Home Free NBA Picks & Parlays NBA Picks & Props Tonight – Tuesday, 28th October

NBA Picks & Props Tonight – Tuesday, 28th October

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*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS @ WASHINGTON WIZARDS

Capital One Arena, Washington, DC

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Wizards have lost each of their last 12 home games against opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The 76ers have seen 4 of their last 5 games on the second leg of a back-to-back go OVERS.
  • The Wizards have failed to cover the line in each of their last 6 games when playing with a rest advantage.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 3 0 2-0 1-0
WSH 1 2 0-1 1-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 126.0 120.3 +5.7 246.3
WSH 116.7 126.3 -9.6 243.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHI OVER PHI
-3.5 237.5 139-134
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bub Carrington – Recorded 6+ assists in each of the Wizards’ last 5 games as home underdogs.
  • Bub Carrington – Scored 11+ points in 8 of the Wizards’ last 9 games as underdogs.
  • Tyrese Maxey – Recorded 6+ assists in each of his last 5 appearances.
  • Tyrese Maxey – Scored 30+ points in each of his last 5 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • C.J. McCollum – Scored 22+ points in each of his last 7 appearances at Capital One Arena.
  • Kelly Oubre Jr. – Scored 15+ points in each of his last 7 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Alex Sarr – Scored 16+ points in 5 of the Wizards’ last 6 games vs opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Alex Sarr – Recorded 8+ rebounds in each of the Wizards’ last 3 games as underdogs.
  • Quentin Grimes – Recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the 76ers’ last 8 road games vs Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Kyshawn George – Recorded 8+ rebounds in each of the Wizards’ last 3 games.

On the second night of a back-to-back, the 76ers head to Capital One Arena to face the Wizards in their first matchup of the 2025–26 season. Philadelphia has enjoyed recent success in this series, winning three straight on the road against Washington — including a 122–103 victory last year that helped secure a 2–1 series win.

The Wizards enter this contest coming off a 139–113 home loss to Charlotte, where C.J. McCollum led the way with 24 points and six rebounds in an otherwise difficult outing. Washington will look to bounce back as rookie Tre Johnson’s availability remains in question.

Philadelphia kept rolling with a 136–124 win over Orlando at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Tyrese Maxey was electric, pouring in 43 points and eight assists, while Kelly Oubre Jr. added 25 points and 10 rebounds, and rookie VJ Edgecombe contributed 26 points and seven assists. The 76ers have now won 11 of their last 12 games when Maxey scores 40 or more points, despite continuing to play without Joel Embiid.

PICK – PHILADELPHIA -3.5

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CHARLOTTE HORNETS @ MIAMI HEAT

Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Heat have seen each of their last 6 games as favourites go OVERS.
  • The Heat have won 7 of their last 8 home games against the Hornets.
  • The Hornets have covered the line in each of their last 4 games.
  • The Heat have lost the 1st quarter in each of their last 4 home games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 2 1 1-0 1-1
MIA 2 1 1-0 1-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
CHA 132.0 118.3 +13.7 250.3
MIA 127.3 115.3 +12.0 242.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIA UNDER MIA
-6.5 241.5 144-117
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
PLAYER TRENDS

  • Andrew Wiggins – Made 2+ threes in 8 of his last 9 home games.
  • Kon Knueppel – Made 3+ threes in each of the Hornets’ last 3 games.
  • LaMelo Ball – Recorded a double-double in 6 of his last 7 games vs Heat.
  • LaMelo Ball – Recorded 8+ assists in each of his last 6 games.
  • LaMelo Ball – Scored 25+ points in each of his last 3 games with Hornets as underdogs.
  • LaMelo Ball – Recorded 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games vs Heat.
  • Davion Mitchell – Recorded 8+ assists in each of the Heat’s last 2 home games as favourites.
  • Collin Sexton – Recorded 5+ assists in each of his last 4 games vs Heat.
  • Collin Sexton – Scored 20+ points in each of his last 4 road games.
  • Bam Adebayo – Recorded 4+ assists in 6 of his last 7 games with Heat as favourites.
  • Bam Adebayo – Scored 21+ points in 8 of his last 10 home games vs Hornets.
  • Bam Adebayo – Recorded 10+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 games vs Hornets.
  • Kel’el Ware – Scored 10+ points in each of the Heat’s last 5 games as favourites.
  • Miles Bridges – Scored 15+ points in each of his last 11 games vs Heat.
  • Norman Powell – Scored 20+ points in each of his last 5 home games.
  • Norman Powell – Recorded 6+ rebounds in each of the Heat’s last 3 games.

