NBA – Tonight’s Best Picks – Saturday, 4th Jan

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*These NBA tips and NBA player prop picks are done the previous game day, adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN

Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

TEAM TRENDS

  • 6 of the 76ers’ last 7 road games have gone over.
  • The Nets have lost 7 of their last 8 night games vs. Atlantic teams.
  • The 76ers have covered in 8 of their last 11 games vs. the Nets.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHI 13 19 5-9 8-10
BKN 13 21 5-9 8-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHI 107.2 111.3 -4.1 218.5
BKN 108.1 113.2 -5.1 221.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
PHI OVER PHI
-7.5 212.5 123-94

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Ben Simmons has 6+ assists in his last 8 games.
  • Tyrese Maxey has 6+ assists in 5 of the 76ers’ last 6 games.
  • Joel Embiid has 30+ points in his last 16 games as a road favorite with the 76ers.
  • Cameron Thomas has 23+ points in his last 4 games.
  • Tyrese Maxey has 25+ points in the 76ers’ last 4 road games vs. East teams.
  • Nicolas Claxton has 8+ rebounds in the Nets’ last 6 games vs. the 76ers.
  • Joel Embiid has 10+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 games vs. the Nets.

PREVIEW

Philadelphia and Brooklyn, both with 13 wins this season, face off at Barclays Center on Saturday for their second meeting of the season.

The 76ers won the first matchup 113-98 on November 22, with Jared McCain scoring 30 points and hitting six triples.

Brooklyn recently upset Milwaukee 113-110, led by Cameron Johnson’s 26 points and six triples, though Johnson is doubtful after an ankle sprain. Cam Thomas is also questionable.

Philadelphia is coming off a 139-105 loss to Golden State, despite Joel Embiid’s 28 points and 14 rebounds. Embiid is questionable, while Kelly Oubre Jr. is doubtful.

PICK – OVER 212.5 TOTAL POINTS

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MINNESOTA @ DETROIT

Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover in their last 11 games after a home loss.
  • The Pistons have won 4 of their last 5 games as underdogs.
  • 8 of the Pistons’ last 9 games as underdogs have gone over.
  • The Timberwolves have won the 1st half in their last 8 road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 17 16 9-7 8-9
DET 16 18 7-8 9-10

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MIN 109.4 107.7 +1.7 217.1
DET 111.6 114.0 -2.4 225.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIN OVER DET
-6.5 217.0 119-105

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Julius Randle has 6+ assists in the Timberwolves’ last 4 road games.
  • Cade Cunningham has 10+ assists in his last 5 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Rudy Gobert has 16+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 2 road games vs. the Pistons.
  • Julius Randle has 29+ points in his last 3 games vs. the Pistons.
  • Tobias Harris has 17+ points in 5 of his last 6 home games vs. the Timberwolves.
  • Anthony Edwards has 26+ points in 14 of his last 18 road games vs. East teams.
  • Cade Cunningham has 26+ points in his last 3 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • Tobias Harris has 6+ rebounds in his last 9 home games vs. West teams.
  • Rudy Gobert has 12+ rebounds in his last 4 road games vs. the Pistons.
  • Julius Randle has 8+ rebounds in 9 of his last 12 games vs. the Pistons.

PREVIEW

Detroit host Minnesota at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday in the second leg of a back-to-back.

This is their first meeting of 2024-25, with Minnesota aiming to build on last season’s sweep, including a 124-117 road win.

Detroit recently edged Charlotte 98-94, led by Tobias Harris’ 24 points, 10 rebounds, and 3 steals, in their first game since Jaden Ivey’s leg injury.

Minnesota fell 118-115 to Boston on Thursday, despite Julius Randle’s 27 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and 5 triples. The Timberwolves have now lost 6 straight against Eastern Conference teams.

PICK – MINNESOTA / OVER 217.0 TOTAL POINTS

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PHOENIX @ INDIANA

Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Suns have failed to cover in their last 9 games vs. East teams.
  • The Suns have lost 8 of their last 9 road games.
  • The Suns’ last 5 games have gone under.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHX 15 17 10-8 5-9
IND 17 18 8-6 9-12

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
PHX 112.2 114.0 -1.8 226.2
IND 115.0 116.8 -1.8 231.8

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
IND UNDER IND
-2.5 235.5 126-108

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Devin Booker has 3+ threes in the Suns’ last 3 road games vs. the Pacers.
  • Pascal Siakam has 3+ threes in the Pacers’ last 3 home games.
  • Devin Booker has 6+ assists in the Suns’ last 7 road games vs. East teams.
  • Tyrese Haliburton has 8+ assists in 11 of the Pacers’ last 13 games.
  • Pascal Siakam has 22+ points in his last 6 home games vs. the Suns.
  • Devin Booker has 28+ points in the Suns’ last 5 road games vs. teams with a losing record.
  • Kevin Durant has 27+ points in the Suns’ last 4 games.
  • Myles Turner has 8+ rebounds in 7 of the Pacers’ last 9 home games.

