6 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 11/3/2020

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*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO

The race to the 8th seed in the West in well and truly on after the Magic took care of business against the Grizzlies.

This loss was excellent news for the chasing pack which includes the Pelicans & Kings who will front up to round out the last game of the day on the WC.

Whilst BI has seen a dip in production with a healthy Jrue/Zion duet in full force, I do expect the rejected Laker to put on a clinic and take his 18 shots on the floor.

BI is coming off two extremely soft performances but his consistency this year leaves me to believe he will find his stroke against the Kings who struggle to defend teams who play on the fly. The Pelicans do exactly that!

DP’S PICK – BRANDON INGRAM OVER 22.5 POINTS


2x TREND BETS

NEW YORK @ ATLANTA

KNICKS TRENDS

  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 overall.

HAWKS TRENDS

  • Over is 13-5 in last 18 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 home games vs teams with a road winning % below .400.
  • Over is 15-6 in last 21 games vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 home games.
  • Over is 18-8 in last 26 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.
  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.

TREND BET – TOTAL POINTS OVER 229.5


NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO

PELICANS TRENDS

  • Over is 20-8 in last 28 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 22-10 in last 32 overall.
  • Over is 13-6 in last 19 games as a favorite.

KINGS TRENDS

  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 21-8-1 in last 30 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 games following a loss.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

TREND BET – TOTAL POINTS OVER 233.5

*Strongest trend bet of the night. If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pistons are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.
  • Pistons are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.12.19 DET PHI 109 : 125
27.10.19 DET PHI 111 : 117

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Christian Wood has 22+ points in the Pistons’ last 3 games. (19.5)
  • Tony Snell has 10+ points in 3 of his last 4 games against the 76ers at Wells Fargo Center. (8.5)
  • Tobias Harris has 29+ points in the 76ers’ last 2 games against the Pistons. (TBC)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 20 45 11-22 9-23
PHI 38 26 28-2 10-24

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DET 107.3 110.6 -3.3 217.9
PHI 109.4 107.4 +2.0 216.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI OVER PHI
-11.5 210.5 124-106

Philadelphia went 1-3 on its 4-game Cali trip without any stars to fall to 10-24 on the road but might not need a full list of players at home, where they own an NBA-best 28-2 record, They may still be missing Embiid, with Simmons return uncertain.

The Pistons are dealing with their own injury issues and are losers of four straight and 11 of 12.

PICK  –  OVER 210.5 


NEW YORK @ ATLANTA

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.
  • Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.
  • Knicks are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Knicks are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
10.02.20 ATL NY 140 : 135
(116 : 116)
18.12.19 NY ATL 143 : 120

PLAYER TRENDS

  • John Collins has 26+ points in the Hawks’ last 5 games against teams on the second leg of a back-to-back. (21.5)
  • Trae Young has 12+ assists in the Hawks’ last 4 games as favorites against Eastern opponents. (10.5)
  • Trae Young has 4+ three-pointers in 5 of the Hawks’ last 6 home games against Eastern opponents. (3.5)
  • Julius Randle has 23+ points in his last 3 games with his team as an underdog against the Hawks. (21.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 20 45 11-22 9-23
ATL 20 46 14-19 6-27

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NY 105.3 112.0 -6.7 217.3
ATL 111.5 119.5 -8.0 231.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ATL OVER NY
-4.5 229.5 136-131 1OT

Hard to trust the Hawks as a favorite with their defensive rank the 3rd worst in the league.

FUN FACT – The Hawks’ last 11 home games against Eastern teams have gone OVER the total points line.

PICK  – OVER 229.5 


CHARLOTTE @ MIAMI

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hornets are 1-4-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
  • Hornets are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
  • Over is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings in Miami.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
26.11.19 MIA CHA 117 : 100

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Miles Bridges has 17+ points in 8 of the Hornets’ last 9 road games. (13.5)
  • Duncan Robinson has 23+ points in the Heat’s last 3 games. (TBC)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CHA 22 42 10-21 12-21
MIA 41 23 27-4 14-19

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CHA 102.8 109.8 -7.0 212.6
MIA 112.4 108.9 +3.5 221.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
CHA OVER CHA
+11.0 208.5 109-98

The Heat, who own a 27-4 home record should get it done tonight in a low scoring affair.

These two rank in the bottom 4 of the league in tempo which sets the line at 209.5. That’s a shade too low for us.

PICK  – OVER 208.5  


DENVER @ DALLAS

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
09.01.20 DAL DEN 106 : 107
30.10.19 DEN DAL 106 : 109

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Nikola Jokic has 23+ points in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 road games against Western opponents. (20.5)
  • Jamal Murray has 21+ points in 6 of his last 5 games against teams on the second leg of a back-to-back. (19.5)
  • Gary Harris has 14+ points in 4 of the Nuggets’ last 5 games. (10.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 43 21 25-8 18-13
DAL 39 27 18-15 21-12

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 110.6 107.4 +3.2 218.0
DAL 116.4 110.5 +5.9 226.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN OVER DAL
-2.0 220.5 113-97

Doncic is questionable and if he doesn’t suit up, the Mavs will be short handed on the offensive end against a tough Nuggets defense. Jokic faces off against Porzingis in an intriguing battle.

PICK  – DENVER WIN


UTAH @ OKLAHOMA CITY

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Jazz are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
  • Jazz are 5-13-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Oklahoma City.
  • Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
10.12.19 UTA OKC 90 : 104
24.10.19 UTA OKC 100 : 95

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Donovan Mitchell has 25+ points in the Jazz’s last 4 games against the Thunder. (21.5)
  • Rudy Gobert has 16+ points in 6 of the Jazz’s last 7 games against Northwest opponents. (13.5)
  • Dennis Schroder has 23+ points in 3 of the Thunder’s last 4 games. (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
UTA 41 23 21-10 20-13
OKC 40 24 20-13 20-11

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
UTA 111.0 107.9 +3.1 218.9
OKC 110.8 108.3 +2.5 219.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC UNDER POSTPONED
-2.5 218.5

Both rank bottom 3rd of the league in tempo and the top half defensively. Unders best.

PICK  –  UNDER 218.5  


NEW ORLEANS @ SACRAMENTO

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
05.01.20 SAC NOR 115 : 117

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Harrison Barnes has 16+ points in his last 7 home games against the Pelicans. (14.5)
  • Zion Williamson has 28+ points in the Pelicans’ last 3 games against Pacific opponents. (23.5)
  • De’Aaron Fox has 23+ points in the Kings’ last 5 home games. (21.5)
  • Derrick Favors has 11+ rebounds in 6 of the Pelicans’ last 8 road games. (9.5)
  • Lonzo Ball has 10+ assists in 3 of his 4 previous games against the Kings at Golden 1 Center. (7.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NOR 28 36 13-19 15-17
SAC 28 36 14-17 14-19

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NOR 116.2 117.0 -0.8 233.2
SAC 109.0 110.9 -1.9 219.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR UNDER POSTPONED
-1.5 233.5

PICK  –  NEW ORLEANS -1.5