The Western Finals open with Oklahoma City hosting a battle-tested San Antonio side. OKC’s elite two-way efficiency meets the Spurs’ structured half-court offense in what shapes as a high-IQ tactical series.
SAN ANTONIO SPURS @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Odds: SA $3.00 / OKC $1.41
West Finals – Game 1 (Series starts 5/18)
Oklahoma City finished the season with a dominant +11.1 differential, averaging 119.0 PPG while allowing just 107.9, one of the league’s best defensive profiles. San Antonio posted a +8.3 differential and 119.8 PPG, but face a difficult road matchup against OKC’s 34-7 home record.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| SA | 62 | 20 | 32-8 | 30-12 |
| OKC | 64 | 18 | 34-7 | 30-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| SA | 119.8 | 111.5 | +8.3 | 231.3 |
| OKC | 119.0 | 107.9 | +11.1 | 226.9 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| OKC | UNDER | SA |
| -6.5 | 219.5 | 122-115 (2OT) |
The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder will open the 2025-26 Western Conference Finals at Paycom Center on Monday night, with Oklahoma City looking to extend its unbeaten playoff run to 9-0.
Despite the Thunder’s dominance, the Spurs have been the one team to consistently trouble them this season, winning four of five regular season meetings including an NBA Cup Semi-final thriller. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead Oklahoma City’s charge, while Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox headline a dangerous Spurs squad that has already proven it can win at Paycom Center.
Team Trends
- The Thunder have won each of their last 9 playoff games.
- Each of the Spurs’ last 7 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- The Thunder have won the first quarter in each of their last 10 playoff home games.
- The Spurs have covered the line in 5 of their last 6 playoff road games.
Player Trends
- De’Aaron Fox – Made 2+ threes in each of his last 6 appearances against the Thunder at Paycom Center.
- Luguentz Dort – Made 2+ threes in 7 of the Thunder’s last 8 Game 1s of a playoff series.
- Devin Vassell – Recorded 2+ assists in each of the Spurs’ last 13 games.
- Stephon Castle – Recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 33 appearances.
- Ajay Mitchell – Recorded 4+ assists in each of the Thunder’s last 5 games.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Recorded 6+ assists in 11 of his last 12 appearances.
- Jalen Williams – Scored 16+ points in each of his last 15 playoff home games.
- Dylan Harper – Scored 11+ points in 6 of the Spurs’ last 7 games.
- Ajay Mitchell – Scored 15+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 6 games.
- De’Aaron Fox – Scored 16+ points in 17 of his last 18 playoff appearances.
- Devin Vassell – Scored 10+ points in each of the Spurs’ last 12 games.
- Stephon Castle – Scored 15+ points in 10 of the Spurs’ last 11 games.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Scored 31+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 3 Western Conference Finals home games.
- Chet Holmgren – Scored 15+ points in 10 of his last 11 appearances.
- Chet Holmgren – Recorded 9+ rebounds in each of the Thunder’s last 5 games.
- Dylan Harper – Recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Spurs’ last 6 games.
- Isaiah Hartenstein – Recorded 12 rebounds in each of his last 2 appearances against the Spurs.
- Victor Wembanyama – Recorded 14+ rebounds in 5 of the Spurs’ last 7 games.
- Chet Holmgren – Recorded 2+ blocks in each of the Thunder’s last 6 playoff home games.
PICK – UNDER 219.5 TOTAL POINTS
