NBA Play-In Tournament Picks – Night 3

*These NBA betting tips and player prop picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.

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CHICAGO @ MIAMI

TEAM TRENDS

• The Heat have won their last 7 games following a loss.
• Each of the Bulls’ last 5 games have gone Overs.
• The Heat have won the first half in 4 of their last 5 games against the Bulls.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

SEASON MATCHUPS

PICKS ATS

THE RUB

The Bulls and Heat clash at Kaseya Center in a matchup for the East’s eighth seed.

Miami enters this contest following a narrow 105-104 defeat to the 76ers, a game marked by Jimmy Butler’s shooting struggles (5-18 FG). Butler is also likely to miss Friday’s game due to a knee injury.

Chicago advanced after an impressive 131-116 victory over Atlanta, highlighted by Coby White’s career-high 42 points on 15-21 shooting, alongside strong contributions from DeMar DeRozan and Nikola Vucevic.

The season series between these two teams is split 2-2, with each team securing a win at home and on the road. However, Chicago may face a setback as Alex Caruso is a major doubt for the game after spraining his foot on Wednesday.

PLAYER TRENDS

• Coby White has made 3+ three-pointers in the Bulls’ last 7 games against the Heat.
• DeMar DeRozan has 30+ points in each of his last 5 road games against Eastern teams.
• Nikola Vucevic has 24+ points in each of his last 4 games.
• Bam Adebayo has 23+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Bulls.
• Haywood Highsmith has 9+ points in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 home games against Eastern teams.
• Tyler Herro has 6+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games against the Bulls.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. has 18+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games against the Bulls.
• Ayo Dosunmu has made three three-pointers in his last 3 games.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. has 4 assists in each of the Heat’s last 3 games against the Bulls.

PICK – OVER 205.5 TOTAL PTS

NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO

TEAM TRENDS

• The road team has won the Pelicans’ last 10 games.
• 6 of the Kings’ last 7 games have gone Unders.
• The Pelicans have won the first half in their last 5 games against the Kings.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

SEASON MATCHUPS

PICKS ATS

THE RUB

In a matchup for the eighth seed in the West, the Kings face the Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Friday night.

The Pelicans are coming off a tough 110-106 loss to the Lakers, in which Zion Williamson scored 40 points and grabbed 11 rebounds before sustaining a hamstring injury that will keep him out for two weeks. This loss extends New Orleans’ home losing streak to six games, their longest since 2021.

On the other side, the Kings secured their spot in this game with a 118-94 win over Golden State, highlighted by Keegan Murray’s 32 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 three-pointers.

Despite the regular season dominance by the Pelicans, who swept the Kings 5-0, New Orleans will feel the absence of Williamson, who was a key factor in those wins with an average of 23.0 points on 65.6% shooting in the series. This injury could level the playing field for Sacramento.

PLAYER TRENDS

• Jonas Valanciunas has a double-double in 12 of his last 13 games against the Kings.
• Brandon Ingram has 22+ points in his last 6 home games against the Kings.
• Harrison Barnes has 16+ points in 7 of the Kings’ last 8 road games against the Pelicans.
• De’Aaron Fox has 30+ points in his last 5 road games against Western teams.
• Davion Mitchell has 3+ assists in the Kings’ last 4 games.
• Herb Jones has 3+ assists in 6 of the Pelicans’ last 7 games against the Kings.
• Keon Ellis has 13+ points in the Kings’ last 3 games.
• C.J. McCollum has 30+ points in the Pelicans’ last 2 games against the Kings.

PICK – NEW ORLEANS -1.0

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