9 GAMES – NBA TIPS – 10/3/20

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS

I’m expecting a high tempo up and down game when the 8th placed seed from the EAST visits the 8th placed seed in the WEST.

Coming off a 24 point performance, I think this game suits perfectly for Morant who is shooting it at 49% on the floor in his rookie season.

He gets the chance to attack Fultz/Augustin who are so-so defenders, and I’m expecting a few trips to the charity to tip us over his prop total.

DP’S PICK – JA MORANT OVER 18.5 POINTS


NBA PARLAY

PARLAY

  • Minnesota @ Houston – Over 244.5
  • Phoenix @ Portland – Portland -4.5
  • LA Clippers @ Golden State – LA Clippers -10.5

PARLAY ODDS – $6.96


TREND BET

BOSTON @ INDIANA

CELTICS TRENDS

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as a road favorite.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 games as a favorite.

PACERS TRENDS

  • Over is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs teams with a winning road record.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 9-4 in last 13 home games following a road trip of 7+ days.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Indiana.

TREND BET – TOTAL POINTS OVER 215.0

*Strongest NBA trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


BOSTON @ INDIANA

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Indiana.
  • Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
12.12.19 IND BOS 122 : 117

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kemba Walker has 23+ points in his last 7 road games against Central opponents. (20.5)
  • Jayson Tatum has 26+ points in 7 of the Celtics’ last 8 road games. (24.5)
  • Victor Oladipo has 17+ points in his last 5 games against the Celtics. (14.5)
  • Myles Turner has 8+ rebounds in 5 of the Pacers’ last 6 home games. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 39 25 21-10 18-15
BOS 42 21 23-9 19-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
IND 109.3 107.3 +2.0 216.6
BOS 113.0 106.8 +6.2 219.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS Over BOS
-2.0 215.0 114-111

PICK  –  Over 215.0 


NEW YORK @ WASHINGTON

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Knicks are 7-16-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings.
  • Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Washington.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
13.02.20 NY WAS 96 : 114
29.12.19 WAS NY 100 : 107
24.12.19 NY WAS 115 : 121

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bradley Beal has 4+ three-pointers in 8 of the Wizards’ last 9 games. (3.5)
  • Julius Randle has 23+ points in four of his last 5 games against the Wizards. (21.5)
  • Elfrid Payton has 9+ assists in 4 of his last 5 road games. (8.5)
  • Elfrid Payton has 16+ points in the Knicks’ last 3 games. (12.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 20 44 11-22 9-22
WAS 23 40 15-16 8-24

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NY 105.2 111.8 -6.6 217.0
WAS 115.5 119.7 -4.2 235.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
WAS Over WAS
-4.0 227.0 122-115

PICK  –  Washington -4.0 


CLEVELAND @ CHICAGO

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings.
  • Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
26.01.20 CLE CHI 106 : 118
19.01.20 CHI CLE 118 : 116
31.10.19 CLE CHI 117 : 111

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Coby White has 26+ points in 4 of the Bulls’ last 5 home games. (21.5)
  • Wendell Carter Jr. has 10+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 games with the Bulls as home favorites. (7.5)
  • Collin Sexton has 25+ points in the Cavaliers’ last 4 games. (23.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 19 45 11-25 8-20
CHI 21 43 13-20 8-23

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CLE 107.0 114.9 -7.9 221.9
CHI 106.8 110.0 -3.2 216.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
Cleveland Over CHI
-4.5 215.5 108-103

PICK  –  Cleveland WIN 


MINNESOTA @ HOUSTON

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
  • Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Houston.
  • Over is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
25.01.20 MIN HOU 124 : 131
12.01.20 HOU MIN 139 : 109
17.11.19 MIN HOU 105 : 125

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Russell Westbrook has 8+ assists in his last 10 home games against the Timberwolves. (6.5)
  • Russell Westbrook has 32+ points in his last 5 games against Northwest opponents. (30.5)
  • James Harden has 30 points or less in 5 of the Rockets’ last 6 games. (33.5)
  • D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games against Western opponents. (23.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 19 44 8-24 11-20
HOU 39 24 21-10 18-14

