10 GAMES – NBA PICKS – 20/12/19

FREE NBA PICKS

*Original NBA picks and research are done a game day morning, adjust your selections accordingly should spreads and lineups change.

NBA PARLAY

PARLAY

  • Sacramento @ Indiana – Indiana WIN
  • Phoenix @ Oklahoma City – Oklahoma City -4.0
  • Orlando @ Portland – Portland WIN

ODDS – $4.61 – WIN

DP’S PLAYER PROP

SEASON RECORD: 13-9

Expert NBA Player Props Analyst, Daniel Parisi, gives his best daily prop, exclusive to subscribers.

ORLANDO @ PORTLAND

The Trail Blazers are shooting for three straight when they host the Orlando Magic so I’m going to tailgate CJ’s momentum after pouring in 30 in back-to-back games.

CJ is the barometer for the Trail Blazers right now, in their 12 wins this season, he averages 25 points per game, compared to a stark 19.9 when they lose.

The $1.5 Trail Blazers are settled in this home stretch and will square up against the Magic who are coming off an incredibly tough road set, going down to the Jazz & Nuggets.

I expect CJ to get moving early, take his 19 shots and send home a few 23-feet bombs to salute on the overs.

DP’S BEST BET – CJ McCollum OVER 20.5 – WIN

Gamble Responsibly.

TREND BET

SEASON RECORD: 10-8

SACRAMENTO @ INDIANA

KINGS TRENDS

  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games following an ATS loss.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.

PACERS TRENDS

  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 51-24 in last 75 games following an ATS win.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

TREND BET – UNDER 210.5

MEMPHIS @ CLEVELAND

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

GRIZZLIES TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games overall.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with losing home records.
  • 4-11 ATS in last 15 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Under is 4-0 in last 4 road games vs teams with losing home records.
  • Under is 5-2 in last 7 vs teas below .400.
  • Over is 12-5 in last 17 vs teams below .500.

CAVALIERS TRENDS

  • 21-7-1 ATS in last 29 vs teams below .400.
  • 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 home games.
  • 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as an underdog.
  • 4-14 ATS in last 18 games overall.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 16-3 in last 19 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 8-2 in last 10 home games.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams  below .400.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Grizzlies are 7-19 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
  • Grizzlies are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kevin Love has 16+ points in 6 of his last 7 home games against West teams. (15.5)
  • Tristan Thompson has 8 rebounds or less in 4 of his last 5 games against the Grizzlies. (9.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MEM 10 17 5-11 5-6
CLE 6 21 3-10 3-11

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MEM 110.2 116.0 -5.8 226.2
CLE 103.7 114.2 -10.5 217.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MEM Under CLE
-1.0 224.0 114-107

THE RUB

The Grizzlies have regained some much needed fire power while the Cavs are probably pre-occupied on where they can send K-Love. Either way, take the under as it will be difficult for both teams to top 110 points.

OUR PICK  –  UNDER 224.0

SACRAMENTO @ INDIANA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KINGS TRENDS

  • 6-0 ATS in last 6 road games vs teams with home winning %’s over .600.
  • 7-0 ATS in last 7 vs teams above .600.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games.
  • 16-6 ATS in last 22 games overall.
  • 27-11 ATS in last 38 games following a straight up loss.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 8-3 in last 11 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.

PACERS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following an ATS win.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 home games.
  • 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 home games vs teams losing road records.
  • 9-4 ATS in last 13 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 6-1 in last 7 after allowing 100+ points in their last game.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 6-2 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 51-24 in last 75 games following an ATS win.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Indiana.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Buddy Hield has 22+ points in the Kings’ last 6 games as road underdogs. (19.5)
  • Harrison Barnes has scored 19+ points in 4 of his last 5 games against the Pacers. (14.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
SAC 12 15 6-5 6-10
IND 19 9 12-3 7-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
SAC 104.7 107.0 -2.3 211.7
IND 109.1 104.2 +4.9 213.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
IND Under IND
-4.5 210.5 119-105

THE RUB

The Kings failed on their last road game against the Hornets while chemistry with Fox returning was a concern.

