9 GAMES – NBA FREE PICKS – 5/2/20

FREE NBA PICKS

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

DP’S NBA PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 40-24

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

CLEVELAND @ OKLAHOMA CITY

The 2nd-year guard continues to roll, scoring 20+ points for the 5th straight game, leading to an average of 24 ppg over his last 10 appearances.

Since the beginning of January, Sexton has been the Cavs’ most reliable scorer, averaging 23.1 ppg, 3.3 boards, 3.2 assists, 2.2 threes and 1.1 steals through 18 contests.

Expect the points to continue dropping tonight.

DP’S PICK – COLLIN SEXTON OVER 20.5 POINTS – WIN


PLAYER PROP PARLAY

  • CLEVELAND @ OKLAHOMA CITY – COLLIN SEXTON OVER 20.5 POINTS
  • MIAMI @ LA CLIPPERS – KAWHI LEONARD OVER 26.5 POINTS

ODDS – $3.64


TREND BET

ORLANDO @ BOSTON

MAGIC TRENDS

  • Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in last 21 overall.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.

CELTICS TRENDS

  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

TREND BET – UNDER 209.5

*Strongest trend bet of the night.

If trends are your thing, this is your pick.


PHOENIX @ DETROIT

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 15-6 ATS in last 21 road games vs teams with a losing home record.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 11-4-1 in last 16 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 road games vs teams with a home winning % of less than .400.

PISTONS TRENDS

  • 19-42-1 ATS in last 62 games overall.
  • 3-12 ATS in last 15 home games.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 14-2 in last 16 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
  • Over is 13-3 in last 16 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 overall.
  • Over is 19-7 in last 26 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Detroit.
  • Suns are 8-23 ATS in the last 31 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Deandre Ayton has 14+ rebounds in the Suns’ last 4 road games against Eastern opponents. (12.5)
  • Devin Booker has 32+ points in 10 of the Suns’ last 12 road games. (29.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 20 30 9-17 11-13
DET 18 34 10-17 8-17

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHO 112.6 113.9 -1.3 226.5
DET 108.8 111.3 -2.5 220.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHO UNDER DET
-2.5 223.5 116-108

PICK  – PHOENIX -2.5


ORLANDO @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • 0-6 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 4-0-1 in last 5 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in last 21 overall.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
25.01.20 ORL BOS 98 : 109

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Evan Fournier has 18+ points in the Magic’s last 4 games as underdogs against Atlantic opponents. (16.5)
  • Aaron Gordon has 7+ rebounds in 4 of the Magic’s last 5 road games against the Celtics. (6.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 22 28 13-12 9-16
BOS 34 15 20-5 14-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ORL 103.3 104.6 -1.3 207.9
BOS 112.7 105.5 +7.2 218.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ORL UNDER BOS
+7.0 209.5 116-100

PICK  – UNDER 209.5


GOLDEN STATE @ BROOKLYN

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams below .500.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 when their opponent scores 100+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.

NETS TRENDS

  • 6-14 ATS in last 20 games overall.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 games following a straight up win of 10+ points.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Warriors are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Brooklyn.
  • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Spencer Dinwiddie has 24+ points in the Nets’ last 4 Wednesday games. (23.5)
  • Caris LeVert has 20+ points in his last 4 games with the Nets as favorites against Western opponents. (15.5)
  • D’Angelo Russell has 26+ points in 4 of his last 5 night games at Barclays Center. (24.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
GSW 12 39 7-17 5-22
BKN 22 27 14-12 8-15

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
GSW 106.5 114.4 -7.9 220.9
BKN 110.3 111.8 -1.5 222.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BKN OVER BKN
-7.5 221.5 129-88

PICK  – OVER 221.5


INDIANA @ TORONTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PACERS TRENDS

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 road games.
  • 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 10-2 in last 12 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
  • Under is 27-13 in last 40 games vs teams above .600.

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 home games.
  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 6-2-1 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
  • Under is 11-5 in last 16 vs teams above .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Pacers are 12-27 ATS in the last 39 meetings in Toronto.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
24.12.19 IND TOR 120 : 115
(107 : 107)

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyle Lowry has 8+ assists in his last 4 games against the Pacers at Scotiabank Arena. (6.5)
  • Malcolm Brogdon has 19+ points in 6 of his last 7 road games against Eastern opponents. (16.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
IND 31 19 18-7 13-12
TOR 36 14 18-7 18-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
IND 109.4 106.8 +2.6 216.2
TOR 112.6 105.9 +6.7 218.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR OVER TOR
-6.0 216.5 119-118

PICK  – TORONTO -6.0


ATLANTA @ MINNESOTA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HAWKS TRENDS

  • 6-14 ATS in last 20 games v
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 road games.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games vs teams below .400.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs teams with a home winning % below .400.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 12-4 in last 16 games vs teams below .400.

