*These NBA computer picks are done the morning of game day, adjust picks should spreads and lineups change.
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CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
EASTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 6
CLEVELAND LEADS 3-2
Over/Under Prediction: Under 199.0 Total Points
Both Cleveland and Orlando have tendencies toward lower-scoring games, especially when playing at home for the Magic and away for the Cavs.
The Magic have hit the 1Q game total under in 49 of their last 77 games, while the Cavaliers have hit the 4Q game total under in 48 of their last 78 games.
The Magic have seen unders in 8 of their last 9 home games. With the historical trend of unders in Cavaliers vs. Magic playoff games, the under 199.0 total points seems like a reasonable prediction for this matchup.
ATS Prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers -4.0
Despite the Magic’s strong showings at home against the spread, the Cavs have shown consistency in covering the 1H moneyline in 51 of their last 79 games.
The trends favor the home team in Cavaliers vs. Magic playoff games suggests that the Cavaliers may have an advantage in this matchup.
With the Cavaliers’ tendency to perform well in the early quarters, selecting the Cleveland Cavaliers -4.0 against the spread appears to be a favorable pick.
Best Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -4.0
LA CLIPPERS @ DALLAS
WESTERN CONFERENCE 1ST ROUND – GAME 6
DALLAS LEADS 3-2
Over/Under Prediction: Under 206.0 Total Points
The Clippers and Mavericks lean toward lower-scores, especially when playing at home for the Mavs and on the road for the Clippers.
The Mavericks have hit the game total under in 41 of their last 62 games. Additionally, the Clippers have seen unders in 5 of their last 6 road games as underdogs.
These trends, along with the trend of lower-scoring games between these two teams, the under 206.0 total points seems like a nice pick.
ATS Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -8.0
Despite the Mavs’ struggles in the first quarter at home lately, the Clippers have not covered the spread in 12 of their last 38 games.
The Mavericks have covered the spread in 27 of their last 38 games, demonstrating more reliability in this regard.
The trend of the Clippers winning 9 of their last 10 road games after losing may not be sufficient to overcome the Mavericks’ recent strong performances against the spread.
These factors, along with the Mavericks’ tendency to cover the spread, selecting the Dallas Mavericks -8.0 against the spread appears to be a favorable pick for this game.
