NBA – Tonight’s Free NBA Picks – Mon, 28th October

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*These free NBA picks and NBA player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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TONIGHT’S HOTTEST BEST ROI BETS

  1. New Orleans Game Total Under: Hit in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  2. Golden State Game Total Under: Hit in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  3. Minnesota 3Q Spread: Covered in 57 of their last 89 games (+21.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  4. Minnesota 2Q Game Total Under: Hit in 48 of their last 75 games (+18.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  5. New Orleans Moneyline: Hit in 26 of their last 37 away games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)

Denver Nuggets @ Brooklyn Nets

TEAM TRENDS

  • Nuggets won 9 straight vs. Eastern opponents.
  • 5 of Nets’ last 6 home games went under.
  • Nuggets lost the first half in 3 straight as favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 1 2 0-2 1-0
BKN 1 2 1-0 0-2

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 106.0 112.0 -6.0 218.0
BKN 110.7 112.7 -2.0 223.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN OVER DEN
-5.0 217.5 144-139 (1OT)

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Christian Braun has 11+ points in the Nuggets’ last 3 games.
  • Aaron Gordon has 4+ assists in 9 of his last 10 road games.
  • Nikola Jokic has a triple-double in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games against the Nets.
  • Nikola Jokic has 34+ points in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games as favourites.
  • Jamal Murray has 20+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against the Nets.
  • Cameron Thomas has 25+ points in 6 of the Nets’ last 8 home games.
  • Dennis Schroder has 4+ rebounds in the Nets’ last 5 home games.

PREVIEW

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Nuggets visit the Nets at Barclays Center.

Denver carries a three-game road winning streak against the Nets, including a 122-117 win as part of last season’s series sweep.

Brooklyn is coming off a 115-102 upset over Milwaukee, fueled by Cameron Thomas’ 32 points and Dennis Schroder’s 29. The Nets aim to snap a five-game losing streak against Western Conference teams.

Denver erased a 15-point deficit to edge Toronto 127-125 in overtime, led by Nikola Jokic’s 40 points and 10 rebounds.

The Nuggets have now won nine straight against Eastern Conference opponents.

Ben Simmons is out for Brooklyn.

PICK – OVER 217.5 TOTAL POINTS

Dallas Mavericks @ Minnesota Timberwolves

TEAM TRENDS

  • Mavericks won 3 straight as underdogs vs. Timberwolves
  • 7 of Mavericks’ last 8 games went under.
  • Timberwolves won the first half in 9 of last 10 home games vs. Mavericks

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 2 1 2-0 0-1
MIN 2 1 1-0 1-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DAL 110.7 108.3 +2.4 219.0
MIN 110.7 108.7 +2.0 219.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN UNDER DAL
+5.0 221.5 120-114

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Luka Doncic has 32+ points in 7 of his last 8 games against the Timberwolves.
  • Kyrie Irving has 23+ points in his last 7 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Klay Thompson has 18+ points in 7 of his last 8 games.
  • Julius Randle has 24+ points in his last 4 games against the Mavericks.
  • Anthony Edwards has 28+ points in his last 2 games against the Mavericks.
  • Anthony Edwards has 6+ rebounds in his last 6 games.
  • Luka Doncic has 9+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 4 games.
  • Kyrie Irving has 5+ assists in 4 of the Mavericks’ last 5 games.
  • Klay Thompson has made 4+ three-pointers in the Mavericks’ last 3 games.
  • Anthony Edwards has made 4+ three-pointers in his last 4 games.

PREVIEW

In a rematch of the 2023-24 Western Finals, the Mavericks and Timberwolves meet at Target Center.

Dallas won that series in five games, with Luka Doncic averaging 32.4 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 8.2 assists.

Minnesota is coming off a 112-101 win over Toronto, led by Julius Randle’s 24 points and nine rebounds, alongside Anthony Edwards’ 24 points and six boards.

Dallas defeated Utah 110-102 on Monday, with Kyrie Irving posting 23 points, six rebounds, and nine assists on 8-14 shooting.

The Mavericks are 8-2 in their last 10 games when Irving scores 20+ points.

PICK – UNDER 221.5 TOTAL POINTS

Sacramento Kings @ Utah Jazz

TEAM TRENDS

  • 6 of the last 7 games between Kings and Jazz at Delta Center went over.
  • Jazz lost 9 of their last 10 home games.
  • Kings failed to cover in 4 straight games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 1 2 1-1 0-1
UTA 0 3 0-2 0-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAC 117.7 115.3 +2.4 233.0
UTA 104.0 121.0 -17.0 225.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAC UNDER SAC
-5.5 234.5 113-96

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • De’Aaron Fox has 28+ points in his last 7 road games against Western Conference opponents.
  • DeMar DeRozan has 20+ points in his last 16 games.
  • Collin Sexton has 20+ points in his last 6 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Keegan Murray has 22+ points in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 games against the Jazz.
  • Lauri Markkanen has 20+ points in 7 of his last 8 home games.
  • Domantas Sabonis has a double-double in 44 of the Kings’ last 45 games as favourites.

PREVIEW

The Kings and Jazz, both playing the second leg of a back-to-back, meet at Delta Center.

The Kings swept last season’s three-game series, including a 130-114 road win, with Keegan Murray averaging 29 points. Utah is coming off a 110-102 loss to Dallas, hindered by Lauri Markkanen’s 4-15 shooting. The Jazz have now dropped 10 straight when Markkanen shoots below 40%.

Sacramento defeated Portland 111-98 on Monday, led by Domantas Sabonis’ 16 points, 13 rebounds, and seven assists, along with De’Aaron Fox’s 24 points and six rebounds.

PICK – SACRAMENTO -5.5

New Orleans Pelicans @ Golden State Warriors

TEAM TRENDS

  • Warriors won 22 of their last 26 home games vs. Pelicans.
  • 12 of the last 16 games between Pelicans and Warriors went under.
  • Pelicans failed to cover in 5 straight games vs. Western opponents.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NOP 2 1 1-0 1-1
GSW 2 1 0-1 2-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NOP 110.3 113.0 -2.7 223.3
GSW 123.7 100.7 +23.0 224.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NOP OVER GSW
-1.5 216.5 124-106

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Herb Jones has 12+ points in the Pelicans’ last 3 road games against the Warriors.
  • Brandon Ingram has 7+ rebounds in the Pelicans’ last 3 games.
  • Draymond Green has 7+ assists in his last 3 games against the Pelicans.
  • C.J. McCollum has 20+ points in the Pelicans’ last 4 games.

PREVIEW

Both sitting at 2-1, the Pelicans and Warriors meet at Chase Center.

The Pelicans took last season’s series 2-1, with the road team winning all three games.

Stephen Curry averaged 30 points in that series but will miss this game with a left peroneal strain.

Golden State went 3-5 without Curry last season, posting a -4.0 net rating compared to +3.7 with him. Most recently, the Warriors fell 112-104 to the Clippers, while the Pelicans were upset 125-103 by Portland.

PICK – OVER 216.5 TOTAL POINTS

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