*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.
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MIAMI @ BOSTON
EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5
BOSTON LEADS 3-1
TEAM TRENDS
- The Celtics have won 14 of their last 15 home games after a win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 road games.
- 7 of the Celtics’ last 8 playoff games went Unders.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 46 | 36 | 22-19 | 24-17 |
| BOS | 64 | 18 | 37-4 | 27-14 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| MIA | 110.1 | 108.4 | +1.7 | 218.5 |
| BOS | 120.6 | 109.2 | +11.4 | 229.8 |
SEASON MATCHUPS
BOSTON 3-0
| GAME 4 | MIA | BOS | 88:102 |
| GAME 3 | MIA | BOS | 84:104 |
| GAME 2 | BOS | MIA | 101:111 |
| GAME 1 | BOS | MIA | 114:94 |
| 12.02.24 | MIA | BOS | 106:110 |
| 26.01.24 | MIA | BOS | 110:143 |
| 28.10.23 | BOS | MIA | 119:111 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| MIA | OVER | BOS |
| +14.0 | 198.5 | 118-84 |
THE RUB
In Game 5 at TD Garden, the Celtics host the Heat after securing a commanding 3-1 series lead.
Boston’s 102-88 road win marked their sixth-straight win against the Heat. Derrick White shone brightly for the Celtics with a career-high 38 points, including 8 triples on 15-26 shooting along with 3 blocks.
Bam Adebayo led Miami with 25 points, 17 rebounds, and 5 assists.
Both teams face setbacks in their lineup. Boston will miss Kristaps Porzingis due to a calf strain, while Miami’s Jaime Jaquez Jr. joins Terry Rozier and Jimmy Butler on the sidelines.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Jayson Tatum recorded a double-double in 9 of his last 10 playoff games.
- Jaylen Brown scored 27+ points in 4 of his last 5 games without Kristaps Porzingis.
- Derrick White scored 18+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games against the Heat.
- Caleb Martin scored 14+ points in 5 of his last 6 road games against the Celtics.
- Jaylen Brown grabbed 8+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 playoff games.
- Nikola Jovic grabbed 6+ rebounds in 4 of the Heat’s last 5 games.
- Jrue Holiday gave 5+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games without Kristaps Porzingis.
- Tyler Herro achieved 34+ total Pts + Reb + Ast in 4 of his last 5 road games against the Celtics.
- Bam Adebayo achieved 39+ total Pts + Reb + Ast in 6 of his last 8 road games without Jimmy Butler.
PICK – OVER 198.5 TOTAL PTS
DALLAS @ LA CLIPPERS
WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 5
SERIES TIED 2-2
TEAM TRENDS
- The Mavericks’ last 10 games at Crypto.com Arena went Unders.
- The Clippers failed to cover the spread in 9 of their last 10 home games after a road win.
- The Clippers lost 11 of their last 13 Western First Round home games.
- The Clippers lost the first half in 7 of their last 8 playoff home games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAC | 51 | 31 | 25-16 | 26-15 |
| DAL | 50 | 32 | 25-16 | 25-16 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| LAC | 115.6 | 112.3 | +3.3 | 227.9 |
| DAL | 117.9 | 115.6 | +2.3 | 233.5 |
SEASON MATCHUPS
LA CLIPPERS 2-1
| GAME 4 | DAL | LAC | 111:116 |
| GAME 3 | DAL | LAC | 101:90 |
| GAME 2 | LAC | DAL | 93:96 |
| GAME 1 | LAC | DAL | 109:97 |
| 21.12.23 | DAL | LAC | 111:120 |
| 26.11.23 | LAC | DAL | 107:88 |
| 11.11.23 | DAL | LAC | 144:126 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| LAC | OVER | DAL |
| +3.0 | 207.0 | 123-93 |
THE RUB
In Game 5 at Crypto.com Arena, the Mavericks and Clippers meet in a tied series.
The Clippers clinched a 116-111 victory in Game 4, boosted by an impressive 62.1% shooting from beyond the arc, compared to Dallas’ 33.3%.
Paul George led with 33 points, 8 assists, and 7 triples, making up for for Kawhi Leonard’s absence. James Harden added 33 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists.
Luka Doncic, despite knee soreness, posted 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists, and is probable for Game 5. Kyrie Irving fueled Dallas with 40 points. The series is now a best-of-three, with both squads aiming for a crucial win edge ahead.
PLAYER TRENDS
- Luka Doncic has 10+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 6 playoff games as favorites.
- Amir Coffey has 3+ rebounds in his last 6 games without Kawhi Leonard.
- Derrick Jones Jr. has at least 1 block in the last 6 games against the Clippers.
- James Harden blocked at least once in his last 6 playoff games.
- Russell Westbrook gave 4+ assists in 10 of his last 11 home games without Kawhi Leonard.
- Kyrie Irving has 6+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games against the Clippers.
- Paul George has 8+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 Game 5s when tied 2-2.
- Daniel Gafford blocked 2+ times in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 road games as favorites.
- Kyrie Irving recorded 2+ steals in 5 of his last 6 games.
- Terance Mann scored 11+ points in the last 3 Clippers’ games without Kawhi Leonard.
- Ivica Zubac grabbed 12+ rebounds in the last 3 home games against the Mavericks.
PICK – OVER 207.0 TOTAL PTS
