NBA – Tonight’s Free Picks & Props – Sat, 28th Dec

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*These NBA tips and NBA player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

MIAMI @ ATLANTA

State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

TEAM TRENDS

  • 20 of the Hawks’ last 24 home games have gone overs.
  • The Hawks have won their last 8 day games at State Farm Arena.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the line in 6 of their last 7 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 15 13 9-5 6-8
ATL 16 15 9-7 7-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIA 111.3 108.6 +2.7 219.9
ATL 117.2 119.5 -2.3 236.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIA OVER ATL
+2.5 225.5 120-110

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Terry Rozier has made 2+ threes in each of his last 6 games vs. the Hawks.
  • Tyler Herro has made 4+ threes in each of the Heat’s last 3 games vs. the Hawks.
  • Terry Rozier has scored 18+ points in 5 of his last 6 games vs. the Hawks.
  • Tyler Herro has scored 25+ points in each of his last 4 games vs. the Hawks.
  • Trae Young has scored 25+ points in each of his last 4 games vs. the Heat.
  • Bam Adebayo has recorded 8+ rebounds in 11 of the Heat’s last 13 games.

PREVIEW

Separated by 0.5 games on the East, the Heat and Hawks match up at State Farm Arena.

Recently, Atlanta staged an incredible 16-point comeback in the final 5:31 to beat Chicago 141-133, powered by Jalen Johnson’s career-high 30 points, 15 rebounds, and Trae Young’s 27-point, 13-assist effort.

Miami edged Orlando 89-88 on Herro’s game-winner but will again be without Jimmy Butler (out). Young is questionable.

This is their first meeting in 2024-25 after the Heat claimed last season’s series 3-1, including two road wins. Tyler Herro was instrumental in that series, averaging 29.3 points.

PICK – MIAMI +2.5

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OKLAHOMA CITY @ CHARLOTTE

Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Thunder have covered the line in 5 of their last 6 road games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • The Hornets have lost their last 8 home games.
  • The Hornets’ last 3 games has gone unders.
  • The Hornets have lost the first half in each of their last 6 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 24 5 12-2 12-3
CHA 7 23 5-11 2-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
OKC 115.2 103.5 +11.7 218.7
CHA 106.5 113.0 -6.5 219.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
OKC OVER OKC
-12.5 217.5 106-94

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has recorded 7+ rebounds in each of the Thunder’s last 3 games.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein has recorded a double-double in each of the Thunder’s last 5 games.
  • LaMelo Ball has recorded 8+ assists in each of his last 6 home games vs. Western Conference teams.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 9 games as road favourites.
  • LaMelo Ball has scored 31+ points in 6 of his last 8 games.

PREVIEW

At opposite ends of the standings, the Thunder and Hornets will meet at Spectrum Center.

Last time out, Charlotte fell 113-110 to Washington despite Miles Bridges’ 22-point, 14-rebound, six-assist effort and LaMelo Ball’s 31-point outing. The Hornets are looking to end an eight-game home losing streak.

Oklahoma City edged Indiana 120-114 behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 45-point performance. The Thunder have now won five straight road games. Ball, Brandon Miller, and Mark Williams are questionable.

This is their first meeting in 2024-25, with the Thunder aiming to extend their dominance after sweeping last season’s series, including a 121-118 road win.

PICK – OVER 217.5 TOTAL POINTS

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NEW YORK @ WASHINGTON

Capital One Arena, Washington, DC

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Wizards’ last 4 home games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone overs.
  • The Knicks have won their last 6 games against the Wizards.
  • The Knicks have covered the line in their last 4 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 21 10 10-4 11-6
WAS 5 23 4-11 1-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NY 117.0 109.3 +7.7 226.3
WAS 107.6 121.8 -14.2 229.4

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NYK OVER NYK
-12.0 226.0 136-132 (OT)

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has made 2+ three-pointers in 11 of his last 12 games vs. the Wizards.
  • Jordan Poole has made 5+ three-pointers in each of the Wizards’ last 4 games.
  • Josh Hart has recorded a double-double in the Knicks’ last 2 games.
  • Jalen Brunson has recorded 8+ assists in 5 of the Knicks’ last 6 games vs. the Wizards.
  • Bilal Coulibaly has recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 10 games.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has recorded 4+ assists in 6 of the Knicks’ last 8 games.
  • Jordan Poole has scored 25+ points in each of the Wizards’ last 4 games.
  • Bilal Coulibaly has scored 17+ points in 5 of his last 6 games.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has scored 20+ points in 11 of his last 12 games vs. the Wizards.
  • Jalen Brunson has scored 26+ points in each of the Knicks’ last 7 games as favourites vs. the Wizards.
  • Bilal Coulibaly has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 3 games.

