Chicago – came behind another monster outing from Giannis Antetokounmpo, who poured in 41 points, 15 rebounds, and nine assists. Myles Turner added 23 points and four steals as Milwaukee extended its six-game home winning streak over Houston. The Bucks have quietly gone 5–1 vs Western Conference teams in their last six and continue to look like one of the East’s most complete squads, averaging 122.3 PPG with a +6.0 differential.
The Houston Rockets (1–3) have hit a bit of turbulence after a 121–110 loss to San Antonio. Alperen Sengun led the way with 25 points and eight assists, but the Rockets struggled to slow the Spurs’ offense down the stretch. Still, Houston has been strong against Eastern teams – boasting a 9–1 record in their last 10 such matchups — and rank among the West’s better passing units at 124.0 PPG and +7.7 differential. They’ll be hoping to rediscover their rhythm on the road against a tough Milwaukee defense.
PICK – MILWAUKEE +3.5
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BROOKLYN NETS @ NEW YORK KNICKS
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
TEAM TRENDS
- The home team has covered the line in each of the Knicks’ last 11 games.
- The Knicks have won 10 straight games against the Nets.
- Twelve of the Nets’ last 14 road games against Eastern opponents have gone UNDERS.
- The Nets have lost the first half in each of their last nine games.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD BKN 1 8 0-5 1-3 NY 5 3 5-0 0-3 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. BKN 111.3 124.6 -13.3 235.9 NY 118.9 113.6 +5.3 232.5 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT BKN OVER BKN +16.5 228.5 134-98 The New York Knicks (4–3) are starting to find a groove, coming off a dominant 137–114 home win over Minnesota that showcased their depth and balance. Jalen Brunson led the charge with 23 points, seven rebounds, and 10 assists, while OG Anunoby added 25 points and eight boards. The Knicks have now won six straight at Madison Square Garden and look sharp offensively, averaging 110.5 PPG with a rock-solid 77.0% playoff projection. They’ll also be eager to keep their city dominance going, having beaten Brooklyn 10 straight times, including a clean sweep last season.
The Brooklyn Nets (0–5) are still searching for their first win of the campaign and continue to struggle without Cameron Thomas. They dropped their fourth straight without him, losing 125–107 to Detroit despite Michael Porter Jr. pouring in 28 points and five triples. The Nets’ offense has sputtered late in games, averaging 114.3 PPG but surrendering 130.5 PPG, giving them the East’s worst differential (–16.2). With Thomas still sidelined, Brooklyn will need someone to step up and help end a six-game division losing streak against their cross-town rivals.
PICK – OVER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS
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BOSTON CELTICS @ ORLANDO MAGIC
Kia Center, Orlando, FL
TEAM TRENDS
- The home team has won 12 of the last 13 games between the Celtics and Magic.
- 11 of the last 15 meetings between the Celtics and Magic at Kia Center have gone UNDERS.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the line in six of their last seven road games.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD BOS 4 6 2-3 2-3 ORL 4 5 2-2 2-3 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. BOS 113.0 110.7 +2.3 223.7 ORL 117.0 116.8 +0.2 233.8 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT BOS UNDER BOS +2.5 226.5 111-107 The Magic (4–5) head into Sunday’s rematch with momentum after Friday’s 123–110 win over the Celtics. The Magic were aggressive getting to the line, shooting 24-of-31 compared to Boston’s 11-of-16, and hot from deep at 47.2%. Franz Wagner paced the offense with 27 points and six assists, while Desmond Bane added 22 points, six rebounds, and seven assists. Orlando’s balance and efficiency have sparked a nice run — they’ve now won three of their last four and are shooting over 46% from the field during that stretch.
Boston (2–6) will look to bounce back and avoid falling further below .500. Jaylen Brown did his part in Friday’s loss, posting 32 points and nine rebounds, but the Celtics struggled to keep pace from the line and beyond the arc, finishing just 13-of-37 (35.1%) from three. Boston’s perimeter defense remains a concern, allowing 117.0 PPG this season, and they’ve now dropped five of their last seven road games. Expect a sharper defensive focus as they look to split this Florida double.
PICK – UNDER 226.5 TOTAL POINTS
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OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
FedExForum, Memphis, TN
TEAM TRENDS
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the line in each of their last eight home games following a win.
- The Thunder have won 13 straight games against the Grizzlies.
- Six of the last seven matchups between these teams have gone UNDERS.
- The Thunder have won the first quarter in nine of their last 11 games against the Grizzlies.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD OKC 9 1 4-0 5-1 MEM 4 6 3-4 1-2 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. OKC 123.2 109.7 +13.5 232.9 MEM 115.1 119.1 -4.0 234.2 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT OKC UNDER OKC -10.5 233.5 114-100 The Oklahoma City Thunder (7–0) are rolling, still undefeated after hammering Sacramento 132–101 on Friday. Isaiah Hartenstein exploded for a career-high 33 points, 19 rebounds, and three blocks on 14-of-17 shooting, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continued his MVP-level play with 30 points. Rookie guard Ajay Mitchell chipped in a double-double with 18 points and a career-high 10 assists, showing the Thunder’s impressive depth. Oklahoma City has now won 11 straight when Hartenstein grabs 12+ rebounds, and they’re outscoring opponents by an average of 12.4 points per game this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies (3–4) snapped a four-game skid with a 118–104 win over Dallas, finally finding rhythm on both ends of the floor. Desmond Bane led the charge offensively, while Jaren Jackson Jr. anchored the defense, helping Memphis hold the Mavericks to under 42% shooting. The Grizzlies will be eager for payback after getting swept by Oklahoma City in last year’s first-round matchup, where they lost by an average of 19.5 points per game. However, they’ll need to control the boards — Memphis ranks bottom-five in rebound differential – to hang with OKC’s size and pace.
