NBA Finals Picks – Dallas @ Boston – Game 1

NBA FINALS PICKS
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DALLAS @ BOSTON

NBA FINALS

GAME 1

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Celtics have won their last 8 games vs. Western opponents.
  • The Mavericks have covered 7 of their last 8 road games.
  • 6 of the Celtics’ last 7 home games have gone Overs.
  • The Celtics have won the first half in their last 5 games vs. the Mavericks.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 64 18 37-4 27-14
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 120.6 109.2 +11.4 229.8
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

BOSTON 4-0

02.03.24 BOS DAL 138:110
23.01.24 DAL BOS 110:119
06.01.23 DAL BOS 95:124
24.11.22 BOS DAL 125:112

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DAL OVER BOS
+6.5 215.0 107-89

THE RUB

The Dallas Mavericks and Boston Celtics will face off in Game 1 of the 2023-24 NBA Finals at TD Garden on Thursday night. This is the first postseason meeting between the two franchises. During the regular season, the Celtics swept the Mavericks, including a 138-110 victory at TD Garden on March 1.

Boston advanced to the Finals by sweeping Indiana in the conference finals, with Jayson Tatum leading the way, averaging 30.3 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game. Dallas defeated Minnesota in five games, with Luka Doncic averaging 32.4 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per contest.

The Celtics hold a 12-2 record in this year’s playoffs, while the Mavericks are 12-5. Boston received a significant boost with Kristaps Porzingis expected to return from a calf injury to face his former team.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Al Horford has scored 9+ points in his last 15 home games vs. Mavericks.
  • P.J. Washington has scored 14+ points in his last 8 vs. Celtics.
  • Jaylen Brown has scored the first basket in the Celtics’ last 3 Game 1s.
  • Jrue Holiday has 6+ assists in his last 6 vs. Mavericks.
  • Kyrie Irving has 5+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 playoff games at TD Garden.
  • Derrick White has 1+ blocks in the Celtics’ last 5 games.
  • Jayson Tatum has scored 29+ points in the last 4 vs. Mavericks.
  • Dereck Lively II has 8+ rebounds in the Mavericks’ last 4 road games.
  • Kristaps Porzingis has 2+ blocks in his last 4 home games.
  • Luka Doncic has scored 34+ points in 4 of the last 5 vs. Celtics at TD Garden.
  • Jrue Holiday has scored 16+ points in 8 of his last 10 home games vs. Mavericks.
  • Daniel Gafford has scored 12+ points in 5 of the Mavericks’ last 6 road games vs. Eastern teams.
  • Luka Doncic has made 5+ three-pointers in 4 of the Mavericks’ last 5 as underdogs.
  • Kristaps Porzingis has 8+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 home games.
  • Jayson Tatum has a double-double in 6 of the Celtics’ last 7 games.
  • Jaylen Brown has 4+ assists in the last 3 home games vs. Mavericks.

PICK – OVER 215.0 TOTAL PTS


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