TONIGHT’S NBA PLAYOFF PICKS
*Original NBA tips and research are done a game day morning, adjust your NBA picks accordingly should spreads and lineups change.
MILWAUKEE @ TORONTO
EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS – GAME 4
MILWAUKEE LEAD SERIES 2-1
Win/Loss
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| Milwaukee | 60 | 22 | 33-8 | 27-14 |
| Toronto | 58 | 24 | 32-9 | 26-15 |
Season Points +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF |
| Milwaukee | 118.1 | 109.3 | +8.8 |
| Toronto | 114.4 | 108.4 | +6.0 |
Playoff Series
| GAME 3 | Toronto | Milwaukee | 118 : 112 (96 : 96) |
| GAME 2 | Milwaukee | Toronto | 125 : 103 |
| GAME 1 | Milwaukee | Toronto | 108 : 100 |
Season Series
| 01.02.19 | Toronto | Milwaukee | 92 : 105 |
| 06.01.19 | Milwaukee | Toronto | 116 : 123 |
| 10.12.18 | Toronto | Milwaukee | 99 : 104 |
| 30.10.18 | Milwaukee | Toronto | 124 : 109 |
Picks ATS
| Spread | Points | Result |
| Toronto | Under | Toronto |
| +2.5 | 216.5 | 120-102 |
H2H TRENDS
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.
- Bucks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
- Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
- Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
THE RUB
- Overtime has really hurt us the last 2 nights, and heading into tonight we look to the NBA betting gods for some reprieve from the torture.
- The Raptors showed up in Game 3 with a 118-112 double-OT win.
- Kawhi scored 36 points while playing 52 minutes and limped his way through the 2 overtimes, while holding Antetokounmpo to just 12 points on 5-of-16 shooting (with 8 turnovers, 23 rebounds).
- The Raptors have leaned on Kawhi to an unhealthy extent in this Series, and he indicated his body was sore after his career-high 52-minute outing.
- Toronto reserve PG Fred VanVleet was ice-cold on 1-of-11 shooting in Game 3 and is just 7-of-44 over their last 10 games.
- This one is tricky, with lot of room for improvement on both sides.
- Toronto keep points skinny at home, so we’ll go Unders for a small stake.
OUR PICK – Under 216.5
PLAYER PROP – Marc Gasol Over 3.5 Assists – WIN (Result – 7 assists)
Gasol had 7 assists in 45 minutes in Game 3 and it’s unlikely that lineups will be thrown around too much, with the big men able to curb the Giannis effect thus far. With Kawhi being double teamed at every opportunity, Gasol will be leaned upon as a key play-maker again tonight.