Can’t fault the Pacers at the moment, they are a game off being 2nd in the East.

OUR PICK  –  INDIANA WIN

DETROIT @ BOSTON

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PISTONS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of 10+ points.
  • 12-25-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall.
  • 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
  • 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs teams above .600.
  • 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 vs teams above .500.
  • 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs teams with winning home records.
  • Under is 6-1 in Pistons last 7 road games.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in Pistons last 5 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 17-7 in Pistons last 24 vs teams above .600.

CELTICS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games as a favorite.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 home games.
  • 5-2 ATS in last 7 games overall.
  • 3-9-2 ATS in last 14 home games vs teams with losing road records.
  • Over is 10-2-1 in Cetics last 13 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Jaylen Brown has 21+ points in 7 of his last 9 games at TD Garden. (19.5)
  • Kemba Walker has 29+ points in the Celtics’ last 3 games. (25.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DET 11 16 7-7 4-9
BOS 17 7 10-1 7-6

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DET 109.3 109.6 -0.3 218.9
BOS 110.8 104.1 +6.7 214.9

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
BOS Under BOS
-8.0 214.5 114-93

THE RUB

The Celtics’ home record speaks for itself at 10-1 with their only loss coming to the 76ers a week ago.

The Pistons have regained Drummond and Griffin but couldn’t get the job done on home court against the Raptors.

Boston to take care of business.

OUR PICK  – BOSTON WIN

WASHINGTON @ TORONTO

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

WIZARDS TRENDS

  • 14-29-1 ATS in last 44 road games vs teams with winning home records.
  • 4-13 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 15-7-1 in last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

RAPTORS TRENDS

  • 5-1 ATS in last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • 27-7 ATS in last 34 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 19-7 ATS in last 26 vs teams below .500.
  • 18-7-1 ATS in last 26 home games.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in last 7 overall.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Wizards are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto.
  • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Kyle Lowry has 17 points or less in the Raptors’ last 7 games against the Wizards at Scotiabank Arena. (22.5)
  • Kyle Lowry has 9+ assists in the Raptors’ last 5 games against the Wizards at Scotiabank Arena. (8.5)
  • Bradley Beal has 30+ points in 4 of the Wizards’ last 5 games as road underdogs against East teams. (28.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
WAS 8 17 4-6 4-11
TOR 18 8 11-3 7-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
WAS 118.0 122.2 -4.2 240.2
TOR 111.7 105.7 +6.0 217.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
TOR Over TOR
-6.5 230.5 122-118

THE RUB

The Raptors are banged up with Gasol, VanVleet and Powell all set to miss. However, don’t sleep on them where they have proved before (on the road to the Lakers) that injuries won’t cause a massive impact.

OUR PICK  –  TORONTO -6.5

NEW YORK @ MIAMI

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

KNICKS TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 games overall.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games as an underdog.
  • 10-4 ATS in last 14 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.
  • 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs teams above .600.
  • Under is 10-1-1 in last 12 Friday games.
  • Under is 19-7-2 in last 28 vs teams above .500.
  • Under is 13-5 in last 18 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.

HEAT TRENDS

  • 11-2 ATS in last 13 home games.
  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.
  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 11-3-1 ATS in last 15 vs teams below .400.
  • 15-5-1 ATS in last 21 vs teams below .500.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games following an ATS win.
  • Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 home games.
  • Under is 15-5-1 in last 21 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Knicks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Under is 25-10-2 in the last 37 meetings.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Bam Adebayo has 21+ points in the Heat’s last 5 games against East teams. (15.5)
  • Julius Randle has 19+ points in 5 of the Knicks’ last 6 road games. (17.5)
  • (17.5)Jimmy Butler has 22+ points in his last 3 home games against Atlantic teams. (20.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NY 7 21 4-10 3-11
MIA 19 8 11-1 8-7

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NY 102.7 111.5 -8.8 214.2
MIA 112.2 107.3 +4.9 219.5

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
MIA Over MIA
-10.0 215.0 129-114

THE RUB

Are the Knicks back? Well, at least competitive again?

…. 3 wins in their last 4 and a close one to the Nuggets could suggest so.

