1st Round – NBA Playoff Picks – Tues, 30th April

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.


PHILADELPHIA @ NEW YORK

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

NEW YORK LEADS 3-1

TEAM TRENDS

  • 12 of the Knicks’ last 13 Eastern First Round home games went Unders.
  • The Knicks have won their last 4 playoff home games against the 76ers.
  • The Knicks have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games against winning teams.
  • The 76ers have won the first quarter in their last 6 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 47 35 25-16 22-19
NY 50 32 27-14 23-18

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 114.6 111.5 +3.1 226.1
NY 112.8 108.2 +4.6 221.0

SEASON MATCHUPS

NEW YORK 3-1

GAME 4 PHI NY 92:97
GAME 3 PHI NY 125:114
GAME 2 NY PHI 104:101
GAME 1 NY PHI 111:104
13.03.24 NY PHI 106:79
11.03.24 NY PHI 73:79
23.02.24 PHI NY 96:110
06.01.24 PHI NY 92:128

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NY OVER PHI
-4.0 202.0 112-106 (1OT)

THE RUB

With the chance to secure their ticket to the second round, the Knicks will host the 76ers in at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday night. After their 97-92 win at Wells Fargo Center on Sunday.

New York’s dominance on the offensive boards played a crucial role in Game 4, outrebounding Philly 15 to 9, resulting in a big 21-8 advantage in second-chance points. Jalen Brunson delivering a franchise playoff-high 47 points.

Despite the loss, Joel Embiid notched 27 points, 10 rebounds, 6 assists, and 3 steals. However the big man came up short in a disappointing fourth quarter.

As the series heads back to Madison Square Garden, the Knicks will aim to capitalize on their home-court advantage and close out the series. However, they will be without Bojan Bogdanovic, while Mitchell Robinson’s availability remains uncertain.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jalen Brunson grabbed 5+ rebounds in each of the Knicks’ last 6 playoff home games.
  • Donte DiVincenzo scored 14+ points in 9 of the Knicks’ last 10 home games.
  • Joel Embiid made 2+ three-pointers in 8 of his last 9 appearances.
  • Joel Embiid recorded a double-double in 8 of his last 9 playoff elimination games.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. scored 14+ points in 10 of his last 12 games against the Knicks.
  • Josh Hart scored 20+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the 76ers.
  • Josh Hart grabbed 13+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games against the 76ers.
  • Tobias Harris grabbed 8+ rebounds in 5 of the 76ers’ last 6 games.
  • Tyrese Maxey scored 33+ points in each of the 76ers’ last 3 road games.
  • Donte DiVincenzo gave 3+ assists in 6 of the Knicks’ last 8 games against the 76ers.

PICK – NEW YORK -4.0


ORLANDO @ CLEVELAND

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

SERIES TIED 2-2

TEAM TRENDS

  • The home team has won the last 9 playoff games between the Magic and Cavaliers.
  • The Cavaliers’ last 7 playoff home games went Unders.
  • The Magic haven’t covered their last 6 road games.
  • The Cavaliers won the first half in 7 of their last 8 home games against the Magic.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 48 34 26-15 22-19
ORL 47 35 29-12 18-23

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CLE 112.6 110.2 +2.4 222.8
ORL 110.5 108.4 +2.1 218.9

SEASON MATCHUPS

TIED 2-2

GAME 4 ORL CLE 112:89
GAME 3 ORL CLE 121:83
GAME 2 CLE ORL 96:86
GAME 1 CLE ORL 97:83
23.02.24 CLE ORL 109:116
23.01.24 ORL CLE 99:126
12.12.23 ORL CLE 104:94
07.12.23 CLE ORL 121:111

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CLE OVER CLE
-4.0 199.5 104-103

THE RUB

The Magic meet Cleveland at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, aiming to capitalize on their momentum from a big 112-89 win in Game 4. The Magic’s win at Kia Center leveled the series at 2-2, fueled by a commanding 37-10 third-quarter surge that left the Cavaliers reeling.

