Tonight’s Best NBA Picks – Thurs, 11th April

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*These NBA betting tips and player prop picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.


CHICAGO @ DETROIT

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Pistons beat the spread in their last 7 games against Eastern teams with a losing record.
  • The Pistons lost 13 of their last 14 games.
  • The Pistons’ last 5 games on the first leg of a back-to-back had total points below the line.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 37 42 20-21 17-21
DET 13 66 7-32 6-34

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
CHI 111.8 113.6 -1.8 225.4
DET 110.2 119.2 -9.0 229.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CHI OVER CHI
-9.5 219.0 127-105

After a four-game road stretch, the Pistons will face the Bulls at home on Thursday. The Pistons are ahead in the season series 2-1, winning the last game 105-95. Detroit recently lost to Philadelphia, with Jaden Ivey shining despite Cade Cunningham’s absence.

The Pistons are on a tough streak, losing 13 of their last 14 games. The Bulls also faced a recent defeat against New York, even with strong performances from DeMar DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic. Chicago has struggled, losing four consecutive games when DeRozan hits 30 points or more. Ayo Dosunmu’s participation for the Bulls is still in question.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • DeMar DeRozan scored 30+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 games against Eastern Conference teams.
  • Nikola Vucevic scored 20+ points in 7 of the Bulls’ last 10 games as favorites.
  • Coby White had 6+ assists in each of the Bulls’ last 5 games as road favorites.

PICK – OVER 219.0 TOTAL PTS


NEW YORK @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Knicks won 11 of their last 12 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • 8 of the Knicks’ last 9 games had total points Overs.
  • The Knicks beat the spread in their last 5 road games against Atlantic opponents.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 47 32 25-14 22-18
BOS 62 17 35-3 27-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
NY 112.7 108.1 +4.6 220.8
BOS 120.4 109.1 +11.3 229.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NY OVER NY
-2.5 216.5 118-109

The Knicks will end their four-game road trip against the Celtics at TD Garden on Thursday. This season, the Celtics have won all four previous games against the Knicks. Boston is looking to bounce back from a 104-91 loss to Milwaukee and extend their 13-game home winning streak.

On the other hand, the Knicks are coming off a 128-117 victory over Chicago, with Jalen Brunson leading with a 45-point effort. New York has a strong record of wins when Brunson hits six or more three-pointers. With the Celtics having already secured the first seed and only three regular season games left, key players like Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are questionable to play.

PLAYER STATS

  • Jalen Brunson scored 35+ points in each of the Knicks’ last 4 games.
  • Donte DiVincenzo scored 21+ points in 4 of the Knicks’ last 5 games.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein scored 10+ points in each of the Knicks’ last 3 games.
  • Josh Hart had 6+ assists in 8 of the Knicks’ last 9 games.
  • Jalen Brunson had 8+ assists in each of the Knicks’ last 5 games.

PICK – OVER 216.5 TOTAL PTS


HOUSTON @ UTAH

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Jazz have lost their last 13 games.
  • The Rockets’ last 6 games had total points Overs.
  • The Rockets beat the spread in 12 of their last 16 games against the Jazz at Delta Center.
  • The Jazz won the first half in their last 7 home games against the Rockets.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 39 40 27-14 12-26
UTA 29 50 20-20 9-30

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
HOU 114.2 113.3 +0.9 227.5
UTA 115.6 120.7 -5.1 236.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
HOU OVER UTA
-10.0 227.5 124-121

The Rockets (11th) and Jazz (12th) in the Western Conference will face off at Delta Center on Thursday. Houston has won all three previous season games against Utah. Recently, Utah lost to Denver, despite a strong performance from Omer Yurtseven, and is on a 13-game losing streak, their longest since 1982, hampered by multiple player absences.

Houston comes off a win against Orlando, led by Fred VanVleet’s standout 37-point game. The Rockets have been successful, with a 7-1 record when VanVleet shoots over 55% from the field.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jalen Green had 5+ assists in 7 of the Rockets’ last 8 games.
  • Jalen Green scored 26+ points in each of the Rockets’ last 6 games as favorites.
  • Fred VanVleet scored 22+ points in each of his last 4 road games against the Jazz.
  • Dillon Brooks scored 15+ points in each of the Rockets’ last 3 games.

PICK – HOUSTON -10.0


GOLDEN STATE @ PORTLAND

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Blazers have lost their last 19 games against teams with a winning record.
  • The Warriors have beaten the spread in 13 of their last 14 games as road favorites.
  • 17 of the last 22 games between the Warriors and Blazers at Moda Center had total points Overs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 44 35 20-19 24-16
POR 21 58 11-28 10-30

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
GSW 118 115.5 +2.5 233.5
POR 106.8 115.5 -8.7 222.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
GSW OVER GSW
-13.0 222.5 100-92

The Warriors will visit Portland at Moda Center for their fourth season matchup on Thursday night, having won all previous encounters this season. Their dominance extends to a five-game winning streak over the Trail Blazers. Portland is trying to recover from a recent 110-100 loss to New Orleans, despite Deandre Ayton’s impressive performance, and is facing an 11-game losing streak at home in conference games.

Golden State, on the other hand, is coming off a 134-120 victory over the Lakers, propelled by Stephen Curry’s efficient shooting and Klay Thompson’s scoring. The Warriors excel when Curry shoots over 60% from the field. Thompson and Draymond Green’s participation in the next game is uncertain.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Deandre Ayton had 13+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 home games.
  • Deandre Ayton scored 30+ points in 3 of his last 4 home games.
  • Scoot Henderson made 2+ three-pointers in each of the Trail Blazers’ last 4 games.
  • Kris Murray had 5+ rebounds in each of the Trail Blazers’ last 8 games against teams with a winning record.

PICK – OVER 221.5 TOTAL PTS


NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Kings’ last 11 home games against teams on the first leg of a back-to-back had total points Overs.
  • The road team has won each of the Pelicans’ last 6 games.
  • The Pelicans have beaten the spread in their last 4 games against the Kings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NOR 47 32 21-18 26-14
SAC 45 34 23-15 22-19

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV
NOR 114.9 110.4 +4.5 225.3
SAC 116.5 115.1 +1.4 231.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAC OVER NOR
-1.0 215.0 135-123

The Pelicans and Kings, close contenders for the West’s sixth seed, will clash at Golden 1 Center on Thursday. In their season series, the Pelicans have emerged victorious in all four previous games. The Kings recently lost to Oklahoma City, despite strong performances from De’Aaron Fox and Keon Ellis, marking their third loss in the last four games.

On the other hand, New Orleans secured a win over Portland, led by Trey Murphy III and C.J. McCollum. The Pelicans have a notable winning streak when Murphy hits 25+ points. Sacramento’s lineup may be affected by Keegan Murray’s uncertain status.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • C.J. McCollum scored 29+ points in the Pelicans’ last 4 games.
  • De’Aaron Fox scored 29+ points in the Kings’ last 3 games against teams with a winning record.
  • C.J. McCollum made 5+ three-pointers in his last 5 road games with Brandon Ingram out.
  • Trey Murphy III made 3+ three-pointers in his last 6 games against the Kings.
  • Herb Jones had 4+ rebounds in 5 of the Pelicans’ last 6 games against the Kings.
  • Domantas Sabonis had 9+ assists in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 home games.
  • Jonas Valanciunas recorded a double-double in 11 of his last 12 games against the Kings.

PICK – OVER 215.0 TOTAL PTS