*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ MIAMI HEAT
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
East 1st Round – Game 4 (Cleveland leads 3-0)
Team Trends:
- Each of the Heat’s last 7 playoff home games have gone under the total
- Heat have lost 7 straight playoff home games
- Heat have covered the line in 16 of their last 22 home games against the Cavaliers
- Heat have lost the first half in 10 straight Eastern First Round games
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CLE | 64 | 18 | 34-7 | 30-11 |
| MIA | 37 | 45 | 19-22 | 17-23 |
SEASON POINTS AVERAGE
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| CLE | 121.9 | 112.4 | +9.5 | 234.3 |
| MIA | 110.6 | 110.0 | +0.6 | 220.6 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Dec 9, 2024 | CLE 113 @ MIA 122 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CLE 126 @ MIA 106 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MIA 107 @ CLE 112 |
| GAME 1 | MIA 100 @ CLE 121 |
| GAME 2 | MIA 112 @ CLE 121 |
| GAME 3 | CLE 124 @ MIA 87 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| CLE | UNDER | |
| -1.5 | 209.5 |
The Cavaliers will look to complete a sweep of their Eastern First Round series when they visit the Miami Heat at Kaseya Center on Monday night. Cleveland dominated Game 3 with a 124-87 win, taking a 3-0 series lead and extending their winning streak over Miami to five games.
The Cavaliers controlled the paint, outscoring the Heat 60-30, and also had a major edge in second chance points, finishing with a 22-10 advantage. Miami’s struggles at home continued, with the Heat now having lost seven straight playoff games at Kaseya Center.
Cleveland could get a boost for Game 4, as Darius Garland is listed as questionable after missing Game 3.
PICK – CLEVELAND -1.5
HOUSTON ROCKETS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
West 1st Round – Game 4 (Golden State leads 2-1)
Team Trends:
- Each of the last 7 games between the Rockets and Warriors have gone under the total
- Warriors have won 12 of their 13 previous playoff home games vs. Rockets
- Home team has covered the line in 7 of the Warriors’ last 8 playoff games
- Rockets have won the 1st quarter in 9 of their last 10 Western Conference First Round games
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| HOU | 52 | 30 | 29-12 | 23-18 |
| GS | 48 | 34 | 24-17 | 24-17 |
SEASON POINTS AVERAGE
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOTAL |
| HOU | 114.3 | 109.8 | +4.5 | 224.1 |
| GS | 113.8 | 110.5 | +3.3 | 224.3 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE | RESULT |
| Nov 3, 2024 | GSW 127 @ HOU 121 (OT) |
| Dec 6, 2024 | HOU 93 @ GSW 99 |
| Dec 12, 2024 | GSW 90 @ HOU 91 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GSW 105 @ HOU 98 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | HOU 106 @ GSW 96 |
| GAME 1 | GSW 95 @ HOU 85 |
| GAME 2 | GSW 94 @ HOU 109 |
| GAME 3 | HOU 93 @ GSW 104 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| GSW | UNDER | |
| -3.5 | 198.5 |
The Warriors and Rockets meet again at Chase Center for Game 4 of their Western First Round series, with the Warriors leading 2-1. Golden State took control of the series with a 104-93 win in Game 3, continuing their strong playoff form at home.
The Warriors’ defense set the tone, forcing 15 Houston turnovers and holding the Rockets to just 39.5% shooting from the field. Golden State’s bench also made a big impact, outscoring Houston’s reserves 42-28. Stephen Curry led the way with a 36-point, 7-rebound, 9-assist performance, knocking down 5 threes in the process. Jimmy Butler remains questionable for Game 4.
Golden State has now won 16 of their last 19 playoff home games and holds an 8-1 record in their last nine games when Curry scores 35 or more points.
PICK – GOLDEN STATE -3.5
