An early NBA slate sets up with a mix of contenders and clear favourites. Boston ($1.58) hosts New York ($2.45) in the headline matchup, while Miami ($1.22) is heavily favoured against Washington ($4.50). Toronto ($1.28) should control Indiana ($3.80), and Minnesota ($1.32) looks well placed at home versus the Clippers ($3.50). A steady board with defined edges.
NEW YORK KNICKS @ BOSTON CELTICS
TD Garden, Boston, MA
Odds: NY $2.45 / BOS $1.58
Team Trends
- Boston Celtics have won each of their last 5 games
- The Celtics’ last 8 games have all gone UNDER the total match points line
- The home team has covered the line in each of the last 5 Knicks–Celtics games
- The Celtics have dominated recent home games against winning-record teams
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NY | 33 | 19 | 21-6 | 11-13 |
| BOS | 34 | 18 | 17-8 | 17-10 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| NY | 117.5 | 112.3 | +5.2 | 229.8 |
| BOS | 115.6 | 108.4 | +7.2 | 224.0 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| BOS | OVER | NY |
| -4.0 | 215.0 | 111-89 |
Player Trends
- Jaylen Brown has scored 25+ points in each of his last 11 games against teams with a winning record
- Derrick White has scored 16+ points in 18 of the Celtics’ last 19 home games against winning teams
- Jalen Brunson has recorded 6+ assists in 6 of the Knicks’ last 7 games vs Boston
- OG Anunoby has scored 15+ points in each of his last 7 games
- Neemias Queta has recorded 8+ rebounds in each of the Celtics’ last 5 games
PICK – BOSTON -4.0
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MIAMI HEAT @ WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Odds: MIA $1.22 / WSH $4.50
Team Trends
- The Wizards have lost 40 of their last 41 games on the second leg of a back-to-back
- Miami Heat have won the first quarter in 13 of their last 14 games as road favourites
- Miami Heat have covered the line in each of their last 8 games following a loss
- The Wizards have lost each of their last 12 games overall
- Miami Heat have dominated recent matchups against Washington
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| MIA | 27 | 26 | 16-10 | 11-16 |
| WSH | 14 | 37 | 9-17 | 5-20 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| MIA | 119.5 | 117.6 | +1.9 | 237.1 |
| WSH | 112.4 | 122.7 | -10.3 | 235.1 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| MIA | OVER | MIA |
| -11.0 | 235.5 | 132-101 |
Player Trends
- Bam Adebayo has recorded 2+ assists in 20 of his last 21 appearances against the Wizards
- Bam Adebayo has scored 20+ points in 7 of the Heat’s last 8 games as favourites
- Bub Carrington has scored 10+ points in 11 of the Wizards’ last 12 games
- Alex Sarr has recorded 2+ assists in each of his last 11 home appearances
- Kyshawn George has scored 15+ points in 7 of his last 9 home games
PICK – MIAMI -11.0
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INDIANA PACERS @ TORONTO RAPTORS
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Odds: IND $3.80 / TOR $1.28
Team Trends
- The Indiana Pacers have lost 16 of their last 17 road games against teams that held a winning record
- Ten of the Pacers’ last 12 games against Eastern opponents have gone UNDER the total
- The Indiana Pacers have failed to cover the line in 7 of their last 8 road games against Eastern opponents
- The Toronto Raptors have won the first quarter in each of their last 5 home games
- Toronto have consistently outperformed Indiana at home in recent matchups
- WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD IND 13 39 10-18 3-21 TOR 31 22 15-12 16-10 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. IND 110.7 118.4 -7.7 229.1 TOR 114.0 112.4 +1.6 226.4 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT TOR UNDER TOR -9.0 225.0 122-104 Player Trends
- Pascal Siakam has recorded 4+ assists in 11 of his last 12 appearances
- Pascal Siakam has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 8 road appearances against Eastern opponents
- Scottie Barnes has recorded 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 appearances against the Pacers
- Immanuel Quickley has scored 15+ points in each of his last 8 appearances against teams that held a losing record
- RJ Barrett has recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 6 appearances against the Pacers
PICK – UNDER 225.0 TOTAL POINTS
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LA CLIPPERS @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Odds: LAC $3.50 / MIN $1.32Team Trends
- Eight of the last nine games between the Los Angeles Clippers and Minnesota Timberwolves have gone UNDER the total points line
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 9 of their last 10 games against the Clippers
- Minnesota have covered the line in 6 of their last 7 games following a home loss
- The Timberwolves have been dominant at home recently against Western opponents
- Matchups between these teams have consistently leaned toward lower-scoring outcomes
WIN/LOSS
TEAM W L HOME ROAD LAC 24 27 13-11 11-16 MIN 32 21 17-9 15-12 SEASON POINTS +/-
TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOT.AV. LAC 112.3 113.1 -0.8 225.4 MIN 119.5 114.8 +4.7 234.3 PICKS ATS
SPREAD POINTS RESULT MIN OVER LAC -8.5 223.5 115-96 Player Trends
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Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) has scored 30+ points in each of his last 4 games
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Donte DiVincenzo (Timberwolves) has made 3+ three-pointers in 13 of the last 14 home games
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Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves) has recorded 12+ rebounds in 7 of his last 8 home games against the Clippers
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Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves) has scored 15+ points in 4 of the last 5 games
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Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) has recorded 4+ assists in each of the last 6 games
PICK – OVER 223.5 TOTAL POINTS
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