NBA – Tonight’s Best Basketball Bets – Thurs, 6th March

free nba picks thursday

*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

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CHICAGO @ ORLANDO

Amway Center, Orlando, FL

TEAM TRENDS

  • CHI – The Bulls have covered 13 of their last 14 road games vs. Eastern teams following a loss.
  • ORL – The Magic have won each of their last 6 games vs. Bulls teams with a losing record.
  • ORL – Five of the Magic’s last 6 games as favourites have gone under.
  • ORL – The Magic have won the first half in each of their last 7 games vs. the Bulls.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHI 24 38 11-22 13-16
ORL 29 34 18-15 11-19

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHI 116.5 120.7 -4.2 237.2
ORL 104.2 105.9 -1.7 210.1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
ORL UNDER CHI
-6.5 218.5 125-123
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • ORL – Franz Wagner has scored the first basket in 2 of the Magic’s last 3 home games vs. the Bulls.
  • ORL – Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 2+ threes in each of the Magic’s last 2 games vs. the Bulls.
  • CHI – Zach Collins has recorded a double-double in 3 of the Bulls’ last 4 games.
  • ORL – Franz Wagner has recorded 4+ assists in 5 of the Magic’s last 6 home games vs. the Bulls.
  • CHI – Coby White has scored 25+ points in each of the Bulls’ last 2 games.
  • CHI – Zach Collins has scored 15+ points in each of the Bulls’ last 5 games.
  • ORL – Paolo Banchero has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 5 games vs. the Bulls.
  • CHI – Coby White has recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Bulls’ last 5 games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • CHI – Zach Collins has recorded 12+ rebounds in 3 of the Bulls’ last 4 games.

PREVIEW

The Bulls and Magic, both in East play-in spots, face off at Kia Center.

They’ve split two matchups this season, with the home team winning each.

The Magic, upset 114-113 by Toronto despite Paolo Banchero’s 41-8-8-4 (career-high) and Franz Wagner’s 28 points, have dropped four straight at home—their longest skid since December 2022.

Chicago fell 139-117 to Cleveland, with Zach Collins posting 20-12-3 (season-high), missing Josh Giddey (questionable). The Bulls have lost nine of 11 and four straight without Giddey.

PICK – ORLANDO -6.5

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INDIANA @ ATLANTA

State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

TEAM TRENDS

  • IND – 14 of the last 16 games between the Pacers and Hawks have gone over.
  • IND – The Pacers have won each of their last 5 games vs. the Hawks.
  • IND – The Hawks have lost the first quarter in each of their last 4 games.
  • IND – The Pacers have won both halves in each of their last 4 games vs. the Hawks.
  • ATL – The Hawks have failed to cover the line in 4 of their last 5 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 35 25 19-9 15-15
ATL 28 34 13-16 15-17

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
IND 116.6 115.1 +1.5 231.7
ATL 116.9 119.7 -2.8 236.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
IND OVER ATL
-2.5 246.5 124-118
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • IND – Myles Turner has made 4+ threes in 3 of the Pacers’ last 4 games.
  • IND – Aaron Nesmith has made 2+ threes in 3 of the Pacers’ last 4 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • ATL – Zaccharie Risacher has made 2+ threes in 8 of his last 10 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • ATL – Trae Young has recorded a double-double in each of the Hawks’ last 4 home games.
  • ATL – Trae Young has made 3+ threes in 3 of the Hawks’ last 4 home games vs. Pacers teams with a winning record.
  • ATL – Trae Young has recorded 12+ assists in each of the Hawks’ last 4 home games.
  • IND – Pascal Siakam has recorded 4+ assists in 10 of his last 11 games vs. the Hawks.
  • IND – Myles Turner has scored 16+ points in each of the Pacers’ last 7 games.
  • ATL – Onyeka Okongwu has scored 16+ points in 4 of the Hawks’ last 5 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • ATL – Dyson Daniels has scored 16+ points in 4 of the Hawks’ last 5 games as underdogs vs. Eastern teams.
  • IND – Aaron Nesmith has scored 16+ points in each of the Pacers’ last 2 games.
  • IND – Pascal Siakam has recorded 6+ rebounds in 13 of his last 14 games vs. the Hawks.
  • IND – Aaron Nesmith has recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Pacers’ last 7 games.
  • ATL – Onyeka Okongwu has recorded 8+ rebounds in each of the Hawks’ last 8 games vs. teams with a winning record.

PREVIEW

Meeting for the second time this season, the Pacers and Hawks clash at State Farm Arena.

Indiana won their first matchup 132-127 on February 1, extending their streak vs. Atlanta to five games.

The Hawks lost 127-121 to Milwaukee despite Trae Young’s 28-13 outing, marking their fourth straight loss when he scores 25+.

