*These NBA Playoff picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.
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MILWAUKEE @ INDIANA
EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 6
INDIANA LEADS 3-2
Over/Under Prediction: Over 213.5 Total Points
Recent meetings between Indiana and the Milwaukee have shown a trended towards high-scoring games, especially when played in Indiana.
The Pacers have hit the over in their last 7 home games against the Bucks. Additionally, both teams have offensive firepower, with the Pacers hitting the team total over in 28 of their last 41 home games and the Bucks hitting the 1Q game total over in 20 of their last 32 away games.
Despite the Bucks’ defensive prowess, their recent struggles to cover the spread after a win in playoff games suggest they might not be able to contain the Pacers’ offense effectively.
The over 213.5 total points seems like a promising pick for this game.
ATS Prediction: Indiana Pacers -6.0
The Pacers have shown resilience after losing as favorites, winning their last 10 games under such circumstances.
Their strong performance at home, coupled with the Bucks’ recent struggles to cover the spread after a win in playoff games, suggests that the Pacers have a good chance of covering the -6.0 spread tonight.
Best Pick: Over 213.5 Total Points
NEW YORK @ PHILADELPHIA
EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 6
NEW YORK LEADS 3-2
Over/Under Prediction: Over 199.0 Total Points
Although New York and the Philadelphia have tendencies towards low-scoring games, particularly in the early quarters, the latest trends suggest that this matchup might lean towards a higher total.
The Knicks have hit the game total over in 16 of their last 20 games, indicating an uptick in offense. The 76ers have hit the 4Q game total over in 49 of their last 82 games.
Given these trends favoring overs in Knicks’ games as underdogs, the over 199.0 total points seems like a promising pick.
ATS Prediction: New York Knicks +3.0
The Knicks have shown they can bounce back after losses, covering the spread in 8 of their last 9 games after taking a loss. Their recent success as underdogs, winning 3 of their last 4 games, indicates their ability to perform well against higher-seeded teams like the Philadelphia 76ers.
Given these trends and the historical tendency for the road team to win the first quarter in their playoff matchups, selecting the New York Knicks +3.0 appears to be a favorable tip.