The Heat have only dropped one at home against the Lakers a week ago, but with the Knicks breaking the 100 points mark in 100% of their last 4, the Overs looks better.

OUR PICK  –  OVER 215.0

PHOENIX @ OKLAHOMA CITY

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

SUNS TRENDS

  • 3-1-1 ATS in last 5 vs teams below .500.
  • 29-14-1 ATS in last 44 games as a road favorites.
  • 2-5 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 road games vs teams with winning home records.
  • Over is 7-0 in last 7 games following a loss of 10+ points.
  • Over is 13-3 in last 16 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 games as a favorite.
  • Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs teams below .500.

THUNDER TRENDS

  • 6-2 ATS in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.
  • Under is 8-0 in last 8 games after scoring 125+ points in their last game.
  • Over is 7-1 in last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 7-3 in last 10 when their opponent allows 100+ points in their last game.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Suns are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Oklahoma City.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Chris Paul has 18+ points in 4 of the Thunder’s last 5 games as favourites. (16.5)
  • Ricky Rubio has 13+ assists in 4 of the Suns’ last 5 games as underdogs.
  • Danilo Gallinari has 20+ points in the Thunder’s last 3 games at Chesapeake Energy Arena. (18.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
PHO 11 16 6-10 5-6
OKC 12 14 8-5 4-9

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
PHO 114.7 114.4 +0.3 229.1
OKC 107.6 107.2 +0.4 214.8

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
OKC Under OKC
-4.0 224.5 126-108

THE RUB

The Thunder have a good opportunity to capitalize on the Suns misfortune with Ayton confirmed out after a fresh ankle sprain while Booker is a game time decision.

Phoenix are in a funk on a 4 game slide.

OUR PICK  –  OKLAHOMA CITY WIN

DALLAS @ PHILADELPHIA

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAVERICKS TRENDS

  • 10-1 ATS in last 11 road games vs teams with home winning %’s over .600.
  • 12-4 ATS in last 16 games overall.
  • 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games as an underdog.
  • 21-8-1 ATS in last 30 road games.
  • 35-16 ATS in last 51 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 road games vs teams with winning home records.
  • Over is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 8-2 in last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 road games.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 vs teams above .600.

76ERS TRENDS

  • 3-1-2 ATS in last 6 home games.
  • 7-3-1 ATS in last 11 vs teams above .600.
  • 0-2-2 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 10-3 in last 13 vs teams above .500.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in last 5 vs teams above .600.
  • Over is 3-1-1 in last 5 home games.
  • Under is 9-4-1 in last 14 games as a favorite.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Ben Simmons has 16+ points in 6 of the 76ers’ last 7 games as favourites. (15.5)
  • Kristaps Porzingis has 22+ points in the Mavericks’ last 3  games. (20.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
DAL 18 8 8-6 10-2
PHI 20 8 14-1 6-8

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
DAL 118.2 109.2 +9.0 227.4
PHI 109.3 104.1 +5.2 213.4

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
PHI Under DAL
-8.0 213.0 117-98

THE RUB

Its a bad time for Luka to be out with the Mavs facing the top East contenders, although they did steal a win in Milwaukee.

The 76ers’ perfect home record come to an end against the Heat but can’t see them failing again against a Luka-less Dallas.

OUR PICK  –  PHILADELPHIA -8.0

MINNESOTA @ DENVER

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

TIMBER WOLVES TRENDS

  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 games as a favorite.
  • 0-8 ATS in last 8 games overall.
  • 0-7 ATS in last 7 games following a ATS loss.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 vs teams above .600.
  • 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
  • Over is 6-1 in last 7 overall.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs teams above .500.