PREVIEW

At opposite ends of the standings in the East, the Knicks and Wizards will meet at Capital One Arena.

Recently, Washington edged Charlotte 113-110 at this venue, fueled by Jordan Poole’s 25-point, five-triple effort. The Wizards are now 5-23 this season.

New York dominated Orlando 108-85 yesterday, led by Josh Hart’s 23-point, 13-rebound outing and Jalen Brunson’s 26-point, nine-assist performance. The Knicks have won six straight road games. Poole is questionable for Washington.

This is their second meeting this season, with the Knicks winning the first 134-106 on November 18, extending their streak against the Wizards to six games.

PICK – NEW YORK -12.0

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MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO

United Center, Chicago, IL

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Bucks have won 16 of their last 19 road games vs. the Bulls.
  • The Bulls’ last 4 home games have gone unders.
  • The Bucks have won the 1st quarter in 13 of their last 14 games vs. the Bulls.
  • The Bulls have failed to cover the line in each of their last 3 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIL 16 13 10-5 5-8
CHI 13 18 4-11 9-7

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIL 112.5 111.2 +1.3 223.7
CHI 117.7 121.8 -4.1 239.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
CHI UNDER CHI
+3.5 233.5 116-111

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 32+ points in each of his last 4 games vs. the Bulls.
  • Josh Giddey has recorded 7+ rebounds in 5 of his last 6 home games.
  • Josh Giddey has recorded 6+ assists in each of his last 7 home games.
  • Josh Giddey has scored 15+ points in 4 of his last 5 games vs. the Bucks.
  • Nikola Vucevic has scored 16+ points in each of the Bulls’ last 5 games.

PREVIEW

Separated by four games on the East, the Bucks and Bulls will meet at United Center.

Recently, Chicago blew a 16-point lead in a 141-133 loss to Atlanta despite Zach LaVine’s 37-point, seven-assist, seven-triple display and strong outings from Jevon Carter (26 points) and Coby White (23 points, nine assists). The Bulls are 1-4 in their last five home games.

Milwaukee fell 111-105 to Brooklyn on Thursday without Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo (both questionable).

This is the fourth meeting of the season series, with the Bucks leading 2-1 after a 112-91 victory on Monday.

PICK – UNDER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS

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PHOENIX @ GOLDEN STATE

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Warriors have lost their last 6 games vs. Pacific opponents.
  • The Warriors’ last 6 games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone unders.
  • The Warriors have lost the first half in each of their last 4 games as favourites.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the line in 6 of their last 7 games as favourites.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHX 15 15 10-7 5-8
GS 15 15 7-7 8-8

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHX 112.5 114.1 -1.6 226.6
GS 112.1 110.7 +1.4 222.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHX UNDER GSW
+6.5 219.5 109-105

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Kevin Durant has scored the first basket in 3 of his last 4 games vs. former teams.
  • Bradley Beal has scored 23+ points in 4 of the Suns’ last 5 games with Devin Booker out.
  • Tyus Jones has scored 13+ points in each of his last 5 games vs. the Warriors.
  • Stephen Curry has scored 26+ points in each of his last 9 home games vs. Kevin Durant.
  • Kevin Durant has scored 35+ points in 5 of the Suns’ last 7 games with Devin Booker out.
  • Stephen Curry has made 5+ three-pointers in 4 of the Warriors’ last 5 games as favourites.
  • Kevin Durant has recorded 7+ rebounds in each of his last 5 games vs. the Warriors.
  • Dennis Schroder has recorded 4+ rebounds in each of his last 4 games vs. the Suns.
  • Stephen Curry has recorded 6+ assists in each of the Warriors’ last 6 games as home favourites.
  • Tyus Jones has recorded 9+ assists in 4 of his last 5 games vs. the Warriors.
  • Andrew Wiggins has scored 16+ points in each of his last 8 games with the Warriors as favourites.
  • Trayce Jackson-Davis has recorded 8+ rebounds in each of the Warriors’ last 4 games.

