NBA – Tonight’s Best NBA Playoff Picks – Sun. 11th May

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ DENVER NUGGETS

Ball Arena, Denver, CO

West Semifinals – Game 4 (Denver leads series 2-1)

TEAM & TOTALS TRENDS

  • The Nuggets have won 5 of their last 6 home games vs. the Thunder.
  • The Thunder have won the 1st half in each of their last 7 games vs. the Nuggets.
  • The Nuggets have covered the line in 8 of their last 9 games as home underdogs vs. Western teams.
  • Each of the Thunder’s last 7 games following overtime have gone over the total.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 68 14 35-6 33-8
DEN 50 32 26-15 24-17

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOTAL
OKC 120.5 107.6 +12.9 228.1
DEN 120.8 116.9 +3.9 237.7

SEASON SERIES

DATE RESULT
Oct 25, 2024 OKC 102 @ DEN 87
Nov 7, 2024 OKC 122 @ DEN 124
Mar 10, 2025 DEN 103 @ OKC 127
Mar 11, 2025 DEN 140 @ OKC 127
GAME 1 DEN 121 @ OKC 119
GAME 2 DEN 106 @ OKC 149
GAME 3 OKC 104 @ DEN 113 (OT)

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN OVER
+6.5 227.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Aaron Gordon has recorded 8+ rebounds in 6 straight home games vs. the Thunder.
  • Aaron Gordon has made 2+ threes in 7 straight playoff games as a dog vs. Northwest teams.
  • Jamal Murray has had 6+ assists in 8 of his last 9 home games.
  • Jamal Murray has scored 21+ points in each of his last 6 home games as a dog vs. West teams.
  • Jamal Murray has had 4+ rebounds in 7 straight games.
  • Nikola Jokic has had 11+ assists in 6 of his last 7 games as a home underdog.
  • Nikola Jokic has scored 30+ points in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 8 Game 4s.
  • Nikola Jokic has recorded 12+ rebounds in each of the Nuggets’ last 4 home games vs. the Thunder.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 2+ threes in 12 of his last 13 games vs. the Thunder.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has scored 15+ in 6 of his last 7 home games vs. the Thunder.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 6 home games vs. the Thunder.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30+ in 7 of the Thunder’s last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has had 8+ assists in 4 of OKC’s last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
  • Jalen Williams has scored 25+ in 4 of his last 5 road games.
  • Jalen Williams has recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 13 road games.
  • Chet Holmgren has scored 15+ in 7 of his last 8 road games.
  • Chet Holmgren has recorded 10+ rebounds in each of OKC’s last 3 games at Ball Arena.

PICK – DENVER +6.5

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ INDIANA PACERS

Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

East Semifinals – Game 4 (Indiana leads series 2-1)

TEAM & TOTALS TRENDS

  • The Cavaliers have won 6 straight road games following a road win.
  • The Pacers’ last 4 games as home underdogs have gone under the total.
  • The road team has covered in each of the last 7 games between these teams.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 64 18 34-7 30-11
IND 50 32 29-11 21-21

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOTAL
CLE 121.9 112.4 +9.5 234.3
IND 117.4 115.1 +2.3 232.5

SEASON SERIES

DATE RESULT
Jan 13, 2025 IND 108 @ CLE 93
Jan 15, 2025 CLE 127 @ IND 117
Apr 11, 2025 CLE 112 @ IND 114
Apr 14, 2025 IND 126 @ CLE 118 (OT)
GAME 1 IND 121 @ CLE 112
GAME 2 IND 120 @ CLE 119
GAME 3 CLE 126 @ IND 104

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
IND OVER
+5.5 230.5
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN

PLAYER TRENDS

  • De’Andre Hunter has scored 17+ in his last 7 road games after being held to single digits.
  • Donovan Mitchell has hit 4+ threes in 6 straight road Conference Semifinal games.
  • Max Strus has made 3+ threes in his last 5 road games vs. Central teams.
  • Pascal Siakam has recorded 2+ assists in 14 straight playoff games as an underdog.
  • Andrew Nembhard has had 4+ assists in 12 straight playoff home games.
  • Tyrese Haliburton has had 10+ assists in 4 of his last 5 home games vs. Cleveland.
  • Darius Garland has had 6+ assists in 6 of his last 7 road games vs. Indiana.
  • Donovan Mitchell has had 4+ assists in 8 straight Game 4s.
  • Jarrett Allen has scored 10+ in 10 straight games as a favorite vs. the Pacers.
  • Donovan Mitchell has scored 35+ in 3 straight road games vs. Indiana.
  • Aaron Nesmith has scored 16+ in 5 straight games after scoring under 10.
  • Darius Garland has scored 21+ in 4 of his last 5 games.
  • Bennedict Mathurin has scored 18+ in 6 straight games as a home dog vs. East teams.
  • Max Strus has scored 20+ in each of his last 2 games.
  • Donovan Mitchell has had 4+ rebounds in 9 straight games vs. winning teams.
  • Aaron Nesmith has had 4+ rebounds in 11 straight as a dog vs. Central teams.
  • Myles Turner has recorded 8+ rebounds in 3 of the Pacers’ last 4 games.
  • Jarrett Allen has had 12 rebounds in 3 of Cleveland’s last 4 games.
  • Evan Mobley has had 12+ boards in 3 of his last 4 vs. Indiana.

PICK – INDIANA +5.5

STEPH CURRY TOP 10

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