NBA Finals Picks – Boston @ Dallas – Game 3

NBA FINALS PICKS

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BOSTON @ DALLAS

NBA FINALS – GAME 3

BOSTON LEAD 2-0

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Celtics have won their last 9 games.
  • Each of the Celtics’ last 5 NBA Finals games have gone Unders.
  • The Celtics have covered the line in 5 of their last 6 vs. Mavericks.
  • The Celtics have won the first half in each of their last 7 games vs. Mavericks.

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WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BOS 64 18 37-4 27-14
DAL 50 32 25-16 25-16

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
BOS 120.6 109.2 +11.4 229.8
DAL 117.9 115.6 +2.3 233.5

SEASON MATCHUPS

BOSTON 4-0

GAME 2 BOS DAL 105:98
GAME 1 BOS DAL 107:89
02.03.24 BOS DAL 138:110
23.01.24 DAL BOS 110:119
06.01.23 DAL BOS 95:124
24.11.22 BOS DAL 125:112

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
BOS OVER
+2.5 212.0

THE RUB

The Celtics and Mavericks will meet in Game 3 of the 2023-24 NBA Finals at American Airlines Center on Wednesday night.

The Celtics secured a 105-98 win in Game 2 at TD Garden on Sunday, taking a 2-0 series lead and extending their winning streak against the Mavericks to six games. A key factor in Boston’s win was their ability to capitalize on turnovers, outscoring Dallas 21-12 in this area.

The Celtics’ defense also limited Dallas to just 6-26 (23.1%) from three-point range. The Mavericks now hold a 4-7 record in the playoffs when shooting 35.0% or fewer from beyond the arc, compared to 8-0 when surpassing that mark.

Jrue Holiday led Boston with a 26-point, 11-rebound double-double. Luka Doncic once again carried the Mavericks, recording a triple-double with 32 points, 11 rebounds, 11 assists, and four steals, but he lacked sufficient support from his teammates.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Luka Doncic scored the first basket in 3 of the last 4 games vs. Celtics.
  • Kristaps Porzingis has scored 17+ points in 9 of his last 10 road games.
  • Jrue Holiday has 25+ Pts + Reb + Ast in each of the Celtics’ last 6 games.
  • Luka Doncic has 10+ assists in 7 of his last 8 games vs. Jrue Holiday.
  • Jrue Holiday has 5+ assists in 7 of his last 8 games vs. Mavericks.
  • Kristaps Porzingis has 2+ blocks in 7 of his last 8 appearances.
  • Jrue Holiday has scored 17+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games vs. Mavericks.
  • Jayson Tatum has scored 28+ points in each of the last 4 road games vs. Mavericks.
  • Kyrie Irving has scored 30+ points in 4 of his last 5 NBA Finals home games.
  • Luka Doncic has 2+ steals in 4 of the Mavericks’ last 5 games.
  • Dereck Lively II has scored 12+ points in each of his last 3 home games after scoring in single digits.
  • Al Horford has 7+ rebounds in each of the Celtics’ last 3 games.
  • Jaylen Brown has recorded 3 steals in each of the last 3 Celtics games.
  • Dereck Lively II has 7+ rebounds in 6 of his last 8 appearances.
  • Daniel Gafford has recorded 3 blocks in 3 of the Mavericks’ last 4 home games.

PICK – OVER 212.0 TOTAL PTS

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