PREVIEW

The Suns and Pacers meet at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday for their second matchup of the season.

The Pacers won the first meeting 120-111 on December 19, with Pascal Siakam posting a 25-point, 18-rebound double-double.

Indiana recently defeated Miami 128-115, led by Tyrese Haliburton’s 33 points, 15 assists, and 6 triples. The Pacers have won 11 straight when Haliburton records 12+ assists.

Phoenix, coming off a 117-112 loss to Memphis despite Kevin Durant’s 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 6 assists, looks to end a 7-game losing streak against Eastern teams.

Bradley Beal is questionable for the Suns.

PICK – INDIANA -2.5

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UTAH @ MIAMI

Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Jazz have covered in their last 9 games as underdogs vs. the Heat.
  • The Heat have won their last 7 home games vs. the Jazz.
  • Underdogs have won the 1st half in the last 7 Jazz-Heat games.
  • 10 of the Jazz’s last 12 games have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 7 25 2-12 5-13
MIA 17 15 10-6 7-9

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
UTA 110.7 119.8 -9.1 230.5
MIA 111.4 109.3 +2.1 220.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIA OVER UTA
-8.5 223.5 136-100

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Duncan Robinson has 13+ points in 5 of the Heat’s last 6 games as favs.
  • Tyler Herro has 25+ points in 4 of his last 5 games vs. the Jazz.
  • Collin Sexton has 20+ points in the Jazz’s last 3 games.
  • Tyler Herro has 6+ rebounds in his last 4 games vs. the Jazz.
  • John Collins has 15+ points in 11 of his last 13 games.

PREVIEW

The Jazz and Heat meet at Kaseya Center on Saturday for their first matchup of the season.

The Heat carry a 7-game home win streak against the Jazz, including a 126-120 victory last season as part of a series that followed home-court advantage.

Miami recently lost 128-115 to Indiana despite Kel’el Ware’s 25 points and 3 blocks on 9-11 shooting.

Utah fell 119-103 to New York on New Year’s Day, with Lauri Markkanen struggling on 6-22 shooting. The Jazz have now lost 5 straight.

Jimmy Butler has been suspended for 7 games following trade-related remarks.

PICK – OVER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS

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NEW YORK @ CHICAGO

United Center, Chicago, IL

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Bulls have won their last 9 games as home underdogs after losing as favs.
  • The Bulls’ last 5 home games have gone under.
  • The Bulls have covered in their last 5 games vs. teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NYK 24 11 11-4 13-7
CHI 15 19 5-11 10-8

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NYK 117.6 109.9 +7.7 227.5
CHI 117.2 121.1 -3.9 238.3

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NYK OVER CHI
+6.0 239.0 139-126

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Zach LaVine has 25+ points in 5 of his last 6 games vs. the Knicks.
  • Coby White has 22+ points in the Bulls’ last 3 games vs. the Knicks.
  • Josh Giddey has 8+ assists in 6 of his last 8 home games.
  • Jalen Brunson has 31+ points in 4 of the Knicks’ last 5 games vs. the Bulls.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has 27+ points in his last 4 games vs. the Bulls.
  • Nikola Vucevic has 10+ rebounds in 6 of the Bulls’ last 7 games.
  • Josh Hart has 8+ rebounds in the Knicks’ last 3 games vs. the Bulls.

PREVIEW

New York visit the Bulls at United Center on Saturday in the second leg of a back-to-back.

The Bulls won their first meeting this season 124-123 on November 13, led by Zach LaVine’s 31 points.

Chicago recently fell 125-107 to Washington, despite LaVine’s 32 points, and has lost 4 of its last 6 games.

New York, coming off a 117-107 loss to Oklahoma City, saw Karl-Anthony Towns post 17 points, 22 rebounds, and 3 steals. That defeat ended the Knicks’ 9-game win streak. New York looks to improve its 12-2 record over its last 14 conference games.

PICK – NEW YORK +6.0

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PORTLAND @ MILWAUKEE

Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Bucks have failed to cover in 6 of their last 7 games at Fiserv Forum.
  • The Trail Blazers have lost their last 8 road games.
  • 4 of the Trail Blazers’ last 5 games have gone over.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 11 22 8-8 3-14
MIL 17 15 10-6 6-9

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
POR 108.0 117.2 -9.2 225.2
MIL 112.6 111.4 +1.2 224.0

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
MIL UNDER POR
-12.5 228.5 105-102

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Deni Avdija has 2+ threes in 7 of the Trail Blazers’ last 9 road games.
  • Deandre Ayton has a double-double in 13 of his last 15 games vs. East teams.
  • Deni Avdija has 4+ assists in 7 of his last 9 games vs. East teams.
  • Anfernee Simons has 25+ points in his last 4 games vs. East teams.
  • Deandre Ayton has 20+ points in 4 of the Trail Blazers’ last 5 road games vs. East teams.
  • Deni Avdija has 15+ points in 13 of the Trail Blazers’ last 16 games.
  • Toumani Camara has 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 9 games.
  • Deandre Ayton has 12+ rebounds in the Trail Blazers’ last 5 road games vs. East teams.