PREVIEW

Holding the same record, the Suns and Warriors will face off at Chase Center.

Recently, Golden State fell 102-92 to the Clippers at Intuit Dome despite Jonathan Kuminga’s career-high 34-point, 10-rebound display in the absences of Stephen Curry and Draymond Green. The Warriors have lost six straight in division play.

Phoenix fell 98-89 to Dallas yesterday despite Kevin Durant’s 35-point outing and will aim to improve a 1-7 road record.

This is their second meeting this season, with the Suns winning the first 113-105 at Footprint Center on November 30 despite Bradley Beal’s absence.

PICK – UNDER 219.5 TOTAL POINTS

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DETROIT @ DENVER

Ball Arena, Denver, CO

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Nuggets’ last 9 home games vs. Eastern opponents have gone overs.
  • The Nuggets have won 18 of their last 19 home games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • The Nuggets have won the first quarter in 13 of their last 14 games vs. the Pistons.
  • The underdogs have covered the line in each of the Pistons’ last 5 games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 14 17 5-8 9-9
DEN 16 13 8-5 8-8

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DET 111.9 114.5 -2.6 226.4
DEN 119.6 117.2 +2.4 236.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN OVER DEN
-5.5 234.5 134-121

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Tobias Harris has scored 14+ points in each of his last 3 games vs. the Nuggets.
  • Jaden Ivey has made 2+ three-pointers in each of his last 5 games.
  • Russell Westbrook has recorded 6+ assists in 15 of his last 16 games vs. the Pistons.
  • Cade Cunningham has recorded 10+ assists in 11 of his last 12 road games.
  • Cade Cunningham has scored 20+ points in 12 of his last 13 games.
  • Nikola Jokic has scored 32+ points in each of the Nuggets’ last 3 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Jalen Duren has scored 15+ points in each of his last 2 games vs. the Nuggets.

PREVIEW

Entering the last outing of a four-game road trip, Detroit visit the Denver at Ball Arena on.

Recently, Denver fell 149-135 to Cleveland at this venue despite Nikola Jokic’s 27-point, 14-rebound, 13-assist outing and Jamal Murray’s 27-point, 11-assist performance. The Nuggets have lost four of their last five against Eastern Conference opponents.

Detroit overcame a 19-point deficit to edge Sacramento 114-113 on Thursday, led by Cade Cunningham’s 33-point, 10-assist display. The Pistons have won three straight on the road.

This is their first meeting in 2024-25, with the Nuggets aiming to build on their sweep of last season’s two-game series, including a 131-114 home win.

PICK – DENVER / OVER 234.5 TOTAL POINTS

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PHILADELPHIA @ UTAH

Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, UT

TEAM TRENDS

  • 8 of the Jazz’s last 9 games have gone overs.
  • The Jazz have lost each of their last 5 home games.
  • The 76ers have covered the line in each of their last 4 road games vs. teams with a losing record.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 11 17 5-9 6-8
UTA 7 22 2-10 5-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 106.4 110.5 -4.1 216.9
UTA 110.6 119.6 -9.0 230.2

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
UTA OVER PHI
+6.5 222.5 114-111

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Walker Kessler has scored 13+ points in each of the Jazz’s last 4 home games.
  • Collin Sexton has scored 22+ points in 6 of his last 7 games vs. the 76ers.
  • Collin Sexton has made 2+ three-pointers in each of the Jazz’s last 4 games.
  • Walker Kessler has recorded 16 rebounds in each of the Jazz’s last 2 games.
  • John Collins has scored 16+ points in each of his last 7 home games.
  • Lauri Markkanen has scored 25+ points in 3 of the Jazz’s last 4 games.
  • Lauri Markkanen has recorded 10+ rebounds in each of his last 3 games vs. the 76ers.