Orlando’s success stemmed from beyond the arc, where they out-shot Cleveland by a 46.2% compared to the Cavaliers’ 23.5%. Additionally, the Magic dominated the boards, securing 43 rebounds compared to Cleveland’s 29, underscoring their dominance in the paint.

Leading the charge for Orlando was Franz Wagner, who delivered 34 points and 13 rebounds, setting a career-high in scoring. The Magic have now won 10-straight when Wagner scores 30+ points.

With momentum on their side, the Magic will aim to capitalize on their strengths and continue their winning streak behind Wagner’s stellar play.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Gary Harris scored 8+ points in 10 of his last 11 road games against the Cavaliers.
  • Jarrett Allen recorded a double-double in 8 of his last 9 home games.
  • Moritz Wagner scored 10+ points in each of his last 5 road games against the Cavaliers.
  • Max Strus grabbed 5+ rebounds in his last 5 home games.
  • Jalen Suggs grabbed 4+ rebounds in his last 4 games as an underdog.
  • Donovan Mitchell scored 28+ points in 11 of his last 13 games at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse.
  • Paolo Banchero made 2 three-pointers in 5 of his last 6 road games as an underdog.
  • Darius Garland scored 18+ points in 6 of his last 8 home games against the Magic.
  • Darius Garland recorded 8+ assists in 7 of his last 9 games as a favorite.

PICK – OVER 199.5 TOTAL PTS


INDIANA @ MILWAUKEE

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

INDIANA LEADS 3-1

TEAM TRENDS

  • 8 of the Bucks’ last 9 playoff games went Overs.
  • The Bucks have lost 6 of their last 7 playoff games.
  • The Pacers have covered 6 of their last 9 games against the Bucks.
  • The Bucks won the first half in 12 of their last 14 games against the Pacers at Fiserv Forum.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 47 35 26-15 21-20
MIL 49 33 31-11 18-22

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
IND 123.3 120.2 +3.1 243.5
MIL 119.0 116.4 +2.6 235.4

SEASON MATCHUPS

INDIANA 4-1 (INCLUDES IN-SEASON TOURNAMENT)

GAME 4 IND MIL 126:113
GAME 3 IND MIL 121:118 (1OT)
GAME 2 MIL IND 108:125
GAME 1 MIL IND 109:94
04.01.24 IND MIL 142:130
02.01.24 MIL IND 113:122
14.12.23 MIL IND 140:126
08.12.23 – IST MIL IND 119:128
10.11.23 IND MIL 126:124

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
IND OVER MIL
-4.5 214.5 115-92

THE RUB

In a must-win Game 5 clash, the Pacers head to the Fiserv Forum to face the Milwaukee Bucks, aiming to secure their ticket to the second round.

Indiana’s recent 126-113 win at Gainbridge Fieldhouse showcased their sharpshooting, where they outperformed the Bucks by a significant margin, shooting 51.2% compared to Milwaukee’s 36.4% from three-point range.

Myles Turner stole the show with 29 points, three blocks, and a season-high 7 triples.

Milwaukee have their backs to the wall without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, both doubtful for Game 5, along with Bobby Portis’ early ejection. Despite Brook Lopez’s impressive 27-points, the Bucks struggled to contain Indiana’s offensive onslaught.

The Bucks now find themselves on the brink of elimination, having lost 6 of their last 7 playoff games.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Myles Turner made 3+ three-pointers in his last 5 games.
  • Pascal Siakam grabbed 10+ rebounds in his last 4 playoff road games.
  • Myles Turner scored 22+ points in his last 3 games.
  • Andrew Nembhard scored 15+ points in his last 3 games.
  • Brook Lopez grabbed 8+ rebounds in his last 3 playoff elimination games.
  • Khris Middleton recorded a double-double in the Bucks’ last 3 games as underdogs.

PICK – INDIANA -4.5