Sharing identical records to start the 2025–26 season, the Hornets travel to Kaseya Center to face the Heat in their first matchup of the campaign. Miami controlled this series last year, taking three of four meetings, with the sidelined Tyler Herro playing a key role by averaging 24.8 points across those contests.

The Heat come into this game after a 115–107 home win over New York, powered by Norman Powell’s 29 points, seven rebounds, and three steals in Herro’s continued absence. The victory ended a five-game losing skid against Eastern Conference opponents and provided a much-needed boost.

Charlotte, meanwhile, is fresh off a big 139–113 road win over Washington. LaMelo Ball delivered a spectacular all-around performance with 38 points, 13 rebounds, 13 assists, and five made threes while playing without Brandon Miller. That victory snapped the Hornets’ 10-game road losing streak.

PICK – UNDER 241.5 TOTAL POINTS

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NEW YORK KNICKS @ MILWAUKEE BUCKS

Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

TEAM TRENDS

  • The home team has won each of the Knicks’ last 6 games.
  • The Bucks have seen 6 of their last 7 home games vs Eastern opponents go OVERS.
  • The Bucks have won the 1st quarter in each of their last 4 games.
  • The Bucks have covered the line in each of their last 4 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 2 1 2-0 0-1
MIL 2 1 1-0 1-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NY 110.3 107.0 +3.3 217.3
MIL 122.7 118.0 +4.7 240.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIL UNDER MIL
+1.5 228.5 121-111
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
PLAYER TRENDS

  • Mikal Bridges – Made 2+ threes in each of his last 4 road games vs Bucks.
  • Mikal Bridges – Scored 15+ points in each of the Knicks’ last 4 road games.
  • Mikal Bridges – Recorded 5+ rebounds in each of the Knicks’ last 3 games.
  • AJ Green – Made 3+ threes in each of the Bucks’ last 6 games.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns – Recorded 2+ assists in each of the Knicks’ last 6 games.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns – Recorded 12+ rebounds in each of the Knicks’ last 4 road games.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo – Recorded 6+ assists in each of the Bucks’ last 5 home games vs Knicks.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo – Scored 30+ points in 13 of his last 14 games vs Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo – Recorded 14+ rebounds in each of the Bucks’ last 5 games.
  • Cole Anthony – Recorded 5+ assists in each of his last 3 games at Fiserv Forum.
  • Jalen Brunson – Recorded 6+ assists in each of his last 6 games vs Bucks.
  • Jalen Brunson – Scored 36+ points in 4 of his last 5 games vs Bucks.
  • Josh Hart – Recorded 4+ assists in each of the Knicks’ last 5 games vs Bucks.
  • Josh Hart – Recorded 9+ rebounds in each of the Knicks’ last 5 games vs Bucks.
  • Myles Turner – Scored 10+ points in each of his last 23 home games vs Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Gary Trent Jr. – Scored 15+ points in each of his last 5 home games after being held to single digits in his previous outing.
  • Bobby Portis – Recorded 6+ rebounds in 20 of his last 21 appearances.
  • Ryan Rollins – Recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Bucks’ last 3 games.

Meeting for the first time in 2025–26, the Knicks travel to Fiserv Forum to take on the Bucks. New York has owned this matchup recently, riding a five-game winning streak against Milwaukee — a run that includes a clean 3–0 sweep of last season’s series. Karl-Anthony Towns was instrumental in that success, averaging 25.3 points and 13.0 rebounds.

The Bucks enter this contest looking to rebound from a 118–113 road loss to Cleveland, where Giannis Antetokounmpo nearly posted a triple-double with 40 points, 14 rebounds, and nine assists. Milwaukee played without Kyle Kuzma, who remains questionable, while Kevin Porter Jr. has been ruled out and Cole Anthony is also uncertain to play.

New York is also coming off a defeat, falling 115–107 to Miami despite Jalen Brunson’s 37 points, seven assists, and five made threes, along with Towns’ 15 points and 18 rebounds. The Knicks are managing several lineup concerns, with Towns and Guerschon Yabusele both questionable and Mitchell Robinson sidelined.

PICK – MILWAUKEE +1.5

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SACRAMENTO KINGS @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

TEAM TRENDS

  • The road team has won the first half in each of the Thunder’s last 5 games.
  • The Thunder have won 9 straight games vs opponents on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Thunder have gone OVERS in their last 4 home games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The favourites have covered the line in each of the last 6 games between the Kings and Thunder.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 1 2 1-1 0-1
OKC 4 0 1-0 3-0

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAC 113.7 117.0 -3.3 230.7
OKC 121.0 113.3 +7.7 234.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
SAC OVER OKC
+10.5 226.5 107-101
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
PLAYER TRENDS

