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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD
| ATS RECORD | TOTAL PTS RECORD | ||
| W | L | W | L |
| 69 | 55 | 62 | 61 |
- BEST BETS RECORD: 62-49
TOP 3 ROI TRENDS TONIGHT
1. The Miami Heat hitting the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 83 games (+22.10 Units / 24% ROI):
- This trend showcases the Heat’s defensive capabilities and the overall pace of their games, often leading to lower scoring outcomes than the betting lines predict.
2. The Denver Nuggets hitting the Moneyline in 69 of their last 96 games (+26.35 Units / 9% ROI):
- Denver’s strong overall performance, particularly in home games, highlights their consistency and ability to win games outright, making them a reliable bet on the Moneyline over this span.
3. The Los Angeles Lakers hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+24.20 Units / 22% ROI):
- This indicates the Lakers’ games tend to be lower scoring in the final quarter, possibly due to their defensive tightening or the game pace slowing down, offering a profitable betting trend on quarter-specific totals.
LA LAKERS @ TORONTO
Over/Under Prediction: Over 234.5 Total Points
The Lakers’ trends of hitting the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 away games and the Raptors’ struggles, with their last 13 games resulting in losses, the game’s dynamics suggest a high-scoring affair, leading to an Over on the total set at 230.5 points.
Both teams’ recent performances, especially the Lakers’ offensive prowess on the road, indicate a potential for a score that exceeds the total.
ATS Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers -12.0
The Lakers have demonstrated strong performance against Eastern opponents, winning 18 of their last 26 games, and the Raptors’ current losing streak of 13 games places the Lakers in a favorable position to cover the -12.0 spread.
The Raptors’ recent inability to cover as underdogs against the Lakers further supports the likelihood of the Lakers covering the spread.
Best Pick: Over 234.5 Total Points
MILWAUKEE @ WASHINGTON
Over/Under Prediction: Over 226.5 Total Points
Given the Wizards’ trend of their last 13 games as underdogs going Over in 10 instances and the Bucks’ offensive capabilities, particularly against Eastern opponents below .500, this matchup leans towards an Over outcome.
The Bucks’ ability to score against such teams, combined with the Wizards’ recent tendency towards high-scoring games when underdogs, suggests that the total set at 228.5 points could be exceeded.
ATS Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -12.5
The Bucks’ dominance against Eastern opponents below .500, winning each of their last 10 games, and the Wizards’ struggle to cover in 8 of their last 11 games, place Milwaukee in a strong position to cover the -13.5 spread.
Milwaukee’s consistent performance in such matchups indicates a likely continuation of this trend against the Wizards.
Best Pick: Over 226.5 Total Points
NEW YORK @ MIAMI
Over/Under Prediction: Under 206.5 Total Points
The strong trends towards the Under from both teams, with the New York Knicks hitting the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 49 games and the Miami Heat in 54 of their last 83 games, suggest a game that leans towards a lower-scoring outcome.
Given both teams’ efficiency in defense, as reflected in their consistent under totals, and the historically defensive matchups between these two, the total set at 207.5 points seems likely to not be exceeded.
ATS Prediction: Miami Heat +2.5
The Heat’s historical performance against the Knicks, winning the first half in 11 of their last 12 home games against them, and their success in covering 6 of their last 7 games against Eastern opponents above .500, Miami appears well-positioned to cover the spread, even as underdogs.
The Knicks, despite their strong recent form, face a challenging away game environment where the Heat have shown resilience, especially in home settings against strong Eastern teams.
Best Pick: Under 206.5 Total Points
OKLAHOMA CITY @ PHILADELPHIA
Over/Under Prediction: Over 219.0 Total Points
Oklahoma City’s recent performance, where they’ve hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 63 games, combined with their last 4 games going Over, this matchup leans towards an Over outcome.
The Philadelphia 76ers also contribute to this prediction, despite their trend towards hitting the Game Total Under, given the Thunder’s potent offense and recent high-scoring games.
ATS Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5
The Thunder have been strong in recent matchups, covering the spread in 45 of their last 78 games, and their success on the road adds to the confidence in this pick.
With the road team covering the last 5 games between the Thunder and 76ers, and the Thunder’s significant wins in 5 of their last 6 road games, Oklahoma City is well-positioned to cover the -5.5 spread against Philadelphia.
Best Pick: Over 219.0 Total Points
HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA
Over/Under Prediction: Over 214.5 Total Points
The Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves present a compelling case for an Over prediction. With Houston’s recent trend of going Over in 7 of their last 9 games, combined with their strong offensive performances, this game is poised for high scoring.
Additionally, the Timberwolves’ capacity to engage in high-scoring encounters, as evidenced by their ability to push the game pace, reinforces the potential for the total points to exceed the set line of 215.5.
