NBA Finals Picks – Boston @ Dallas – Game 4

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BOSTON @ DALLAS

NBA FINALS – GAME 4

BOSTON LEAD 3-0

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Celtics have won their last 10 games.
  • Each of the Celtics’ last 6 NBA Finals games have gone Unders.
  • The Celtics have covered their last 4 road games vs. the Mavericks.
  • The home team has won the first half in 7 of the Celtics’ last 8 NBA Finals games.

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WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 64 18 37-4 27-14
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 120.6 109.2 +11.4 229.8
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

BOSTON 4-0

GAME 3 DAL BOS 99:106
GAME 2 BOS DAL 105:98
GAME 1 BOS DAL 107:89
02.03.24 BOS DAL 138:110
23.01.24 DAL BOS 110:119
06.01.23 DAL BOS 95:124
24.11.22 BOS DAL 125:112

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS OVER DAL
-1.0 211.5 122-84

THE RUB

The Celtics have a historic opportunity going into Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Friday. A win would not only complete a sweep of the Mavericks but also break a tie with the Los Angeles Lakers for the most NBA championships, giving Boston 18 titles.

The Celtics have dominated the playoffs and continued their form with a 106-99 win in Game 3, taking a 3-0 lead. NBA teams are 156-0 when leading 3-0 in any best-of-seven series, and Boston’s 10-game winning streak and perfect 7-0 road record this postseason reinforce their strong position.

Boston’s depth has been a huge factor. While Tatum struggled offensively in the first two games, Jaylen Brown and Jrue Holiday stepped up. Tatum then scored 31 points in Game 3. The Celtics also managed without center Kristaps Porzingis (left leg), who remains day-to-day.

Boston’s defense has held Dallas to fewer than 100 points in each game of the Finals, a stark contrast to the Mavericks’ performance against the Timberwolves in the Western finals. Even with 62 combined points from Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving in Game 3, the rest of the team managed just 37 points.

Despite the odds, Doncic remains hopeful, citing the team’s resilience in cutting a 21-point deficit to one in Game 3 as a positive sign.

Boston are 7-0 against the Mavs in 2023/24, that speaks volumes.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • TBA

PICK – BOSTON -1.0

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