  • Dennis Schroder – Recorded 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 games vs Thunder.
  • Dennis Schroder – Scored 15+ points in each of his last 4 games as a road underdog vs Thunder.
  • Dennis Schroder – Recorded 4+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 road games vs Thunder.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Recorded 7+ assists in each of his last 9 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Scored 31+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 8 home games vs Western opponents.
  • Domantas Sabonis – Recorded 7+ assists in each of his last 4 road games.
  • Domantas Sabonis – Scored 15+ points in 17 of the Kings’ last 18 road games vs teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Domantas Sabonis – Recorded 14+ rebounds in each of his last 5 games vs teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Zach LaVine – Scored 30+ points in each of the Kings’ last 3 games.
  • Chet Holmgren – Scored 22+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 3 home games vs Western Conference opponents.
  • Chet Holmgren – Recorded 11+ rebounds in each of the Thunder’s last 3 games.
  • DeMar DeRozan – Scored 20+ points in each of the Kings’ last 13 road games.
  • DeMar DeRozan – Recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Kings’ last 5 road games.

On the second night of a back-to-back, the Oklahoma City Thunder return home to Paycom Center to face the Kings in their first matchup of the 2025–26 season. The Thunder have owned this series of late, winning five straight against Sacramento, including a three-game sweep last season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the charge in those meetings, averaging 32.7 points.

Oklahoma City enters this contest undefeated at 4–0 after a 101–94 road win over Dallas. Gilgeous-Alexander posted 23 points and eight assists, while Chet Holmgren added 18 points, 11 rebounds, and four blocks as the Thunder continued to roll without Jalen Williams.

Sacramento, meanwhile, looks to rebound from a 127–120 home loss to the Lakers. Zach LaVine paced the Kings with 32 points, but the team slipped to 1–2 to begin the season.

PICK – OVER 226.5 TOTAL POINTS

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LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Clippers have won each of their last 7 games vs the Warriors.
  • 5 of the Clippers’ last 6 games have gone OVERS.
  • The Clippers have covered the line in 8 of their last 10 games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Clippers have lost the first half in 7 of their last 8 road games vs opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 2 1 2-0 0-1
GSW 3 1 2-0 1-1

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAC 117.0 112.7 +4.3 229.7
GSW 126.5 124.3 +2.2 250.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
GSW OVER GSW
+1.5 224.5 98-79
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
PLAYER TRENDS

  • Derrick Jones Jr. – Scored the first basket in each of the Clippers’ last 2 games.
  • James Harden – Recorded 8+ assists in each of his last 9 road games vs Pacific Division opponents.
  • James Harden – Scored 17+ points in each of his last 21 road games vs Warriors.
  • James Harden – Recorded 6+ rebounds in each of the Clippers’ last 5 games vs Pacific Division opponents.
  • Stephen Curry – Recorded 6+ assists in 4 of his last 5 home games vs Clippers.
  • Stephen Curry – Scored 30+ points in each of the Warriors’ last 3 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Stephen Curry – Recorded 4+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games vs Clippers.
  • Jimmy Butler – Recorded 6+ assists in 7 of his last 8 games vs Clippers.
  • Jimmy Butler – Scored 20+ points in each of his last 6 home games vs Clippers.
  • Ivica Zubac – Scored 16+ points in 8 of the Clippers’ last 9 road games vs Western Conference opponents.
  • Ivica Zubac – Recorded 17+ rebounds in 3 of the Clippers’ last 4 games vs Warriors.
  • Kawhi Leonard – Scored 20+ points in each of his last 21 games vs Warriors.
  • Kawhi Leonard – Recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 8 games vs Warriors.
  • Jonathan Kuminga – Scored 16+ points in 7 of the Warriors’ last 8 games.
  • Al Horford – Recorded 6+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games vs Clippers.

On the second night of a back-to-back, the Warriors welcome the Clippers to Chase Center for their first matchup of the 2025–26 season. The Clippers have completely owned this rivalry in recent years, carrying a seven-game winning streak over Golden State — a run that includes a four-game sweep of last season’s series. Stephen Curry still shone in defeat, averaging 26.7 points across three appearances.

Golden State comes into this contest following a 131–118 home win over Memphis, highlighted by Jonathan Kuminga’s 25 points and 10 rebounds on 9-of-14 shooting. The Warriors will look to carry that momentum into a matchup where recent history hasn’t been kind to them.

The Clippers, meanwhile, continued their strong start with a 114–107 victory over Portland at Intuit Dome. Kawhi Leonard led the way with 30 points and 10 rebounds, while James Harden added 20 points, 13 assists, six rebounds, and three steals. Los Angeles has now won 10 consecutive games when Leonard scores 25 or more. Bradley Beal remains sidelined.

PICK – OVER 224.5 TOTAL POINTS

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