Home Free NBA Picks & Parlays Tonight’s Best NBA Picks – Saturday, 28th February

Tonight’s Best NBA Picks – Saturday, 28th February

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A loaded five-game slate tips off with key playoff implications and strong betting angles across the board. Charlotte ($1.32) hosts Portland ($3.50) with Brandon Miller fresh off 33 points and six threes, while Jerami Grant counters after a 27-point outing in the Blazers’ third straight road win. Houston ($1.60) travels to Miami ($2.40) behind Kevin Durant’s 40-point performance, facing a Heat side led by Bam Adebayo’s 29-point, 14-rebound effort last time out.

Toronto ($1.13) is a heavy favourite in Washington ($6.50), with Brandon Ingram averaging 26.5 points in the season series. In the West, Luka Doncic’s 41-point display headlines the Lakers ($1.62) clash with Golden State ($2.35), while New Orleans ($1.44) looks to extend its streak over Utah ($2.90) after Saddiq Bey’s explosive 42-point night.


PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS @ CHARLOTTE HORNETS

Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
Odds: POR $3.50 / CHA $1.32

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
POR 29 31 16-15 13-16
CHA 29 31 12-16 17-15

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
POR 115.9 118.2 -2.3 234.1
CHA 116.2 113.4 +2.8 229.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
POR UNDER CHA
+7.5 229.0 109-93

Portland and Charlotte meet with identical records, renewing a matchup the Trail Blazers swept last season, including a 102-97 road win. The Hornets enter off a dominant 133-109 victory over Indiana, powered by Brandon Miller’s 33 points and six threes alongside Kon Knueppel’s 28-point outing. Charlotte is 7-1 in its last eight when Miller scores 25+ points.

Portland counters after a 121-112 win in Chicago, where Jerami Grant poured in 27 points and Robert Williams III added 14 points, 14 rebounds and four blocks. The Blazers have won three straight road games, their longest such run since May 2021. Donovan Clingan is questionable, while Deni Avdija remains doubtful.

PICK – UNDER 229.0 TOTAL POINTS


HOUSTON ROCKETS @ MIAMI HEAT

Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Odds: HOU $1.60 / MIA $2.40

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
HOU 37 21 20-7 17-14
MIA 31 29 17-11 14-18

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
HOU 114.7 109.1 +5.6 223.8
MIA 119.9 117.2 +2.7 237.1

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
HOU OVER MIA
-3.5 225.5 115-105

Houston and Miami clash for the first time this season after splitting last year’s two-game series. The Heat enter off a 124-117 loss to Philadelphia despite Bam Adebayo’s 29-point, 14-rebound effort and Tyler Herro’s 25 points and seven assists, snapping a five-game win streak against the 76ers. Houston arrives with momentum after rallying from 19 down to beat Orlando 113-108, fueled by Kevin Durant’s 40-point, eight-rebound performance.

The Rockets have won 22 of their last 27 against Eastern opponents but have dropped seven straight road games without Jabari Smith Jr., who is out. Miami will also be without Norman Powell and Nikola Jovic.

PICK – OVER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS


TORONTO RAPTORS @ WASHINGTON WIZARDS

Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Odds: TOR $1.13 / WSH $6.50

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
TOR 34 25 16-15 18-10
WSH 16 42 11-19 5-23

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
TOR 113.6 111.8 +1.8 225.4
WSH 111.9 122.8 -10.9 234.7

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
TOR UNDER TOR
+14.5 226.5 134-125

Toronto and Washington meet for the third time this season with both teams having defended home court in the first two clashes, where Brandon Ingram has averaged 26.5 points. The Wizards enter on a three-game skid after a 126-96 loss to Atlanta, struggling offensively as Jaden Hardy shot 5-19 in that defeat.

Toronto, now 34-25, is looking to rebound after surrendering a 15-point lead in a 110-107 loss to San Antonio. Injuries could factor in, with Collin Murray-Boyles doubtful for the Raptors, while Washington lists Tristan Vukcevic questionable and Kyshawn George questionable.

PICK – UNDER 226.5 TOTAL POINTS


LOS ANGELES LAKERS @ GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Odds: LAL $1.62 / GS $2.35

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
LAL 34 24 16-12 18-12
GS 31 28 19-11 12-17

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
LAL 115.5 115.9 -0.4 231.4
GS 115.8 113.8 +2.0 229.6

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
GSW UNDER LAL
+4.0 228.0 129-101

Separated by just 3.5 games in the West, the Lakers and Warriors meet for the third time this season after splitting the first two contests in Los Angeles, where Austin Reaves averaged 21.0 points and 8.5 assists. Golden State enters off a 133-112 rout of Memphis behind Will Richard’s 21 points and three steals, aiming to extend a four-game home winning streak in division play.

The Lakers fell 113-110 to Phoenix despite Luka Doncic’s 41-point, eight-rebound, eight-assist performance and have now lost five straight road games in division matchups. Rui Hachimura is doubtful for LA, while Draymond Green is probable and Kristaps Porzingis questionable for Golden State.

PICK – GOLDEN STATE +4.0


NEW ORLEANS PELICANS @ UTAH JAZZ

Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
Odds: NO $1.44 / UTAH $2.90

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
NO 18 42 11-21 7-21
UTA 18 41 11-19 7-22

SEASON POINTS +/-

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV.
NO 115.1 120.3 -5.2 235.4
UTA 118.0 125.9 -7.9 243.9

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
NO OVER NO
-6.0 243.5 115-105

New Orleans and Utah meet again at Delta Center after the Pelicans’ 129-118 win Thursday, stretching their winning streak over the Jazz to six games. Interior dominance proved decisive, with New Orleans winning the paint 64-54 and shooting 24-27 (88.9%) from the line compared to Utah’s 16-25 (64.0%). Saddiq Bey erupted for a season-high 42 points on 14-20 shooting with seven assists and five threes.

The Pelicans have won five of their last seven, while Utah has dropped 16 of its last 20 and six straight without Lauri Markkanen. Dejounte Murray is out for New Orleans; Yves Missi is questionable.

PICK – NEW ORLEANS -6.0