1st Round – NBA Playoff Picks – Tues, 23rd April

nba playoffs picks

*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.

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PHOENIX @ MINNESOTA

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 2

MINNESOTA LEADS 1-0

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Suns have lost their last 8 playoff games when underdogs.
  • The last 5 Timberwolves-Suns home games went Overs.
  • The Timberwolves have covered their last 3 Western Conference First Round games.
  • Underdogs have won the first half in 5 of the Suns’ last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHX 49 33 25-16 24-17
MIN 56 26 30-11 26-15

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHX 116.2 113.2 +3.0 229.4
MIN 113.0 106.5 +6.5 219.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

PHOENIX 3-0

GAME 1 MIN PHX 120:95
15.04.24 MIN PHX 106:126
06.04.24 PHX MIN 97:87
16.11.23 PHX MIN 133:115

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN OVER MIN
-3.0 211.0 105-93

THE RUB

The Timberwolves host the Suns for Game 2 of their West First Round series at Target Center on Tuesday night, following a nice win for Minnesota in the opener.

The Timberwolves dominated the Suns 120-95, ending their own four-game losing streak against Phoenix. A major part of Minnesota’s success was their play inside the paint, where they outscored the Suns 52-34. Additionally, they showed strong rebounding, collecting 52 rebounds to the Suns’ 28.

Anthony Edwards came up big for Minnesota, scoring 33 points and grabbing 9 rebounds, while Durant led the Suns with 31 points. This loss continues a troubling trend for the Suns, who have now dropped 7 of their last 9 playoff road games.

The Timberwolves have an impressive 10-1 record in their last 11 games when Edwards scores 30+ points, signaling their potential to maintain momentum tonight.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bradley Beal scored 20+ points in 9 of his last 10 playoff games.
  • Anthony Edwards scored 29+ points in his last 5 playoff games.
  • Kevin Durant scored 28+ points in his last 4 Western Conference First Round games.
  • Devin Booker scored 27+ points in 5 of his last 6 playoff road games.
  • Rudy Gobert recorded 15+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games.
  • Naz Reid grabbed 5+ rebounds in 14 of his last 17 games against Western teams.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns scored 21+ points in 13 of his last 17 games against the Suns.
  • Mike Conley dished out 7+ assists in his last 3 playoff games.

PICK – OVER 211.0 TOTAL PTS


INDIANA @ MILWAUKEE

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 2

MILWAUKEE LEADS 1-0

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Pacers have lost their last 10 playoff games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover heir last 9 playoff games.
  • Five of the Pacers’ last 6 games have gone Overs.
  • The Bucks have won the first half in 12 of their last 13 games against the Pacers at Fiserv Forum.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 47 35 26-15 21-20
MIL 49 33 31-11 18-22

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
IND 123.3 120.2 +3.1 243.5
MIL 119.0 116.4 +2.6 235.4

SEASON MATCHUPS

INDIANA 4-0

GAME 1 MIL IND 109:94
04.01.24 IND MIL 142:130
02.01.24 MIL IND 113:122
14.12.23 MIL IND 140:126
08.12.23 – IST MIL IND 119:128
10.11.23 IND MIL 126:124

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
IND OVER IND
+1.0 223.0 125-108

THE RUB

In Game 2 of their First Round series, the Pacers will face the Bucks at Fiserv Forum on Tuesday night. The Bucks secured a 109-94 win in the opener, with their success largely thanks to their efficient three-point shooting. Milwaukee shot 37.8% from beyond the arc, connecting on 14 of 37 attempts, while Indiana struggled from long range, making just 20.5% of their three-point shots.

Despite missing Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is doubtful due to a calf strain, the Bucks were led by Damian Lillard’s impressive performance. Lillard notched 35 points, six rebounds, and hit on six three-pointers, while Khris Middleton added 23 points and 10 rebounds. Pascal Siakam stood out for the Pacers with 36 points and 13 rebounds in a strong individual effort.

Milwaukee’s win extended their record to 18-3 in their last 21 games when Lillard scores 30+ points. As the series progresses, the Pacers will need to find ways to contain Lillard and improve their three-point shooting to compete effectively with the Bucks.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Khris Middleton had 7+ assists in his last 4 Game 2s.
  • Bobby Portis got a double-double in his last 4 playoff games against Central teams.
  • Tyrese Haliburton scored 22+ points in 5 of his last 6 games versus the Bucks.
  • Patrick Beverley scored 10+ points in 4 of his last 5 home playoff games.
  • Tyrese Haliburton made 3+ three-pointers in 5 of his last 6 road games.
  • Pascal Siakam gave 4+ assists in 6 of his last 7 playoff games.
  • Patrick Beverley dished out 5+ assists in 4 of his last 5 playoff games.
  • Patrick Beverley grabbed 7+ rebounds in the Bucks’ last 3 home games.
  • Pascal Siakam had a double-double in his last 3 road playoff games.
  • Damian Lillard achieved a double-double in 3 of his last 4 playoff games.
  • Damian Lillard scored 34+ points in 5 of his last 7 playoff games.
  • Damian Lillard made 5+ three-pointers in 5 of his last 7 playoff games.

PICK – OVER 223.0 TOTAL POINTS


DALLAS @ LA CLIPPERS

LA CLIPPERS LEADS 1-0

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 2

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Mavs’ last 9 games at Crypto.com Arena went Unders.
  • The Clippers lost their last 6 Game 2s in the playoffs.
  • The Clippers didn’t cover 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • The Clippers won the first quarter in their last 4 games against the Mavs.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 51 31 25-16 26-15
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 115.6 112.3 +3.3 227.9
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

LA CLIPPERS 2-1

GAME 1 LAC DAL 109:97
21.12.23 DAL LAC 111:120
26.11.23 LAC DAL 107:88
11.11.23 DAL LAC 144:126

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAC UNDER DAL
-1.0 216.0 96-93

THE RUB

In Game 2 of their First Round series, the Mavericks will take on the Clippers at Crypto.com Arena on Tuesday night. The Clippers secured a 109-97 win in the series opener at home on Sunday, despite playing without Kawhi Leonard, who remains questionable to return from a 9-game absence.

The key factor in the Clippers’ Game 1 win was their performance from beyond the arc. Los Angeles shot an impressive 50.0% from three-point range, making 18 of their 36 attempts, while Dallas struggled, shooting just 30.3% from deep on 10-of-33 shooting.

James Harden led the way for the Clippers with 28 points, 8 assists, and connecting on 6 three-pointers. Ivica Zubac provided a double-double with 20 points and 15 rebounds. For the Mavs, Doncic stood out with 33 points and 13 rebounds, but it wasn’t enough to secure the win.

The loss in Game 1 extended the Mavericks’ struggles on the road in the playoffs, as they have now lost seven of their last eight playoff road games. As the series continues, Dallas will need to find a way to improve their three-point shooting and find a solution to contain Harden and the Clippers’ potent offense to bounce back and even the series.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyrie Irving grabbed 5+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 playoff games.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. scored 10+ points in 12 of his last 14 playoff games against the Clippers.
  • Luka Doncic recorded 11+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games at Crypto.com Arena.
  • P.J. Washington had 6+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 road games.
  • Luka Doncic scored 39+ points in 3 of his last 4 road playoff games against the Clippers.
  • Kyrie Irving dished out 5+ assists in 6 of his last 8 road games against the Clippers.

PICK – UNDER 216.0 TOTAL POINTS


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