1st Round – NBA Playoff Picks – Fri, 3rd May

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.

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CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 6

CLEVELAND LEADS 3-2

TEAM TRENDS

  • The home team won the last 10 Cavaliers vs. Magic playoff games.
  • The home team covered 10 of the Magic’s last 11 games.
  • 8 of the Magic’s last 9 home games went Unders.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 48 34 26-15 22-19
ORL 47 35 29-12 18-23

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CLE 112.6 110.2 +2.4 222.8
ORL 110.5 108.4 +2.1 218.9

SEASON MATCHUPS

TIED 2-2

GAME 5 CLE ORL 104:103
GAME 4 ORL CLE 112:89
GAME 3 ORL CLE 121:83
GAME 2 CLE ORL 96:86
GAME 1 CLE ORL 97:83
23.02.24 CLE ORL 109:116
23.01.24 ORL CLE 99:126
12.12.23 ORL CLE 104:94
07.12.23 CLE ORL 121:111

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
ORL OVER
-4.0 199.0

THE RUB

In a must-win Game 6 the Magic will face off against the Cavaliers at the Kia Center.

The Cavaliers currently hold a 3-2 series lead after narrowly winning Game 5 104-103 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.

Cleveland’s success largely stemmed from their ability to dominate inside the paint, outscoring Orlando 42-30 in that area.

The Cav’s ball security allowed them to capitalize on turnovers, outscoring the Magic 17-8 in that category. Donovan Mitchell led the charge for the Cavaliers, contributing 28 points and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Paolo Banchero was the standout performer for Orlando, putting up 39 points and 8 rebounds.

Keep an eye out for Jarrett Allen’s potential return for Cleveland. The Magic, who have secured two blowout wins at home in this series, will be fighting to extend their season.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Donovan Mitchell scored 30+ points in 4 of his last 5 playoff closeout games.
  • Evan Mobley gave 3+ assists in 5 of the Cavaliers’ last 6 road games.
  • Jalen Suggs scored 15+ points in 5 of the Magic’s last 7 home games.
  • Max Strus gave 4+ assists in 8 of the Cavaliers’ last 12 games.
  • Jalen Suggs gave 4+ assists in 5 of the Magic’s last 7 home games.

PICK – ORLANDO -4.0


LA CLIPPERS @ DALLAS

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 6

DALLAS LEADS 3-2

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Clippers won 9 of their last 10 road games after losing.
  • The Clippers covered 4 of their last 5 playoff games at American Airlines Center.
  • 5 of the Clippers’ last 6 road games as underdogs went Unders.
  • The Mavericks lost the first quarter in their last 8 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 51 31 25-16 26-15
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 115.6 112.3 +3.3 227.9
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

LA CLIPPERS 2-1

GAME 5 LAC DAL 93:123
GAME 4 DAL LAC 111:116
GAME 3 DAL LAC 101:90
GAME 2 LAC DAL 93:96
GAME 1 LAC DAL 109:97
21.12.23 DAL LAC 111:120
26.11.23 LAC DAL 107:88
11.11.23 DAL LAC 144:126

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DAL OVER
-8.0 206.0

THE RUB

In their recent Game 5 clash, the Mavericks dominated, securing a 123-93 win at Crypto.com Arena.

Dallas made the best of the Clippers’ 15 turnovers, converting them into 21 crucial points. Luka Doncic was the standout performer, delivering 35-point alongside 7 rebounds and 10 assists.

On the other end, the Clippers’ star duo of Paul George and James Harden struggled to find any rhythm, combining for just 22 points on 6-of-25 shooting. If Los Angeles hopes to extend their season, they’ll need a stronger showing from their stars.

As we approach Game 6, keep an eye on Terance Mann’s availability for the Clippers. Meanwhile, Tim Hardaway Jr. remains sidelined for Dallas. The stakes are high, and both teams will be giving their all to secure a spot in the next round.

It’s win or plan your holidays for the Clippers.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Paul George gave 5+ assists in his last 7 playoff road games.
  • James Harden scored 21+ points in 10 of his last 11 playoff games against the Mavericks.
  • Luka Doncic has 10+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 5 playoff home games.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. scored 11+ points in the Mavericks’ last 4 home games against the Clippers.
  • Paul George scored 26+ points in 6 of his last 7 playoff road games.
  • Kyrie Irving scored 26+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games.
  • Ivica Zubac scored 15+ points in 4 of the Clippers’ last 5 playoff games as underdogs.
  • Kyrie Irving has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Mavericks’ last 5 home games against winning teams.
  • Kyrie Irving has 2+ steals in 6 of his last 7 games.
  • Paul George has a double-double in 3 of his last 4 playoff games facing elimination.
  • Kyrie Irving has 6+ rebounds in 5 of his last 7 games against the Clippers.

PICK – OVER 206.0 TOTAL PTS


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