NUGGETS TRENDS

  • 5-1-1 ATS in last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 9-2 ATS in last 11 vs teams below .400.
  • 6-2-1 ATS in last 9 vs teams below .500.
  • 13-6 ATS in last 19 home games vs teams with winning road records.
  • Under is 7-1 in last 8 vs teams below .500.
  • Under is 24-11 in last 35 home games.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Timberwolves are 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings in Denver.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
11.11.19 MIN DEN 98 : 100
(90 : 90)

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Nikola Jokic has 20+ points in the Nuggets’ last 9  games against Northwest teams. (18.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
MIN 10 15 3-9 7-6
DEN 17 8 11-3 6-5

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
MIN 114.7 118.1 -3.4 232.8
DEN 106.5 101.7 +4.8 208.2

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
DEN UNDER DEN
-10.0 216.0 109-100

THE RUB

With KAT doubtful, the T-Wolves don’t stand a chance, with KAT playing, likely not to still stand a chance with the Nuggets looking to send the Wolves to loss number 9 in a row.

OUR PICK  –  Denver -10.0

ORLANDO @ PORTLAND

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

MAGIC TRENDS

  • 4-0 ATS in last 4 vs teams below .500.
  • 1-3-1 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 4-9 ATS in last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
  • Over is 8-3 in last 11 road games.
  • Over is 10-4 in last 14 after scoring 100+ points in their last game.

TRAIL BLAZERS TRENDS

  • 1-6 ATS in last 7 Friday games.
  • 12-5 ATS in last 17 home games vs teams with road winning %’s below .400.
  • Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
  • Over is 27-10-1 in last 38 home games.
  • Over is 18-7-1 in last 26 home games vs teams wit losing road records.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Magic are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Magic are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.

PLAYER TRENDS

  • C.J. McCollum has 23+ points in the Blazers’ last 4 home games against Southeast teams. (20.5)
  • Damian Lillard has 26+ points in 6 of the Blazers’ last 7 home games. (24.5)
  • Hassan Whiteside has 14+ rebounds in 6 of the Blazers’ last 7 games as favourites. (13.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
ORL 12 15 8-6 4-9
POR 11 16 5-6 6-10

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
ORL 103.5 104.5 -1.0 208.0
POR 112.2 114.1 -1.9 226.3

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
POR Over POR
-3.5 216.0 118-103

THE RUB

The Magic continue their West road trip with a 1-2 record. As the Blazers continue to charge for the seeds in the West, will have too much on Orlando.

OUR PICK  –  Portland WIN

NEW ORLEANS @ GOLDEN STATE

TEAM TRENDS

TEAM TRENDS ->

PELICANS TRENDS

  • 18-6 ATS in last 24 road games vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .500.
  • 1-5-1 ATS in last 7 road games.
  • 1-9-1 ATS in last 11 games overall.
  • 0-4 ATS in last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Under is 7-0 in last 7 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 7-3 in last 10 road games vs teams with losing home records.

WARRIORS TRENDS

  • 16-36-1 ATS in last 53 home games.
  • 7-23-1 ATS in last 31 home games vs teams with losing home records.
  • 1-4 ATS in last 5 games overall.
  • 1-5 ATS in last 6 vs teams below .400.
  • Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
  • Under is 7-2 in last 9 vs teams below .400.
  • Over is 9-3 in last 12 vs teams below .500.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.

SEASON SERIES

SEASON SERIES ->
18.11.19 NOR GSW 108 : 100
29.10.19 NOR GSW 123 : 134

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Draymond Green has 11+ points in the Warriors’ last 6 home games against the Pelicans. (9.5)
  • Lonzo Ball has 5+ rebounds in 5 of the Pelicans’ last 6 games. (4.5)
  • Jrue Holiday has 7+ assists in 5 of his last 6 road games against Pacific teams. (6.5)

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NOR 6 22 4-11 2-11
GSW 5 23 2-10 3-13

SEASON POINTS +/- 

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT. AV
NOR 112.4 119.6 -7.2 232.0
GSW 104.3 113.7 -9.4 218.0

PICKS ATS

 Spread Points   Result
NOR Under GSW
-1.0 225.0 106-102

THE RUB

There are little trends to suggest either team in this one, although the Pelicans are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games vs teams with home winning %’s below .400.

The Pelicans pulled out of a 13-game slide by earning a hard fought 107-99 win at Minnesota on Wednesday.

The Warriors are last in the West in scoring at an average of 104.6 ppg and watched their latest losing streak reach 5 with a 122-112 loss to Portland on Wednesday.

OUR PICK  – NEW ORLEANS -1.0

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