NBA – Tonight’s Playoff Picks – Sunday, 18th May

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

DENVER NUGGETS @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

West Semifinals – Game 7 (Series tied 3-3)

TEAM & TOTALS TRENDS

  • The Thunder have failed to cover in 7 of their last 8 games.
  • OKC has won 13 of their last 14 following a loss.
  • 4 of Denver’s last 5 road games vs. Northwest teams have gone over 213.5 points.
  • The Thunder have won the 1st half in 9 of their last 10 vs. Denver.
  • The Nuggets have won the 1st quarter in 8 of their last 10 road games vs. OKC.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 50 32 26-15 24-17
OKC 68 14 35-6 32-8

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOTAL
DEN 120.8 116.9 +3.9 237.7
OKC 120.5 107.6 +12.9 228.1

Here is the full updated season series table:

SEASON SERIES

DATE RESULT
Oct 25, 2024 OKC 102 @ DEN 87
Nov 7, 2024 OKC 122 @ DEN 124
Mar 10, 2025 DEN 103 @ OKC 127
Mar 11, 2025 DEN 140 @ OKC 127
GAME 1 DEN 121 @ OKC 119
GAME 2 DEN 106 @ OKC 149
GAME 3 OKC 104 @ DEN 113 (OT)
GAME 4 OKC 92 @ DEN 87
GAME 5 DEN 105 @ OKC 112
GAME 6 OKC 107 @ DEN 119

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
OKC OVER
-8.5 213.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Alex Caruso has made 2+ threes in 4 straight games.
  • Christian Braun has made 2+ threes in 4 straight.
  • Nikola Jokic has made 2+ threes in 7 straight road games.
  • SGA has 8+ assists in 5 of OKC’s last 6 home playoff games.
  • Jalen Williams has 4+ assists in 13 straight vs. Northwest teams.
  • Jamal Murray has scored 25+ in 3 of Denver’s last 4 games.
  • Luguentz Dort has 12+ points in 4 straight home games vs. Denver.
  • Nikola Jokic has 35+ points in 3 of his last 4 road games vs. OKC.
  • Russell Westbrook has 12+ points in 18 straight playoff closeout games.
  • Jalen Williams has scored 16+ in 11 straight home games.
  • SGA has scored 30+ in 5 straight Western Semis home games.
  • Jalen Williams has 4+ rebounds in 10 straight playoff home games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has 6+ rebounds in 4 straight Game 7s.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein has 8+ rebounds in 4 straight games after playing under 30 minutes.
  • Nikola Jokic has 13+ rebounds in 4 straight games.
  • Jamal Murray has 4+ rebounds in 10 straight games.
  • Chet Holmgren has 8+ rebounds in 5 straight.
  • Aaron Gordon has 5+ assists in 3 of his last 4 games.
  • Aaron Gordon has 10+ points in 13 straight road games.

The Nuggets and Thunder will battle for a spot in the Western Finals when they clash in Game 7 of their Semi-final series at Paycom Center on Sunday afternoon. Denver forced the decider with a 119-107 win in Game 6 at Ball Arena, evening the series at 3-3.

The Nuggets dominated the second chance opportunities, outscoring the Thunder 23-9 in that category, and made the most of their trips to the line—finishing 27-of-32 (84.4%) on free throws compared to Oklahoma City’s 10-of-16 (62.5%). Nikola Jokic led the way with 29 points and 14 rebounds, while Christian Braun delivered a huge boost off the bench with 23 points, 11 rebounds, and 3 steals. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander paced the Thunder with 32 points in the loss.

Denver brings experience into Game 7, having won 3 of their last 4 series deciders since 2020. In contrast, Oklahoma City hasn’t won a Game 7 since 2014. The Nuggets could be without key forward Aaron Gordon, who is in doubt with a hamstring strain.

PICK – OVER 213.5 TOTAL POINTS

STEPH CURRY TOP 10

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