TIMBERWOLVES TRENDS

  • 8-22-1 ATS in last 31 games overall.
  • 6-19-1 ATS in last 26 home games.
  • 2-8 ATS in last 10 games vs teams below .400.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 games as a favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Hawks are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
26.11.19 ATL MIN 113 : 125

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Karl-Anthony Towns has 13+ rebounds in the Timberwolves’ last 5 games against the Hawks. (11.5)
  • John Collins has 22+ points in 5 of the Hawks’ last 6 games as underdogs. (20.5)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has 31+ points in the Timberwolves’ last 2 home games against the Hawks. (28.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ATL 13 38 8-17 5-21
MIN 15 34 6-18 9-16

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ATL 109.1 118.3 -9.2 227.4
MIN 111.4 115.3 -3.9 226.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
ATL UNDER ATL
+6.5 236.5 127-120

PICK  – ATLANTA +6.5


CLEVELAND @ OKLAHOMA CITY

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 5-13 ATS in last 18 games vs teams above .500.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 3-9 ATS in last 12 road games vs teams with a winning home record.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
  • Over is 20-7 in last 27 overall.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 road games vs teams with a winning home record.

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 games vs teams below .400.
  • 20-7 ATS in last 27 games vs teams below .500.
  • 35-16 ATS in last 51 games overall.
  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 games vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
05.01.20 CLE OKC 106 : 121

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 20+ points in the Thunder’s last 8 games as home favorites. (18.5)
  • Dennis Schroder has 21+ points in the Thunder’s last 7 games. (20.5)
  • Steven Adams has 9+ rebounds in 7 of the Thunder’s last 8 games against the Cavaliers. (7.5)
  • Collin Sexton has 23+ points in the Cavaliers’ last 5 games. (20.5)
  • Kevin Love has 15 points or less in his last 4 games against the Thunder. (18.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
CLE 13 38 6-21 7-17
OKC 30 20 15-10 15-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
CLE 106.1 115.0 -8.9 221.1
OKC 110.5 107.9 +2.6 218.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC UNDER OKC
-11.0 219.5 109-103

PICK  – OKLAHOMA CITY -11.0


MEMPHIS @ DALLAS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .600.
  • 4-1-1 ATS in last 6 games vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 games vs teams above .600.

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 games as a favorite.
  • 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 home games.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 home games vs teams with a losing road record.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
10.11.19 MEM DAL 122 : 138

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kristaps Porzingis has 12+ rebounds in his last 6 games with Luka Doncic out. (10.5)
  • Kristaps Porzingis has 35+ points in his last 2 games. (25.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 25 25 15-13 10-12
DAL 31 19 14-12 17-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MEM 113.1 115.0 -1.9 228.1
DAL 116.3 110.0 +6.3 226.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DAL UNDER MEM
-4.5 229.5 121-107

PICK  – UNDER 229.5


DENVER @ UTAH

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 games vs teams above .600.
  • 3-7 ATS in last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.

JAZZ TRENDS

  • 7-1-1 ATS in last 9 home games.
  • 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 home games vs  teams with a winning road record.
  • Under is 9-2 in last 11 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 overall.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 home games vs teams with a winning road record.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Nuggets are 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Utah.
  • Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Utah.
  • Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
31.01.20 DEN UTA 106 : 100

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Donovan Mitchell has 23+ points in 6 of the Jazz’s last 7 games. (21.5)
  • Joe Ingles has 6+ assists in 8 of the Jazz’s last 9 games against the Nuggets. (5.5)
  • Rudy Gobert has 17+ points in 9 of the Jazz’s last 11 games. (15.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DEN 35 16 20-6 15-10
UTA 32 17 18-4 14-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DEN 110.1 106.4 +3.7 216.5
UTA 111.1 107.0 +4.1 218.1

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN UNDER DEN
+7.5 215.5 98-95

Denver have been toiling while the Jazz have rested since the 2nd Feb.

PICK  – UNDER 215.5

PLAYER PROP – RUDY GOBERT OVER 15.5 POINTS (RESULT 16 POINTS)


MIAMI @ LA CLIPPERS

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

HEAT TRENDS

  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 41-19-1 ATS in last 61 road games vs teams with a home winning % over .600.
  • Under is 8-1 in last 9 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 games vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
  • Over is 19-8 in last 27 overall.

CLIPPERS TRENDS

  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games vs teams above .600.
  • 4-11 ATS in last 15 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 games vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 overall.
  • Over is 7-3-1 in last 11 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.
  • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in L.A..

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
25.01.20 MIA LAC 117 : 122

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Paul George has 24+ points in his last 8 games against Southeast opponents. (20.5)
  • Goran Dragic has 18+ points in his last 5 games against Pacific opponents. (14.5)
  • Kawhi Leonard has 31+ points in 4 of his last 5 games at STAPLES. (26.5)
  • Bam Adebayo has 16+ points in the Heat’s last 4 games against Western opponents. (15.5)

() = BOOKIE LINE

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIA 34 15 22-3 12-12
LAC 35 15 21-5 14-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIA 112.3 107.9 +4.4 220.2
LAC 115.3 109.4 +5.9 224.7

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
LAC OVER LC
-6.5 223.5 128-111

PICK  – OVER 223.5