Indiana beat Houston 115-102 behind Tyrese Haliburton’s 28-15-5 on 9-16 shooting. The Pacers have won 15 straight when Haliburton scores 20+, though his hip issue makes him questionable.

PICK – INDIANA -2.5

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PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON

TD Garden, Boston, MA

TEAM TRENDS

  • BOS – The Celtics have failed to cover in each of their last 7 home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • BOS – The 76ers have lost each of their last 10 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • BOS – 4 of the last 5 games between the 76ers and Celtics have gone over.
  • BOS – The Celtics have won the first half in 9 of their last 10 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 21 40 11-21 10-19
BOS 44 18 20-11 24-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 109.1 113.8 -4.7 222.9
BOS 117.0 108.4 +8.6 225.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHI OVER BOS
+13.5 217.5 123-105
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • PHI – Paul George has recorded 6+ assists in 3 of the 76ers’ last 4 road games.
  • BOS – Jayson Tatum has recorded 9+ assists in 4 of the Celtics’ last 5 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • BOS – Jaylen Brown has recorded 4+ assists in 5 of the Celtics’ last 6 games vs. Atlantic teams.
  • BOS – Jaylen Brown has scored 20+ points in each of the Celtics’ last 7 home games vs. the 76ers.
  • BOS – Jayson Tatum has scored 31+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games after missing the previous game.
  • PHI – Paul George has scored 15+ points in 5 of his last 6 games.
  • BOS – Jayson Tatum has recorded 10+ rebounds in each of his last 4 home games.
  • BOS – Jaylen Brown has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of the Celtics’ last 4 games vs. the 76ers.
  • PHI – Paul George has recorded 7+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games.

PREVIEW

Playing the second leg of a back-to-back, the Celtics host the 76ers at TD Garden.

Boston leads the season series 2-1 after a 124-104 win on February 20.

The Celtics beat Portland 128-118, led by Payton Pritchard’s 43 points and 10 triples (both career-highs) and Derrick White’s 41-9 (both career-highs) with Kristaps Porzingis and Jayson Tatum out.

Boston has won 11 straight when Pritchard scores 25+. Philadelphia lost 126-112 to Minnesota despite Quentin Grimes’ 30-3 outing while missing Tyrese Maxey (out). The 76ers have lost 10 straight in conference play. Paul George is questionable.

PICK – OVER 217.5 TOTAL POINTS

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GOLDEN STATE @ BROOKLYN

Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

TEAM TRENDS

  • GSW – The Warriors have covered in 7 of their last 8 games.
  • GSW – The Nets have lost each of their last 5 games.
  • GSW – Each of the Nets’ last 3 games vs. Western teams have gone over.
  • BKN – The home team has won the first half in each of the last 6 games between the Warriors and Nets.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GS 34 28 17-13 17-15
BKN 21 40 9-20 12-20

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
GS 113.1 111.0 +2.1 224.1
BKN 105.0 111.6 -6.6 216.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
GSW UNDER GSW
-10.0 224.5 121-119
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • GSW – Stephen Curry has made 5+ threes in 3 of the Warriors’ last 4 games.
  • MIA – Jimmy Butler has recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 12 games.
  • GSW – Draymond Green has recorded 6+ assists in each of his last 6 games vs. the Nets.
  • GSW – Stephen Curry has recorded 9+ assists in each of the Warriors’ last 3 games.
  • LAL – D’Angelo Russell has recorded 7+ assists in each of his last 3 games vs. the Warriors.
  • GSW – Stephen Curry has scored 26+ points in each of the Warriors’ last 4 games vs. the Nets.
  • BKN – Cameron Thomas has scored 23+ points in 5 of his last 6 games.
  • MIA – Jimmy Butler has scored 20+ points in each of his last 3 games vs. the Nets.
  • LAL – D’Angelo Russell has scored 15+ points in 5 of his last 6 games vs. the Warriors.
  • BKN – Nicolas Claxton has scored 15+ points in each of his last 3 games vs. the Warriors.
  • BKN – Ziaire Williams has recorded 7+ rebounds in each of the Nets’ last 4 home games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • GSW – Draymond Green has recorded 8+ rebounds in each of the Warriors’ last 4 games.
  • MIA – Jimmy Butler has recorded 6+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games vs. Nets teams with a losing record.
  • GSW – Stephen Curry has recorded 4+ rebounds in each of his last 6 games vs. Nets teams with a losing record.

PREVIEW

Closing a five-game road trip, the Warriors visit Brooklyn at Barclays Center.

Brooklyn won their first meeting 128-120 on November 25 behind Dennis Schroder’s 31 points. The Nets lost 127-113 to San Antonio, extending their skid to five.

Golden State beat New York 114-102 at MSG, led by Stephen Curry’s 28-7-9 with five triples. The Warriors have won seven of eight, climbing out of the play-in into the West’s top six.

