Tonight’s NBA Computer Picks – Sat, 23rd March

nba ai generated picks

We take hundreds of lines of statistics and trends from the top sites that offer NBA matchups statistical analysis, and tun these stats through AI, at which point the AI will predict the most likely outcome of the games given the huge number of statistics fed through the AI betting predictor.

If you’re interested to see how these NBA computer picks go, we’ll be updating daily a Win/Loss table – so that we can all see just how good AI generated NBA picks are.

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AI COMPUTER PICKS RECORD

ATS RECORD TOTAL PTS PROPS
W L W L
27 29 28 27
  • BEST BETS: 25-18

BROOKLYN @ NEW YORK

Over/Under Prediction: Under 204.0 Total Points

Given that 8 of the Knicks’ last 9 home games have gone Unders, and both teams have shown a strong trend towards hitting the Game Total Under in recent matchups, the game between the Knicks and the Nets is likely to go under the total of 204 points. The Knicks have been particularly effective at keeping the score low in their home games, and the Nets have contributed to unders in their recent games as well, making the Under a compelling pick.

ATS Prediction: New York -7.0

The Knicks’ strong record against Eastern opponents below .500, combined with their recent dominance in the first quarter against the Nets and a streak of covering the spread in their last 4 games against the Nets, suggests that New York is likely to cover the -7 spread. Their consistent performance in the opening periods and their ability to capitalize against weaker Eastern teams supports this prediction.

Best Pick: Under 204.0 Total Points

The most convincing bet for this game is the Under 204 total points. Both teams have shown strong trends towards low-scoring games, with the Knicks specifically demonstrating this in their home games. The combination of both teams’ defensive capabilities and recent under trends provides a solid foundation for expecting another low-scoring affair.

Best ROI Bet: Under 204 Total Points

Considering the ROI and the consistency of the trends, the Under 204 total points stands out as the bet with the best potential return. The Knicks’ trend of hitting the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 44 games (+20.90 Units / 43% ROI) highlights a strong pattern of unders in their games, further supported by the Nets’ recent under performances.


SACRAMENTO @ ORLANDO

Over/Under Prediction: Over 215.0 Total Points

The history between the Kings and Magic at Kia Center points towards a high-scoring affair, with the last 9 matchups going Over. This trend aligns with both teams’ playing style and historical performances, suggesting that the game is likely to exceed the total of 215 points.

ATS Prediction: Sacramento +3.5

Given the underdogs’ success in 10 of the last 11 games between these two teams and the Kings’ recent form as road underdogs, Sacramento appears well-positioned to cover the +3.5 spread. Their ability to perform in the first half and cover in 4 of their last 5 games as road underdogs supports this prediction.

Best Pick: Over 215.0 Total Points

The strong historical trend of Overs in matchups between the Kings and Magic, combined with both teams’ offensive capabilities, makes the Over 215 total points the best pick for this game. Both teams have consistently been involved in high-scoring games when facing each other, especially at Kia Center.

Best ROI Bet: Sacramento +3.5

The Sacramento Kings’ success in covering the spread in 27 of their last 44 away games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI) suggests a high potential for ROI. Their recent form as road underdogs and the historical trend of underdogs winning in matchups at Kia Center make Sacramento covering the +3.5 spread the bet with the best potential for a positive ROI in this matchup.


CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA

Over/Under Prediction: Under 214.5 Total Points

Given the Hawks’ recent trend of Unders in their last 4 home games and the Hornets’ strong performance in hitting the 1H and 1Q Game Total Under in numerous recent matches, the game seems poised for a low scoring affair. These trends suggest a defensive struggle or at least efficient defense from both teams, making Under 214.5 the more likely scenario.

ATS Prediction: Charlotte +8.0

The underdogs covering the last 6 games in this matchup and the Hornets’ impressive ability to cover the 4Q Spread and hit the 4Q Moneyline recently indicates their competitive spirit, especially in tight games. Despite their road challenges, Charlotte’s resilience in late game situations may help them cover the spread against Atlanta.

Best Pick: Under 214.5 Total Points

Considering both teams’ recent under trends and the historical performances in similar matchups, the Under 214.5 total points emerges as the best bet. The Hornets’ consistent under performances in the first half and Atlanta’s last home games support the expectation of a lower-scoring game.

Best ROI Bet: Charlotte +8.0

The Charlotte Hornets have demonstrated considerable value in covering late-game situations, with a notable ROI in 4Q Spread coverage and Moneyline victories in tight games. Despite their struggles on the road, the history of underdogs covering in this matchup provides a compelling case for the Hornets to beat the spread, potentially offering a solid ROI given the +8.0 spread.


BOSTON @ CHICAGO

Over/Under Prediction: Over 218.5 Total Points

The trend of the Bulls’ last 5 games going Overs and their ability to hit the 4Q Game Total Over in a significant number of home games suggest an inclination towards higher scoring affairs, especially late in the game. Combined with the Celtics’ offensive prowess, this matchup leans towards surpassing the total points line of 221.5.

ATS Prediction: Boston -5.5

Given the Celtics’ strong track record of covering the spread in recent games and their dominance against Eastern opponents below .500, backing Boston to cover -9.0 seems plausible. The Celtics’ consistent performance and the Bulls’ struggles to cover the 1Q Spread supports this pick.