PICK – UNDER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS
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DETROIT PISTONS @ PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
TEAM TRENDS
- The 76ers have won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Pistons.
- Six of Philadelphia’s last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVERS.
- The Pistons have lost the first quarter in 12 of their last 13 games.
- The 76ers have covered the line in six of their last seven games.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD DET 7 2 3-1 3-1 PHI 6 3 3-1 3-2 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. DET 116.7 110.8 +5.9 227.5 PHI 124.0 119.3 +4.7 243.3 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT DET UNDER DET -3.5 232.5 111-108 The Philadelphia 76ers (6–3) continue to impress at home, coming off a 130–120 win over Toronto that showcased their offensive balance and interior dominance. Trendon Watford notched his first career triple-double with 20 points, 17 rebounds, and 10 assists on near-perfect shooting (8-of-10), while Tyrese Maxey added 31 points and Joel Embiid chipped in 29. The 76ers have now won three of their last four at Xfinity Mobile Arena, averaging 128.0 points per game during that stretch. Philadelphia sits top-five in field goal percentage league-wide and looks comfortable pushing the pace under Embiid’s leadership.
The Detroit Pistons (4–5) are trending upward after a convincing 125–107 win over Brooklyn. Cade Cunningham was in command, scoring 34 points on 13-of-18 shooting, while Jalen Duren continued his breakout year with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and three steals. The Pistons have now won seven straight games when Cunningham and Duren combine for 45+ points, a testament to their growing chemistry. Despite being without Tobias Harris (out) and possibly Isaiah Stewart (doubtful), Detroit’s young core continues to build momentum on both ends of the floor, ranking top-10 in paint scoring so far this season.
PICK – DETROIT -3.5
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INDIANA PACERS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TEAM TRENDS
- The Pacers have won six straight games as underdogs against the Warriors.
- Seven of the Pacers’ last eight games have gone UNDERS.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the line in eight straight games as favourites vs Eastern opponents.
- The Pacers have lost the first quarter in five straight games.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD IND 1 8 1-4 0-4 GS 5 5 4-0 1-5 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. IND 110.3 119.2 -8.9 229.5 GS 116.1 116.7 -0.6 232.8 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT GSW UNDER GSW -12.5 227.5 114-83 The Indiana Pacers (2–8) will be trying to shake off a rough patch when they visit the Golden State Warriors (5–3) for the second leg of a back-to-back at Chase Center. Indiana’s first meeting with Golden State this season ended in a 114–109 home win on November 1, but they’ve since dropped seven straight on the road. Aaron Nesmith provided a spark in Friday’s 117–100 loss to Denver with 25 points and four steals, but the Pacers’ defense continues to struggle, giving up 122.1 points per game away from home.
The Warriors are also coming off a humbling 129–104 defeat to the Nuggets, still missing Stephen Curry (questionable), whose absence has been costly. Golden State has lost eight straight games without Curry, and their offensive rating dips by nearly 15 points when he’s sidelined. Jimmy Butler and Jonathan Kuminga have shouldered the scoring load, but the Warriors will need more consistency from their supporting cast. Al Horford is also questionable, leaving Golden State thin up front as they try to bounce back at home.
PICK – UNDER 227.5 TOTAL POINTS
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MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES @ SACRAMENTO KINGS
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
TEAM TRENDS
- 8 of the Timberwolves’ last 9 games against Western opponents have gone OVERS.
- The road team has won each of the last 10 games between the Timberwolves and Kings.
- The Kings have failed to cover the line in five of their last six home games.
WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD MIN 5 4 2-2 3-2 SAC 3 6 2-2 1-4 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. MIN 118.8 115.9 +2.9 234.7 SAC 115.1 121.7 -6.6 236.8 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT MIN UNDER MIN -5.0 235.5 144-117 The Minnesota Timberwolves (6–3) are firing on all cylinders after a dominant 137–97 home win over Utah. Anthony Edwards was electric with 37 points and seven triples on 57% shooting, while Julius Randle flirted with a triple-double (19 points, 10 rebounds, 12 assists). Jaden McDaniels added 22 points and three steals, rounding out one of Minnesota’s most complete team performances of the season. The Timberwolves have now won 13 straight when Edwards, Randle, and McDaniels combine for 70+ points, and they’re averaging a +12.5 point differential during that stretch.
The Sacramento Kings (2–6) continue to battle through early-season turbulence, recently falling 132–101 to Oklahoma City. Russell Westbrook was a lone bright spot, finishing with 24 points, nine assists, and five triples, but the Kings’ defense remains leaky, ranking bottom five in opponent field goal percentage. Domantas Sabonis’ status (questionable) looms large — his presence could help stabilize Sacramento’s rebounding and interior scoring. The Kings will be desperate to snap a five-game home skid against Minnesota, needing a sharper defensive effort to stay competitive.
PICK – MINNESOTA -5.0
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