PICK – GOLDEN STATE -10.0

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HOUSTON @ NEW ORLEANS

Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA

TEAM TRENDS

  • HOU – The Rockets have lost each of their last 8 road games.
  • NOP – Each of the Pelicans’ last 4 games have gone over.
  • HOU – The Pelicans have lost the first half in 9 of their last 10 games.
  • NOP – The home team has covered in 7 of the Pelicans’ last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 37 25 20-10 17-14
NO 17 45 11-19 6-26

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
HOU 112.7 109.4 +3.3 222.1
NO 111.0 119.0 -8.0 230.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
HOU OVER HOU
-4.5 228.5 109-97
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • NOP – Trey Murphy III has made 4 threes in each of the Pelicans’ last 2 games vs. the Rockets.
  • HOU – Jalen Green has made 4+ threes in each of the Rockets’ last 3 games as favs vs. the Pelicans.
  • NOP – Zion Williamson has recorded 6+ assists in each of his last 3 games.
  • NOP – Trey Murphy III has recorded 4+ assists in each of the Pelicans’ last 7 games vs. Southwest teams.
  • HOU – Alperen Sengun has recorded 6+ assists in each of the Rockets’ last 5 games as road favs vs. Western teams.
  • HOU – Alperen Sengun has scored 25+ points in each of his last 3 road games.
  • NOP – Zion Williamson has scored 27+ points in each of his last 4 games as an underdog.
  • HOU – Jalen Green has scored 21+ points in each of the Rockets’ last 14 games vs. Southwest teams.
  • HOU – Amen Thompson has scored 19+ points in each of the Rockets’ last 4 games vs. Southwest teams.
  • HOU – Alperen Sengun has recorded 10+ rebounds in each of the Rockets’ last 6 games as favs.
  • NOP – C.J. McCollum has recorded 5+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games vs. the Rockets.
  • HOU – Jabari Smith Jr. has recorded 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Rockets’ last 5 games.
  • HOU – Amen Thompson has recorded 9+ rebounds in each of his last 9 games.
  • NOP – Zion Williamson has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 10 home games.

PREVIEW

Returning from a four-game road trip, the Pelicans host the Rockets at Smoothie King Center.

Houston won both prior matchups, with Jalen Green averaging 32.0 points.

New Orleans lost 136-115 to the Lakers despite Zion Williamson’s 37-6 outing, marking their fourth straight loss when he scores 30+.

Houston fell 115-102 to Indiana despite Alperen Sengun’s 25-7 performance, playing without Fred VanVleet (out). The Rockets have lost eight straight on the road.

PICK – OVER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS

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NEW YORK @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • LAL – The Lakers have won each of their last 9 games vs. teams with a winning record.
  • LAL – 7 of the Lakers’ last 8 games have gone under.
  • LAL – The Lakers have won the first half in each of their last 12 home games.
  • LAL – The Knicks have lost the first quarter in each of their last 7 games as underdogs.
  • LAL – The Knicks have failed to cover in 7 of their last 8 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 40 21 21-11 19-10
LAL 39 21 24-7 15-14

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NY 117.4 112.9 +4.5 230.3
LAL 113.1 111.2 +1.9 224.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NY UNDER LAL
+4.5 230.5 113-109 (OT)
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE

PLAYER TRENDS

  • NYK – Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2+ threes in each of his last 5 games as an underdog vs. the Lakers.
  • NYK – Jalen Brunson has made 3+ threes in each of his last 2 road games vs. the Lakers.
  • LAL – LeBron James has recorded a triple-double in 4 of his last 5 games vs. the Knicks.
  • NYK – Luka Doncic has recorded a double-double in each of his last 5 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • LAL – LeBron James has recorded 10+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games vs. the Knicks.
  • NYK – Karl-Anthony Towns has recorded 5+ assists in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. the Lakers.
  • NYK – Jalen Brunson has recorded 6+ assists in each of the Knicks’ last 12 road games vs. Western teams.
  • LAL – Luka Doncic has recorded 10+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games vs. Eastern teams.
  • NYK – Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 32+ points in each of the Knicks’ last 2 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • LAL – Luka Doncic has scored 39+ points in each of his last 2 games vs. the Knicks.

PREVIEW

Closing a six-game homestand, the Lakers host the Knicks at Crypto.com Arena.

The Lakers won their first matchup 128-112 on February 1 behind LeBron James’ 33-11-12 triple-double.

LAst time out, the Lakers crushed New Orleans 136-115, led by Luka Doncic’s 30-8-15 with six triples and LeBron’s 34-8-6. The Lakers have won seven straight, their longest run since January 2020.

New York lost 114-102 to Golden State despite OG Anunoby’s 29 points and Jalen Brunson’s 25-7 outing, playing without Karl-Anthony Towns (available). Austin Reaves is probable.

PICK – NEW YORK +4.5

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