PREVIEW

Coming home after a five-game road trip, the Jazz host the 76ers at Delta Center.

Last time out, Utah fell 122-120 to Portland at Moda Center despite Lauri Markkanen’s 25-point, three-steal outing in the absence of John Collins. The Jazz have lost five straight at home.

Philadelphia upset Boston 118-114 at TD Garden on Christmas Day behind Tyrese Maxey’s 33-point, 12-assist, three-steal performance and Joel Embiid’s 27-point display. The 76ers will look to improve a 1-7 record in their last eight against Western opponents. Embiid is questionable.

This is their first meeting in 2024-25, with last season’s series ending in a road win apiece.

PICK – OVER 222.5 TOTAL POINTS

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DALLAS @ PORTLAND

Moda Center, Portland, OR

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Mavericks have covered in their last 14 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Mavericks have won their last 6 games vs. the Trail Blazers.
  • 13 of the last 14 meetings between the Mavericks and Trail Blazers at Moda Center have gone over.
  • The Mavericks have won both halves in their last 3 games vs. the Trail Blazers.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 20 11 10-5 10-6
POR 10 20 7-7 3-13

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DAL 117.5 111.1 +6.4 228.6
POR 107.6 116.9 -9.3 224.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
POR UNDER POR
+4.5 224.5 126-122

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Anfernee Simons has 7+ assists in 3 of the Trail Blazers’ last 4 games as home underdogs.
  • Anfernee Simons has scored 27+ points in the Trail Blazers’ last 3 games as home underdogs.
  • Klay Thompson has scored 20+ points in his last 3 road games vs. the Trail Blazers.
  • Deandre Ayton has scored 15+ points in 4 of his last 5 home games.
  • Jerami Grant has 4+ rebounds in his last 4 home games vs. the Mavericks.

PREVIEW

On the second leg of a back-to-back, Dallas will visit Portland at Moda Center.

Recently, Portland erased a 15-point deficit to defeat Utah 122-120 at this venue, led by Deni Avdija’s 27-point, eight-rebound, six-assist display and Shaedon Sharpe’s 27-point outing. The Trail Blazers have won six of their last nine home games.

Dallas defeated Phoenix 98-89 yesterday without Luka Doncic (out), securing their seventh win from their last eight road games.

This is their third meeting this season, with Dallas winning the previous two, extending their streak against Portland to six games.

PICK – UNDER 224.5 TOTAL POINTS

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SACRAMENTO @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Lakers have failed to cover in 11 of their last 12 home games after a road win.
  • The road team has won the Kings’ last 6 games.
  • 11 of the Lakers’ last 12 games vs. Western teams have gone unders.
  • The Lakers have won the 1st quarter in their last 3 games vs. the Kings.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 13 18 6-12 7-6
LAL 17 13 9-4 8-9

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
SAC 114.7 113.6 +1.1 228.3
LAL 111.3 113.8 -2.5 225.1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAL UNDER LAL
+1.0 223.5 132-122

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • De’Aaron Fox has scored 28+ points in the Kings’ last 7 road games vs. the Lakers.
  • Malik Monk has 6+ assists in 4 of the Kings’ last 5 road games.
  • DeMar DeRozan has scored 20+ points in 16 of his last 17 road games.
  • LeBron James has scored 30+ points in 5 of his last 6 home games vs. the Kings.
  • Austin Reaves has 4+ rebounds in the Lakers’ last 6 games vs. the Kings.

PREVIEW

Hitting the road after a rough five-game homestand, the Kings visit the Lakers at Crypto.com Arena.

Last time on the court, Los Angeles defeated Golden State 115-113 at Chase Center, highlighted by LeBron James’ 31-point, 10-assist display and Austin Reaves’ 26-point, 10-rebound, 10-assist triple-double. Anthony Davis (ankle) and James are questionable.

Sacramento blew a 19-point lead to lose 114-113 to Detroit on Thursday while missing Domantas Sabonis, extending their losing streak to five – their longest since January 2022. Head coach Mike Brown was dismissed following the skid.

This marks the fourth meeting of the season series, with the Lakers winning all three prior matchups.

PICK – LA LAKERS +1.0

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