NBA Playoff Picks – Dallas @ Minnesota – Game 1

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*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.

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DALLAS @ MINNESOTA

WESTERN CONFERENCE SEMI-FINALS

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Mavericks have lost 11 of their last 12 Game 1s in playoff series.
  • 8 of the last 9 games between the Mavericks and Timberwolves have gone Unders.
  • The Timberwolves have covered 7 of their last 8 playoff games following a win.
  • The Timberwolves have won the first half in their last 7 home games vs. Mavericks.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 56 26 30-11 26-15
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIN 113 106.5 +6.5 219.5
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

MINNESOTA 3-1

01.02.24 MIN DAL 121:87
08.01.24 DAL MIN 115:108
29.12.23 MIN DAL 118:110
15.12.23 DAL MIN 101:119

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN OVER DAL
-4.0 207.0 108-105

THE RUB

The Mavericks and Timberwolves clash in Game 1 of the 2023-24 Western Finals at Target Center on Wednesday night.

Their last playoff meeting was in the 2001-02 season, with the Mavericks sweeping the Timberwolves in the first round.

In the recent regular season, the Timberwolves won the series 3-1, including two home wins. The Mavericks’ lone win came in a game where both Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic played, combining for 69 points in a 115-108 triumph.

Minnesota advanced by defeating Denver in seven games in the conference semi-finals, with Anthony Edwards averaging 27.7 points per game. Dallas reached the finals by beating Oklahoma City in six games, thanks to Luka Doncic’s averages of 24.7 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 8.7 assists per contest.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jaden McDaniels has 1+ blocks in the Timberwolves’ last 8 games.
  • Luka Doncic has a triple-double in the Mavericks’ last 3 games.
  • Kyrie Irving has 2+ steals in 8 of his last 9 road appearances.
  • Anthony Edwards has 2+ steals in 8 of the Timberwolves’ last 9 playoff home games.
  • Kyrie Irving has scored 27+ points in his last 5 vs. Timberwolves.
  • Luka Doncic has 10+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 5 games.
  • P.J. Washington has 7+ rebounds in his last 5 road games vs. Timberwolves.
  • Rudy Gobert has 14+ points in 6 of his last 7 home games vs. Mavericks.
  • Mike Conley has scored 13+ points in 12 of his last 15 home appearances.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has 11+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. Timberwolves.
  • Daniel Gafford has 7+ rebounds in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 games.
  • Daniel Gafford has 2+ blocks in 4 of his last 5 vs. Timberwolves.
  • Jaden McDaniels has 6+ rebounds in his last 3 Game 1s of playoff series.
  • Luka Doncic has 10+ assists in the Mavericks’ last 3 games.
  • Rudy Gobert has a double-double in his last 3 playoff games vs. Mavericks.

PICK – OVER 207.0 TOTAL PTS


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