ATS Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.0
The Timberwolves, having dominated the Rockets in 9 of their last 10 encounters, enter this game with a significant historical advantage. This, coupled with Minnesota’s strong home performance where they’ve excelled in the 3Q both in Moneyline and Spread (31 wins in the last 40 home games and covering the 3Q Spread in 53 of their last 84 games), suggests they have the edge to cover the -7 spread.
Despite the Rockets’ resilience and recent covers (covering 13 of their last 16 games), the Timberwolves’ home advantage and statistical backing in crucial quarters provide them with a solid foundation to overcome the spread.
Best Pick: Over 214.5 Total Points
SAN ANTONIO @ DENVER
Over/Under Prediction: Over 222.0 Total Points
Analyzing both the Denver Nuggets’ and San Antonio Spurs’ recent performances suggests a tilt towards an Over outcome. Despite the Nuggets’ strong defensive showings, as reflected in their trend of hitting the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 86 games, the Spurs’ last 3 games going Overs, coupled with their ability to perform unexpectedly well in quarters, hint at a potentially high-scoring affair.
The Spurs’ offensive capabilities, especially in opening and closing quarters, where they’ve excelled in the Moneyline and covered spreads effectively, could push the total points beyond the line set at 222.0.
ATS Prediction: Denver Nuggets -16.5
The Nuggets’ formidable record at home against teams below .500, winning their last 13 encounters, positions them well to cover the -16.5 spread against the Spurs. Denver’s consistency in the first quarter, having covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 88 games, suggests they could establish an early lead.
While the Spurs have shown resilience, covering their last 4 games, the Nuggets’ overall dominance at home and the Spurs’ struggles in maintaining consistent performance throughout the game lean towards Denver overcoming the spread.
Best Pick: Over 222.0 Total Points
CLEVELAND @ UTAH
Over/Under Prediction: Over 215.0 Total Points
Given the Cleveland Cavaliers’ recent pattern of hitting the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games, contrasted with the Utah Jazz’s tendency towards higher-scoring matches, as seen in their 29 of 48 games hitting the 1H Game Total Over, the total points could lean towards an Over scenario.
The Cavs’ offensive prowess, especially in first halves, coupled with the Jazz’s performance in 3Q Game Total Overs in 32 of their last 54 games, hints at a potential for a higher-scoring game, suggesting the game might surpass the set total of 215.0 points.
ATS Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers -9.5
Despite the Cleveland Cavaliers’ struggles to cover in their recent road games, their strong performance in hitting the 1H Moneyline in a significant number of their last games (43 of their last 67), along with their ability to control games leading to lower scoring in the 4th quarter, positions them well to cover the -11.5 spread against the Utah Jazz.
The Jazz’s difficulties against teams above .500, losing their last 13 encounters, Cleveland’s overall strength and strategic play in halves make them favorable to cover the spread in this matchup.
Best Pick: Over 215.0 Total Points
DALLAS @ GOLDEN STATE
Over/Under Prediction: Under 233.5 Total Points
Given the Dallas Mavericks’ strong tendency to hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games, alongside their significant streak of Unders in recent night games against Western opponents, this matchup leans towards an Under outcome.
The Golden State Warriors also contribute to this prediction, having hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games, indicating a pattern of participating in lower-scoring contests. The Mavericks’ defense, particularly in 2Q where they’ve excelled in keeping scores low, further suggests that the total might not reach the set mark of 233.5 points.
ATS Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -1.0
With the Mavericks on a hot streak, winning and covering their last 7 games, including their last 5 against the Warriors, they are well-positioned to cover again, even as slight underdogs.
Their performance, especially away from home where they’ve covered the Spread in 26 of their last 38 games, indicates a robust ability to perform in challenging environments. The Mavericks’ success in the 1H and 2Q, where they’ve shown proficiency, particularly on defense, aligns with their potential to cover or even win outright against the Warriors.
Best Pick: Under 233.5 Total Points
LA CLIPPERS @ SACRAMENTO
Over/Under Prediction: Under 222.5 Total Points
Given the Sacramento Kings’ recent tendency to hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games, combined with their success in keeping the first half scores low in 9 of their last 10 games, there’s a strong indication towards a lower scoring game. The Clippers’ own trends, including a notable frequency of Overs in recent games, provide a counterbalance.
However, the Kings’ defensive efforts in the third quarter and overall recent performances suggest a game that may not reach the over. The defensive gameplay, especially highlighted in the Kings’ recent matchups, aligns with an under outcome for the total set at 220.5 points.
ATS Prediction: LA Clippers +3.0
The Clippers’ success on the road, winning the moneyline in 25 of their last 33 away games, positions them favorably against the Kings, who have struggled to cover in their recent home games following a win.
The Clippers’ strong performance in away games and the recent trend of the road team winning in their matchups further support the likelihood of the Clippers covering the +3.0 spread. Their ability to perform in the fourth quarter, having hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games, indicates a strong finish which could be crucial in covering the spread.