Best Pick: Over 218.5 Total Points

Considering both teams’ scoring capabilities and recent trends towards high-scoring games, especially with the Bulls at home, the Over 221.5 total points stands out as the best bet for this matchup. The offensive dynamics of both teams, particularly in the later quarters, underscore the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

Best ROI Bet: Chicago Bulls Hitting the 4Q Game Total Over

The Chicago Bulls’ proficiency in hitting the 4Q Game Total Over, especially at home, presents a compelling option for a high ROI bet. With a 29% ROI over 27 of their last 39 home games, this trend signifies a solid betting opportunity, especially considering the potential for a back-and-forth scoring affair in the final quarter.


UTAH @ HOUSTON

Over/Under Prediction: Under 226.5 Total Points

Given the Jazz’s recent trend of games going Under and their struggles on the road, combined with the Rockets’ strong defensive performances at home, this matchup leans towards a lower scoring affair than the set total of 226.5 points. Both teams’ recent game trends support this prediction.

ATS Prediction: Houston -10.5

The Rockets’ impressive track record of covering the spread in recent home games and the Jazz’s struggles in away games suggest that Houston is likely to cover the -10.5 spread. The Rockets’ dominance, especially in the first halves of their recent home games, reinforces this expectation.

Best Pick: Under 226.5 Total Points

Considering both the Jazz’s and Rockets’ recent performances and trends, the Under on 226.5 total points appears to be the safest bet. The Jazz’s difficulties in scoring on the road and the Rockets’ ability to control the pace at home make this the most compelling wager.

Best ROI Bet: Rockets Covering the First Half Spread

Given the Rockets’ consistency in leading at halftime in their recent home games, a bet on Houston covering the first half spread against the Jazz offers a strong potential for a positive return on investment. This bet capitalizes on the Rockets’ early-game strength and the Jazz’s recent form.


PHOENIX @ SAN ANTONIO

Over/Under Prediction: Under 232.5 Total Points

Given the Suns’ trend towards games going Under, especially in their last 7 against Western opponents, and their robust defense on the road, an Under scenario seems likely. Their historical performance, including hitting the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI), further supports this prediction.

ATS Prediction: Phoenix -9.5

Phoenix’s strong road performance, winning their last 7 road games against the Spurs, alongside their capability to secure wins in away games, as shown by hitting the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+14.05 Units / 22% ROI), suggests they could cover the spread.

Best Pick: Under 232.5 Total Points

The best bet appears to be on the Under, backed by the Suns’ consistent Under outcomes in games against Western opponents and their defensive strategy in road games. The Suns’ defensive record and the game’s historical context reinforce the Under as a compelling choice.

Best ROI Bet: Under 232.5 Total Points

The Phoenix Suns hitting the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 89 games (+17.95 Units / 17% ROI) stands out for its consistent returns. Coupled with the game’s total trends and Phoenix’s defensive form, the Under 228.5 presents itself as the most promising bet for a positive ROI.


TORONTO @ WASHINGTON

Over/Under Prediction: Under 231.5 Total Points

With the Raptors’ last 5 games going Under and their current losing streak, combined with the Wizards’ tendency to hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI), an Under bet seems promising. The Wizards’ defensive performance, especially in the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 home games, bolsters the likelihood of a lower-scoring game.

ATS Prediction: Washington -5.0

Considering the Raptors’ recent struggles, failing to cover in their last 5 games and losing 9 straight, alongside the Wizards’ success in covering the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games, Washington is well-positioned to cover the spread. Their ability to perform in crucial quarters adds confidence to this pick.

Best Pick: Under 231.5 Total Points

The pattern of Unders in the Raptors’ games, coupled with the Wizards’ consistent under performance at home, makes betting on the Under 231.5 Total Points the most solid option. The statistical evidence and current form of both teams lean towards a game that may not reach a high total.

Best ROI Bet: Under 231.5 Total Points

The Washington Wizards hitting the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.15 Units / 28% ROI) is a significant trend that aligns with the game’s expected outcome. The combination of both teams’ recent performances and the Wizards’ defensive stats at home suggests that betting on the Under offers nice ROI potential.


DENVER @ PORTLAND

Over/Under Prediction: Under 209.0 Total Points

Given the Blazers’ trend of their last 7 home games against Western opponents going Overs, this matchup with the Nuggets presents an interesting contrast. However, considering the total set at 209.0 and the Nuggets’ strong tendency to hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 99 games, along with their success in the 3Q Game Total Under in recent away games, a defensive battle might be on the horizon.

ATS Prediction: Denver -9.5

Denver’s consistent performance, with a Moneyline hit in 66 of their last 91 games, against a Blazers team that has struggled significantly against Western opponents above .500, losing their last 18 matchups, indicates the Nuggets are likely to cover the spread. Additionally, Denver’s ability to cover the 1Q Spread in a majority of their games further supports their potential to take an early lead and maintain it.

Best Pick: Denver ATS

The Nuggets’ overall performance this season, especially their ability to win outright in a significant majority of their games and their defensive prowess as demonstrated by their 4Q Game Total Under trend, makes betting on Denver to cover the -9.5 spread the most appealing pick.

Best ROI Bet: Under 209.0 Total Points

Considering both teams’ trends and the defensive capabilities of the Nuggets on the road, the under seems like a solid choice for the best ROI bet. Denver’s effectiveness in keeping games low-scoring, coupled with the Blazers’ mixed results in scoring against strong Western teams, suggests the total might not reach the 209.0 threshold.


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