The Western Finals continue in San Antonio with Oklahoma City holding a 2-1 series lead. The Thunder regained control in Game 3 behind their elite defensive pressure and transition scoring. The Spurs now face a pivotal Game 4 at home — a swing game that could either level the series or push them to the brink.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Time: 10:00 AM
Odds: OKC $2.20 / SA $1.70
West Finals – Game 4 (OKC leads series 2-1)
Oklahoma City finished the season 64-18 with a +11.1 point differential, allowing just 107.9 OPPG — best defensive profile remaining in the playoffs. San Antonio averaged 119.8 PPG during the regular season with an +8.3 differential and posted a dominant 32-8 home record.
The Thunder’s ability to force turnovers and control pace has been the difference in two of the first three games. San Antonio must dictate tempo and keep OKC out of transition to even the series.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| OKC | 64 | 18 | 34-7 | 30-11 |
| SA | 62 | 20 | 32-8 | 30-12 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| OKC | 119.0 | 107.9 | +11.1 | 226.9 |
| SA | 119.8 | 111.5 | +8.3 | 231.3 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| OKC | UNDER | |
| +2.5 | 218.5 |
PICK –
The Oklahoma City Thunder seized control of the Western Conference Finals with a huge comeback victory in Game 3, overturning a 15-point deficit to beat the Spurs 123-108 at Frost Bank Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander orchestrated the turnaround with a 26-point, 12-assist double-double, while Oklahoma City’s bench completely dominated the game with a 76-23 scoring advantage.
Despite another strong performance from Victor Wembanyama, San Antonio now finds itself under pressure heading into Game 4 as the Thunder continue their flawless road playoff run at 5-0.
Team Trends
- The Thunder have won each of their last 9 Game 4s of a playoff series.
- Each of the Spurs’ last 8 games have gone OVER the total points line.
- The Thunder have won the first half in 14 of their last 16 road games.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the line in 8 of their last 9 Western Conference Finals games following a loss.
Player Trends
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Made 2+ threes in 5 of the Thunder’s last 6 Western Conference Finals games.
- Devin Vassell – Made 3+ threes in each of the Spurs’ last 4 games.
- Isaiah Hartenstein – Recorded 2+ assists in each of the Thunder’s last 6 Game 4 appearances of a playoff series.
- Stephon Castle – Recorded 6+ assists in each of the Spurs’ last 5 games.
- De’Aaron Fox – Recorded 4+ assists in 12 of the Spurs’ last 13 home games.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Recorded 8+ assists in each of his last 8 road appearances.
- De’Aaron Fox – Scored 24+ points in each of his 3 previous Game 4 appearances of a playoff series.
- Keldon Johnson – Scored 11+ points in each of his last 4 appearances after being held to single digits in the previous game.
- Devin Vassell – Scored 10+ points in each of the Spurs’ last 15 games.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – Scored 31+ points in each of the Thunder’s last 4 Game 4 appearances of a playoff series.
- Chet Holmgren – Scored 16+ points in 3 of the Thunder’s last 4 road games.
- Isaiah Hartenstein – Recorded 8+ rebounds in 7 of the Thunder’s last 8 games.
- Julian Champagnie – Recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Spurs’ last 7 games.
- Stephon Castle – Recorded 4+ rebounds in each of the Spurs’ last 9 games.
- Victor Wembanyama – Recorded 14+ rebounds in 4 of the Spurs’ last 5 home games.
PICK – OKLAHOMA CITY +2.5
