NBA Western Finals – Minnesota @ Dallas – Game 4

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MINNESOTA @ DALLAS

WESTERN CONFERENCE SEMI-FINALS

DALLAS LEAD 3-0

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Mavericks have won their last 6 playoff games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • Each of the Mavericks’ last 5 Western Finals games have gone Overs.
  • The Mavericks have covered 5 of their last 6 vs. the Timberwolves.
  • The home team has won the first half in 14 of the last 15 games between the Timberwolves and Mavericks.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 56 26 30-11 26-15
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIN 113.0 106.5 +6.5 219.5
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

MINNESOTA 3-1

GAME 3 DAL MIN 116:107
GAME 2 MIN DAL 108:109
GAME 1 MIN DAL 105:108
01.02.24 MIN DAL 121:87
08.01.24 DAL MIN 115:108
29.12.23 MIN DAL 118:110
15.12.23 DAL MIN 101:119

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DAL OVER MIN
-2.0 210.0 105:100

THE RUB

The Mavericks can complete a sweep of the Western Finals when they host the Timberwolves at American Airlines Center on Tuesday night.

The Mavericks secured a 116-107 win in Game 3 on Sunday, with a key factor being their three-point shooting, hitting 14-28 (50.0%) from deep compared to Minnesota’s 9-30 (30.0%).

Free throw shooting also played a significant role, with Dallas shooting 26-31 (83.9%) from the line, while the Timberwolves managed 12-17 (70.6%).

Luka Doncic led the Mavericks with 33 points, five steals (equal-career-high), and five three-pointers, while Kyrie Irving also contributed 33 points.

The Timberwolves need more from Karl-Anthony Towns, who is shooting only 27.8% from the field in the series.

In lineup news, Mavericks’ Dereck Lively II is out with a neck sprain.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Luka Doncic has scored 32+ points in his last 6 vs. Timberwolves.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has a double-double in his last 6 playoff games facing elimination.
  • Luka Doncic has a triple-double in 4 of the Mavericks’ last 6 games.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 21+ points in 8 of his last 9 road games vs. Mavericks.
  • Kyrie Irving has scored 27+ points in 7 of his last 8 vs. Timberwolves.
  • P.J. Washington has scored 16+ points in his last 4 home games vs. Timberwolves.
  • Anthony Edwards has 7+ assists in each of the Timberwolves’ last 4 games.
  • Luka Doncic has 2+ steals in each of the Mavericks’ last 4 home games.
  • Kyrie Irving has made 3+ three-pointers in 6 of his last 7 Conference Finals games.
  • P.J. Washington has 7+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 vs. Timberwolves.
  • Rudy Gobert has 12+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 road games vs. Mavericks.
  • Luka Doncic has 10+ rebounds in 8 of the Mavericks’ last 10 playoff home games.
  • Rudy Gobert has 2+ blocks in 4 of his last 5 road games.
  • Anthony Edwards has 2+ steals in 4 of the Timberwolves’ last 5 games.
  • Anthony Edwards has scored 34+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last 3 Game 4s.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. has scored 11+ points in each of the Mavericks’ last 3 home games.
  • Naz Reid has made 3+ three-pointers in 3 of the Timberwolves’ last 4 games vs. Mavericks.
  • Mike Conley has scored 16+ points in each of the Timberwolves’ last 2 games

PICK – DALLAS -2.0


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