NBA Finals Picks – Dallas @ Boston – Game 5

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DALLAS @ BOSTON

NBA FINALS – GAME 5

BOSTON LEAD 3-1

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Celtics have won their last 9 home games after losing as favs.
  • The Celtics’ last 7 NBA Finals games have gone Unders.
  • The Celtics failed to cover 4 of their last 5 NBA Finals games as favs.
  • The Celtics have won the first half in their last 5 home games vs. the Mavericks.

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WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 64 18 37-4 27-14
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 120.6 109.2 +11.4 229.8
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

BOSTON 4-0

GAME 4 DAL BOS 122:84
GAME 3 DAL BOS 99:106
GAME 2 BOS DAL 105:98
GAME 1 BOS DAL 107:89
02.03.24 BOS DAL 138:110
23.01.24 DAL BOS 110:119
06.01.23 DAL BOS 95:124
24.11.22 BOS DAL 125:112

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS UNDER BOS
-7.0 209.5 106-88

THE RUB

As the Celtics prepare to close out the NBA Finals on Monday night, Dallas guard Kyrie Irving, a former Celtic, finds himself back in a familiar but hostile environment. Irving, who played for Boston from 2017 to 2019, has been a focal point for Celtics fans’ frustrations since his departure.

The Celtics lead the series 3-1, having won both games at home before splitting the two games in Dallas. With the potential to secure their 18th championship, the Celtics are focused on execution and fundamentals rather than celebrating prematurely.

Boston coach Joe Mazzulla emphasized the importance of defensive effort, rebounding, and proper spacing, stressing that these are crucial to securing the title. This focus comes after a disappointing performance in Game 4, where the Celtics were blown out 122-84 by the Mavericks.

Jayson Tatum, who scored a team-high 15 points in Game 4, acknowledged the need for the team to relax and enjoy the high-pressure moments. He believes that maintaining their unique and fun approach is key to their success.

Dallas, on the other hand, is attempting to make history by becoming the first team to overcome a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven series. Luka Doncic led the Mavericks with 29 points in Game 4, and Irving contributed 21 points to keep their season alive. The Mavericks are aware of the daunting challenge but remain hopeful and focused on proving their belief on the court.

The stars could be aligning for Boston, as Monday marks the 16th anniversary of the Celtics’ 2008 title. With a chance to break their championship drought, the Celtics are determined to capitalize on this opportunity.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Daniel Gafford has scored 8+ points in the Mavericks’ last 9 road games.
  • Daniel Gafford has 1+ blocks in 14 of the Mavericks’ last 15 games.
  • Luka Doncic has scored the first basket in 3 of the Mavericks’ last 4 games at TD Garden.
  • Luka Doncic has a triple-double in 6 of the Mavericks’ last 8 road games against Eastern teams.
  • P.J. Washington has scored 14+ points in his last 6 road games vs. Celtics.
  • Daniel Gafford has 5+ rebounds in 8 of the Mavericks’ last 9 road games.
  • P.J. Washington has 7+ rebounds in his last 4 road games vs. Celtics.
  • Luka Doncic has 2+ steals in the Mavericks’ last 4 games as underdogs.
  • Jrue Holiday has 8+ rebounds in 4 of the Celtics’ last 5 games as favs.
  • Kyrie Irving has 4+ rebounds in 9 of his last 11 at TD Garden.
  • Jayson Tatum has a double-double in 6 of his last 7 playoff closeout games.
  • Derrick White has scored 18+ points in 8 of the Celtics’ last 12 playoff home games.
  • Dereck Lively II has a double-double in the Mavericks’ last 2 games.

PICK – UNDER 209.5 TOTAL PTS