1st Round – NBA Playoff Picks – Wed, 1st May

*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.

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MIAMI @ BOSTON

EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

BOSTON LEADS 3-1

TEAM TRENDS

• The Celtics have won 14 of their last 15 home games after a win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 road games.
• 7 of the Celtics’ last 8 playoff games went Unders.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

SEASON MATCHUPS

BOSTON 3-0

PICKS ATS

THE RUB

In Game 5 at TD Garden, the Celtics host the Heat after securing a commanding 3-1 series lead.

Boston’s 102-88 road win marked their sixth-straight win against the Heat. Derrick White shone brightly for the Celtics with a career-high 38 points, including 8 triples on 15-26 shooting along with 3 blocks.

Bam Adebayo led Miami with 25 points, 17 rebounds, and 5 assists.

Both teams face setbacks in their lineup. Boston will miss Kristaps Porzingis due to a calf strain, while Miami’s Jaime Jaquez Jr. joins Terry Rozier and Jimmy Butler on the sidelines.

PLAYER TRENDS

• Jayson Tatum recorded a double-double in 9 of his last 10 playoff games.
• Jaylen Brown scored 27+ points in 4 of his last 5 games without Kristaps Porzingis.
• Derrick White scored 18+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games against the Heat.
• Caleb Martin scored 14+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against the Celtics.
• Jaylen Brown grabbed 8+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 playoff games.
• Nikola Jovic grabbed 6+ rebounds in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 games.
• Jrue Holiday gave 5+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games without Kristaps Porzingis.
• Tyler Herro achieved 34+ total Pts + Reb + Ast in 4 of his last 5 road games against the Celtics.
• Bam Adebayo achieved 39+ total Pts + Reb + Ast in 6 of his last 8 road games without Jimmy Butler.

PICK – OVER 198.5 TOTAL PTS

DALLAS @ LA CLIPPERS

WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5

SERIES TIED 2-2

TEAM TRENDS

• The Mavericks’ last 10 games at Crypto.com Arena went Unders.
• The Clippers failed to cover the spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after a road win.
• The Clippers lost 11 of their last 13 Western First Round home games.
• The Clippers lost the first half in 7 of their last 8 playoff home games.

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

SEASON MATCHUPS

LA CLIPPERS 2-1

PICKS ATS

THE RUB

In Game 5 at Crypto.com Arena, the Mavericks and Clippers meet in a tied series.

The Clippers clinched a 116-111 victory in Game 4, boosted by an impressive 62.1% shooting from beyond the arc, compared to Dallas’ 33.3%.

Paul George led with 33 points, 8 assists, and 7 triples, making up for for Kawhi Leonard’s absence. James Harden added 33 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists.

Luka Doncic, despite knee soreness, posted 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists, and is probable for Game 5. Kyrie Irving fueled Dallas with 40 points. The series is now a best-of-three, with both squads aiming for a crucial win edge ahead.

PLAYER TRENDS

• Luka Doncic has 10+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 6 playoff games as favorites.
• Amir Coffey has 3+ rebounds in his last 6 games without Kawhi Leonard.
• Derrick Jones Jr. has at least 1 block in the last 6 games against the Clippers.
• James Harden blocked at least once in his last 6 playoff games.
• Russell Westbrook gave 4+ assists in 10 of his last 11 home games without Kawhi Leonard.
• Kyrie Irving has 6+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games against the Clippers.
• Paul George has 8+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 Game 5s when tied 2-2.
• Daniel Gafford blocked 2+ times in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 road games as favorites.
• Kyrie Irving recorded 2+ steals in 5 of his last 6 games.
• Terance Mann scored 11+ points in the last 3 Clippers’ games without Kawhi Leonard.
• Ivica Zubac grabbed 12+ rebounds in the last 3 home games against the Mavericks.

PICK – OVER 207.0 TOTAL PTS

James Murray Calls “Game” vs Lakers