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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD
| ATS RECORD | TOTAL PTS RECORD | ||
| W | L | W | L |
| 72 | 60 | 68 | 64 |
- BEST BETS RECORD: 68-52
TOP 3 ROI TRENDS TONIGHT
1. The Dallas Mavericks hitting the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.60 Units / 51% ROI):
- This shows a strong pattern of the Mavs not exceeding their projected team total points in a large majority of their recent home games.
2. The Sacramento Kings hitting the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 away games (+14.65 Units / 36% ROI):
- This showcases the Kings’ tendency towards lower-scoring third quarters in away games, offering a nice ROI.
3. The Denver Nuggets hitting the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI):
- Similar to the Kings’ trend, the Nuggets have shown a pattern of underperforming in the third quarter’s total points during their away games, yielding a significant ROI.
ATLANTA @ DALLAS
ATS Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -11.5
The Mavericks have shown a strong trend of covering the spread when favored, achieving this feat in 8 of their last 9 games as favorites. Additionally, their record against teams below .500 is impressive, having won their last 10 games in such matchups.
This consistency and their ability to perform against weaker teams suggest they’re well-positioned to cover the -11.5 spread against an underperforming opponent.
Over/Under Prediction: Under 227.5 Total Points
Dallas’ trend towards hitting the under in home games is particularly strong, with the game total going under in 19 of their last 26 home games, translating to a 40% ROI. The Mavericks have also seen the team total go under in 12 of their last 15 home games, further reinforcing their trend towards lower-scoring outcomes when playing at home.
Despite the opponent’s recent trend of games going over, Dallas’ defensive efforts and game control at home should contribute to a lower total score, making the under on 229.5 total points the best pick here.
Best Pick: Under 227.5 Total Points
PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI
ATS Prediction: Miami Heat -2.5
The Heat have demonstrated strong performance in their recent home games against the 76ers, winning 5 of their last 6 matchups. This trend, combined with the 76ers’ recent struggles to cover the spread in road games following a win, suggests a favorable outcome for the Heat covering the -2.5 spread.
Additionally, Miami’s success in winning the first half in their last 5 games could provide them with an early advantage to maintain or extend their lead, further supporting their position to cover the spread.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 209.5 Total Points
While both teams have trends that could influence the total points, the Heat’s recent games against Eastern opponents going over is particularly noteworthy, especially with the total set at 209.5 points. This lower threshold, combined with Miami’s offensive capabilities and recent performances, leans towards a higher-scoring game that could surpass the total points line.
Additionally, the 76ers’ efficiency in scoring, especially in away games, could contribute to pushing the total over.
Best Pick: Over 209.5 Total Points
SACRAMENTO @ NEW YORK
ATS Prediction: New York Knicks -3.5
The New York Knicks have shown a strong trend of covering the spread in their recent home games, doing so in their last 4 matchups. Additionally, their success against the Kings in recent encounters, winning 5 of their last 6 games, suggests they have a competitive edge.
Given the Kings’ mixed performance on the road despite covering the spread in 24 of their last 39 away games, the Knicks’ recent home advantage and defensive capabilities indicated by their 1H Game Total Under trend could lead them to cover the -3.5 spread.
Over/Under Prediction: Under 213.5 Total Points
Both teams have demonstrated tendencies toward lower-scoring games, particularly in specific game quarters. The Knicks have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 home games, showcasing their defensive strengths and slower-paced game at home. Similarly, the Kings have trended towards the Under in their away games, with 27 of their last 43 away games going under.
These trends, combined with the Knicks’ effectiveness in keeping the first-half scores low, suggest that the total points might not surpass the set line of 215.5 points.
Best Pick: Under 213.5 Total Points
GOLDEN STATE @ HOUSTON
ATS (Against The Spread) Prediction: Golden State Warriors -3.5
The Golden State Warriors have demonstrated strong performance on the road, notably covering the spread in 25 of their last 37 away games. Their specific success in the third quarter, having covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 away games, indicates their ability to assert dominance in the latter half of the game.
Additionally, the Warriors’ historical dominance over the Rockets, winning their last 12 encounters, further bolsters confidence in their ability to cover a -3.5 spread in this game.
Over/Under Prediction: Over 227.5 Total Points
While the Warriors have shown a trend towards hitting the Game Total Under in away games, the Rockets’ home games tell a different story, with 6 of their last 7 home games going Overs.
Given the Rockets’ ability to score at home and their recent trend of losing the first half, this game could see an early deficit for the Rockets, prompting a high-scoring chase scenario. This, combined with the Warriors’ offensive capabilities, suggests that the total could exceed the 227.5 points line.
Best Pick: Golden State Warriors -3.5
DENVER @ LA CLIPPERS
ATS Prediction: Denver Nuggets -3.5
The Denver Nuggets have a solid track record of hitting the Moneyline in away games, with a 21% ROI in their last 28 away games. Coupled with their success in covering the last 6 games at Crypto.com Arena against teams with a winning record, Denver demonstrates a strong capability to perform well against competitive teams on the road.
The Clippers’ struggles at home against teams above .500, losing their last 8, further bolster the case for the Nuggets to cover the -3.5 spread.
Over/Under Prediction: Under 221.5 Total Points
Both teams have trends leaning towards the Under in recent games, with the Nuggets hitting the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games and the Clippers hitting the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 home games.
Additionally, historical matchups between these two at Crypto.com Arena have predominantly gone Under, with 7 of the last 8 games underscoring the total. These patterns suggest a lower-scoring affair, making Under 218.5 the more likely outcome.
Best Pick: Denver Nuggets -3.5