PREVIEW

Portland and Milwaukee meet at Fiserv Forum on Saturday for their first matchup of the season.

Last season, the series was split, with each team winning at home. Damian Lillard, now with the Bucks, averaged 28.0 points in those games.

Milwaukee recently fell 113-110 to Brooklyn, with Lillard struggling on 6-20 shooting, but looks to extend a 3-game win streak against Western teams.

Portland lost 114-106 to the Lakers on Thursday, playing without Jerami Grant (out), and has now dropped 8 straight road games, tying their longest such streak since 2007.

PICK – UNDER 228.5 TOTAL POINTS

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DENVER @ SAN ANTONIO

AT&T Center, San Antonio, TX

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Nuggets have won their last 9 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • 8 of the last 9 Nuggets-Spurs games at Frost Bank Center have gone over.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover in their last 4 games on the second leg of a back-to-back vs. the Nuggets.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 19 14 10-6 9-8
SAS 18 16 12-7 6-9

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
DEN 120.7 117.4 +3.3 238.1
SAS 111.5 111.1 +0.4 222.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
DEN UNDER DEN
-2.5 237.5 122-111 (OT)

PREVIEW

Denver and San Antonio face off at Frost Bank Center on Saturday in the second leg of a home-and-home series.

The Spurs won Friday’s matchup 113-110 at Ball Arena, taking a 1-0 lead in the three-game season series.

San Antonio’s bench outscored Denver’s 37-13, and they dominated the boards 56-45. Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 35 points and 18 rebounds on 14-21 shooting.

Despite a tough shooting night, Nikola Jokic posted 41 points, 18 rebounds, and 9 assists for Denver. The Spurs now aim to extend their 3-game home win streak.

PICK – UNDER 237.5 TOTAL POINTS

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MEMPHIS @ GOLDEN STATE

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The Warriors have won their last 8 home games vs. the Grizzlies.
  • 16 of the Warriors’ last 21 games have gone under.
  • The Warriors have lost the 1st half in 10 of their last 12 games.
  • The home team has covered in 14 of the last 18 Grizzlies-Warriors games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 23 12 14-4 9-8
GSW 17 16 9-8 8-8

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
MEM 123.5 114.8 +8.7 238.3
GSW 112.3 110.4 +1.9 222.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
GSW UNDER GSW
-2.5 233.5 121-113

PREVIEW

The Grizzlies visit the Warriors at Chase Center on Saturday to close a five-game road trip.

The teams have split their two meetings this season, with each defending home court. Golden State extended its home win streak against Memphis to 8 games with a 123-118 victory earlier this season.

The Warriors recently crushed Philadelphia 139-105, led by Stephen Curry’s 30 points, 10 assists, and 8 triples on 11-15 shooting. They have won 13 straight when Curry shoots 60.0% or better, but Curry is out for this matchup.

Memphis fell 138-133 to Sacramento yesterday, despite Jaren Jackson Jr.’s 28 points, Desmond Bane’s 22 points, 7 rebounds, and 8 assists, and Jaylen Wells’ 30 points. Ja Morant remains out for Memphis.

PICK – UNDER 233.5 TOTAL POINTS

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ATLANTA @ LA CLIPPERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA

TEAM TRENDS

  • The road team has covered in the last 5 Hawks-Clippers games.
  • The Clippers have won their last 10 games as favs.
  • 6 of the Clippers’ last 7 games have gone under.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 18 17 10-7 8-9
LAC 19 15 11-6 8-9

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
ATL 117.5 119.4 -1.9 236.9
LAC 108.5 108.0 +0.5 216.5

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
LAC OVER LAC
-5.0 226.5 131-105

PLAYER TRENDS

NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - HERE
  • Clint Capela has a double-double in 9 of his last 10 games vs. the Clippers.
  • James Harden has a double-double in 5 of his last 6 games vs. the Hawks.
  • James Harden has 8+ assists in his last 8 games vs. the Hawks.
  • Clint Capela has 15+ points in 6 of his last 7 road games vs. the Clippers.
  • Norman Powell has 26+ points in the Clippers’ last 4 games as favs.
  • Trae Young has 25+ points in his last 4 games vs. the Clippers.
  • Ivica Zubac has 17+ points in the Clippers’ last 3 home games.
  • Ivica Zubac has 10+ rebounds in the Clippers’ last 8 games as favs.

PREVIEW

The Hawks visit the Clippers at Intuit Dome on Saturday in the second leg of a back-to-back.

This marks their first meeting of 2024-25 after splitting last season’s series, with both teams winning on the road.

The Clippers recently blew a 16-point lead, losing 116-98 to Oklahoma City, despite Amir Coffey’s 26 points and 6 triples. James Harden is available, and Kawhi Leonard is set to make his season debut.

Atlanta fell 119-102 to the Lakers yesterday, led by Trae Young’s 33 points and 9 assists. The Hawks have lost 4 straight road games against Western teams.

PICK – LA CLIPPERS -5.0

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