Late Night NBA Picks & Trends – Tuesday, 7th April

Houston and Phoenix headline tonight’s slate in what shapes as a high-scoring clash, with both teams trending OVER in 5 of their last 6 games. The Rockets bring strong momentum, winning 6 straight behind Kevin Durant (Rockets), who has 26+ points in 9 straight vs winning Suns teams, and Alperen Sengun (Rockets), averaging 24+ points in 4 of his last 5 road games.

Phoenix counters with Devin Booker (Suns), who has 30+ points in 3 of his last 4, while Jalen Green (Suns) has scored 20+ in 6 straight at home. Expect pace, scoring, and star power throughout.

SACRAMENTO KINGS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Odds: SAC $7.50 / GS $1.10

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

Team Trends

• Warriors have failed to cover last 7 as home favourites
• Favourites have won last 13 Warriors games
• Last 6 Kings vs Warriors games have gone OVER

Player Trends

• Stephen Curry (Warriors) – 26+ points in 7 of last 8 vs Kings
• Stephen Curry (Warriors) – 4+ assists in last 8 home games vs West teams
• Draymond Green (Warriors) – 8+ assists in 4 of last 5 games
• Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) – 20+ points in last 3 as favourite
• Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) – 5+ assists in last 4 games
• DeMar DeRozan (Kings) – 23+ points in 7 of last 8 vs Warriors
• Maxime Raynaud (Kings) – 23+ points in 3 of last 4 as underdog

Golden State returns home looking to snap a poor run, with Stephen Curry continuing to lead the offence through elite scoring and playmaking. Sacramento has struggled overall but still brings scoring threats through DeMar DeRozan and Maxime Raynaud.

With both teams trending heavily towards high totals and recent meetings producing points, this shapes as an up-tempo contest where offence should prosper, though the Warriors’ experience may prove decisive late.

PICK – UNDER 234.5 TOTAL POINTS

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Odds: OKC $1.08 / LAL $8.50

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

Team Trends

• Thunder have won 9 straight vs Western Conference teams
• Lakers have covered 9 of last 10 home games
• Lakers’ last 4 games as underdogs have gone OVER

Player Trends

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – 30+ points in 8 of last 10 road games
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) – 6+ assists in 10 of last 11 vs Lakers
• Luguentz Dort (Thunder) – 2+ threes in last 10 vs Lakers
• Chet Holmgren (Thunder) – 8+ rebounds in 10 of last 12 vs winning teams
• LeBron James (Lakers) – 25+ points in 14 of last 19 home games vs Thunder
• LeBron James (Lakers) – 6+ rebounds in last 8 vs Thunder at home
• Deandre Ayton (Lakers) – 8+ rebounds in last 5 home games vs winning teams

Oklahoma City enters in dominant form, riding a long winning streak and continuing to control matchups across the West. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains the key figure, combining elite scoring with strong playmaking.

The Lakers have been strong at home and continue to compete behind LeBron James’ production. With both teams trending towards higher totals and strong individual performances, this shapes as a high-quality clash where OKC’s consistency meets LA’s home resilience.

PICK – OVER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS

DALLAS MAVERICKS @ LA CLIPPERS

Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Odds: DAL $5.00 / LAC $1.19

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

Team Trends

• Mavericks have failed to cover 15 of last 16 road games vs West teams after a win
• Mavericks have lost last 7 road games vs winning West teams
• Clippers’ last 4 home games vs West teams have gone UNDER

Player Trends

• Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) – 30+ points in last 2 vs Mavericks
• Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) – 6+ rebounds in last 6 games
• Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) – 3+ threes in 5 of last 6 vs losing teams
• Darius Garland (Clippers) – 9+ assists in last 3 vs Mavericks
• Bennedict Mathurin (Clippers) – 23+ points in last 3 home games vs losing teams
• Cooper Flagg (Mavericks) – 45+ points in last 2 games
• Cooper Flagg (Mavericks) – 6+ rebounds in 8 of last 9 road games

The Clippers return home in strong form and look well-positioned against a Dallas side that continues to struggle on the road. Kawhi Leonard is leading the charge with elite scoring and all-around production, while LA’s supporting cast continues to step up.

Dallas has a major weapon in Cooper Flagg, who is coming off back-to-back 45+ point performances. Despite his form, the Clippers’ depth and home advantage should give them control in this matchup.

PICK – LA CLIPPERS -10.5

HOUSTON ROCKETS @ PHOENIX SUNS

Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
Odds: HOU $1.92 / PHX $1.92

WIN/LOSS

SEASON POINTS +/-

PICKS ATS

Team Trends

• Rockets have won last 7 vs Suns
• Rockets have won last 6 first halves
• 5 of both teams’ last 6 games have gone OVER
• Suns have failed to cover 5 of last 6 after a road win

Player Trends

• Kevin Durant (Rockets) – 26+ points in last 9 vs winning Suns teams
• Kevin Durant (Rockets) – 6+ assists in last 7 games
• Alperen Sengun (Rockets) – 24+ points in 4 of last 5 road games
• Dillon Brooks (Rockets) – 22+ points in 9 of last 10 home games
• Devin Booker (Suns) – 30+ points in 3 of last 4 games
• Devin Booker (Suns) – 6+ assists in last 5 home games
• Jalen Green (Suns) – 20+ points in last 6 home games

Houston enters in red-hot form, riding a six-game winning streak and continuing to dominate this matchup against Phoenix. Kevin Durant has been elite across all facets, while Alperen Sengun provides a strong interior presence.

The Suns remain dangerous offensively behind Devin Booker and Jalen Green, but their struggles against Houston are hard to ignore. With both teams trending towards high-scoring games, this sets up as an entertaining, fast-paced contest.

PICK – OVER 220.5 TOTAL POINTS