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIN 113.3 117.6 -4.3 230.9
HOU 118.1 114.4 +3.7 232.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
HOU Over HOU
-12.5 244.5 117-111

PICK  –  Over 244.5 


ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Memphis.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Memphis.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
09.11.19 ORL MEM 118 : 86

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jonas Valanciunas has 17+ rebounds in the Grizzlies’ last 5 home games. (12.5)
  • Terrence Ross has 4+ three-pointers in the Magic’s last 4 games as underdogs. (2.5)
  • Nikola Vucevic has 23+ points in the Magic’s last 3 games against the Grizzlies. (21.5)
  • Ja Morant has 8+ assists in 9 of the Grizzlies’ last 12 home games. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 29 35 16-15 13-20
MEM 32 32 18-14 14-18

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ORL 106.2 107.2 -1.0 213.4
MEM 112.6 113.6 -1.0 226.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MEM Under ORL
-2.5 222.0 120-115

INTERESTING FACT – The Magic have won the third quarter in each of their last 13 games.

PICK  –  Memphis -2.5 


DALLAS @ SAN ANTONIO

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
  • Mavericks are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in San Antonio.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
27.02.20 SAS DAL 103 : 109
27.12.19 DAL SAS 102 : 98
19.11.19 DAL SAS 117 : 110

PLAYER TRENDS

  • DeMar DeRozan has 27+ points in the Spurs’ last 4 home games against Western opponents. (23.5)
  • DeMar DeRozan has 7+ assists in 5 of the Spurs’ last 6 games. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 39 26 18-15 21-11
SAS 26 36 15-14 11-22

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DAL 116.5 110.4 +6.1 226.9
SAS 113.1 115.0 -1.9 228.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL Over SAS
-3.5 226.5 119-109

PICK  –  Dallas -3.5 


PHOENIX @ PORTLAND

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.
  • Suns are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Portland.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
07.03.20 PHX POR 127 : 117
31.12.19 POR PHX 116 : 122
17.12.19 PHX POR 110 : 111

PLAYER TRENDS

  • C.J. McCollum has 25+ points in 5 of his last 6 home games against the Suns. (22.5)
  • Devin Booker has 31+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games against the Blazers. (28.5)
  • Hassan Whiteside has 20+ rebounds in the Blazers’ last 2 games against the Suns. (14.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHX 26 38 13-22 13-16
POR 28 37 17-14 11-23

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHX 112.7 113.8 -1.1 226.5
POR 113.5 115.4 -1.9 228.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR Over POR
-4.5 233.5 121-105

PICK  –  Portland -4.5 


LA CLIPPERS @ GOLDEN STATE

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.
  • Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Golden State.
  • Clippers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Golden State.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
11.01.20 LAC GSW 109 : 100
25.10.19 GSW LAC 122 : 141

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Lou Williams has 21+ points in 7 of the Clippers’ last 8 road games against the Warriors. (14.5)
  • Montrezl Harrell has 18+ points in the Clippers’ last 4 road games against the Warriors. (16.5)
  • Paul George has 25+ points in his last 3 games against the Warriors. (20.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAC 43 20 25-7 18-13
GSW 15 49 8-25 7-24

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
LAC 116.0 109.7 +6.3 225.7
GSW 106.3 114.8 -8.5 221.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAC Over LAC
-10.5 227.5 131-107

PICK  –  LA Clippers -10.5 


BROOKLYN @ LA LAKERS

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 14-6-1 in the last 21 meetings.
  • Nets are 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.01.20 BKN LAL 113 : 128

PLAYER TRENDS

  • LeBron James has 10+ rebounds in his last 4 games with his team as a favorite against the Nets. (TBC)
  • Spencer Dinwiddie has 21+ points in 6 of the Nets’ last 7 games as road underdogs. (18.5)
  • Joe Harris has 3+ three-pointers in the Nets’ last three games at STAPLES Center. (2.5)
  • Avery Bradley has 15+ points in 5 of his last 7 home games against the Nets. (TBC)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
BKN 29 34 18-14 11-20
LAL 49 13 23-7 26-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
BKN 110.9 111.6 -0.7 222.5
LAL 114.5 107.0 +7.5 221.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN Under BKN
+11.5 233.5 104-102

PICK  –  Under 233.5