DALLAS MAVERICKS @ WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
TEAM TRENDS
- The Wizards have lost 32 of their last 33 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Each of the Mavericks’ last 10 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVERS.
- The Wizards have failed to cover the line in each of their last 7 games.
- The Mavericks have lost the first half in 9 of their last 10 games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| DAL | 2 | 7 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| WSH | 1 | 8 | 0-4 | 1-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| DAL | 106.0 | 114.2 | -8.2 | 220.2 |
| WSH | 112.1 | 130.3 | -18.2 | 242.4 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| WSH | OVER | |
| +3.5 | 230.5 |
The Washington Wizards (1–6) are stuck in a brutal stretch, coming off a 148–114 blowout loss to Cleveland despite C.J. McCollum’s 25 points and six made threes. The Wizards have now dropped seven straight, struggling badly on defense while allowing 131.6 PPG, the most in the league. Their lone win this season came against these same Mavericks, a 117–107 victory in Dallas behind Kyshawn George’s breakout 34-point, 11-rebound, seven-three performance. With Bilal Coulibaly still sidelined, Washington will need another big night from George to snap the skid.
The Dallas Mavericks (2–5) continue to flounder without Anthony Davis, falling 118–104 to Memphis in their latest outing. Dallas has now lost seven straight with Davis out and owns a rough –15.5 net rating across those games, compared to –3.8 when he plays. The Mavs have struggled to find a consistent offensive rhythm, averaging 108.0 PPG on the season while conceding 118.0 PPG. Luka Dončić remains the heartbeat of the team, but he’ll need more help if Dallas is going to break out of its early funk.
PICK – OVER 230.5 TOTAL POINTS
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TORONTO RAPTORS @ PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
TEAM TRENDS
- The 76ers have failed to cover the line in each of their last 13 games as home favourites.
- The 76ers have lost 7 straight home games against Atlantic opponents.
- 14 of the 76ers’ last 15 home games as favourites against teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDERS.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| TOR | 5 | 4 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| PHI | 5 | 3 | 2-1 | 3-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| TOR | 119.2 | 115.7 | +3.5 | 234.9 |
| PHI | 123.3 | 119.3 | +4.0 | 242.6 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| TOR | OVER | |
| +4.5 | 237.5 |
The Philadelphia 76ers (5–1) return home looking to bounce back after a 132–121 loss to Cleveland. Tyrese Maxey stuffed the stat sheet with 27 points, seven rebounds, and nine assists, while Quentin Grimes added another 27, but the Sixers couldn’t overcome Joel Embiid’s absence due to load management. Embiid is set to return, and his impact will be key for a Philly squad averaging 129.3 PPG but still chasing its first divisional home win in seven tries.
The Toronto Raptors (5–3) come in on the rise after a 109–97 win over Atlanta, powered by balanced scoring and improved defense. Toronto’s four-game divisional win streak has been fueled by efficient play from Scottie Barnes and RJ Barrett, while the team’s offense is producing 121.5 PPG with a –3.5 differential. The Raptors swept last season’s four-game series against Philadelphia and will look to keep that momentum rolling on the road.
PICK – TORONTO +4.5
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LOS ANGELES LAKERS @ ATLANTA HAWKS
State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
TEAM TRENDS
- The Hawks have lost 14 of their last 15 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Lakers.
- Eight of the Lakers’ last nine games have gone OVERS.
- The Hawks have won the first half in each of their last six games.
- The Lakers have covered the line in seven of their last eight games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| LAL | 7 | 2 | 3-2 | 4-0 |
| ATL | 4 | 5 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| LAL | 119.6 | 116.6 | +3.0 | 236.2 |
| ATL | 114.4 | 116.4 | -2.0 | 230.8 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| LAL | OVER | |
| -3.5 | 231.5 |
The Atlanta Hawks (1–6) are trying to shake off a tough stretch after a 109–97 loss to Toronto, where Kristaps Porziņģis struggled mightily, shooting just 4-of-16 from the field. The Hawks have dropped four of their last five at home and continue to feel the absence of Trae Young, whose playmaking has been sorely missed. Atlanta is averaging 113.0 PPG but giving up 122.5 PPG, and their offense has lacked rhythm without their All-Star guard. The Hawks have, however, won each of their last five meetings against the Lakers at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers (4–2) roll into Atlanta with momentum after edging San Antonio 118–116. Luka Dončić was electric, finishing with 35 points, nine rebounds, 13 assists, and five steals—tying a career high—while Deandre Ayton added a 22-point, 10-rebound double-double. Los Angeles has now won five straight and is averaging 118.0 PPG, showing improved chemistry despite Austin Reaves remaining out. The Lakers’ defense still has room to tighten up (117.8 OPPG), but their offensive balance has them trending in the right direction.
PICK – LA LAKERS -3.5
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CHICAGO BULLS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
TEAM TRENDS
- The Bulls have covered the line in 13 of their last 14 games as road underdogs against opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Cavaliers have won 11 straight games against opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- Each of the Bulls’ last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVERS.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| CHI | 6 | 2 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
| CLE | 6 | 3 | 3-1 | 3-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| CHI | 119.1 | 116.9 | +2.2 | 236.0 |
| CLE | 119.9 | 114.7 | +5.2 | 234.6 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| CLE | UNDER | |
| -8.0 | 240.5 |
The Cleveland Cavaliers (6–1) are rolling into Saturday’s matchup on a three-game winning streak after a dominant 148–114 victory over Washington. Donovan Mitchell led the way with 24 points and four steals, while Jarrett Allen added 16 points and 14 rebounds. Cleveland has been firing on all cylinders offensively, averaging 119.0 PPG with a +6.2 point differential, and they’ve won six straight at home against Chicago dating back several seasons. Mitchell, who averaged 33.7 points against the Bulls last year, remains the centerpiece of Cleveland’s attack.
The Chicago Bulls (6–1) look to bounce back after a 126–110 loss to Milwaukee, where Josh Giddey tallied 16 points, seven rebounds, and 14 assists in another all-around effort. Chicago’s offense has been steady at 117.7 PPG, but its defense has wavered on the road, giving up 110.7 PPG overall and losing six straight divisional games away from home. The Bulls will be hoping their fast-paced attack can finally break Cleveland’s hold over them at Rocket Arena.
PICK – CLEVELAND -8.0
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PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS @ MIAMI HEAT
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
TEAM TRENDS
- The Trail Blazers have covered the line in 13 of their last 15 road games against Eastern opponents.
- The Heat have lost five of their last six home games against Western opponents.
- Six of the Heat’s last seven home games vs the Trail Blazers have gone OVERS.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| POR | 5 | 3 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| MIA | 5 | 4 | 3-0 | 2-4 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| POR | 120.4 | 117.8 | +2.6 | 238.2 |
| MIA | 122.8 | 116.6 | +6.2 | 239.4 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| POR | UNDER | |
| -2.5 | 240.5 |
The Heat (5–1) return to Kaseya Center looking to stay perfect at home after a 126–108 win over Charlotte. Jaime Jaquez Jr. flirted with a triple-double, posting 18 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists, while Norman Powell added 25 points with Bam Adebayo sidelined. Miami has been red-hot offensively, averaging 131.5 PPG with a +15.7 differential, and their 3–0 home start highlights just how dominant they’ve been in front of their fans. The Heat will look to keep that rhythm rolling as they host a feisty Portland squad.
Portland (5–3) come in with momentum after rallying from 22 points down to stun Oklahoma City 121–119. Deni Avdija led the charge with 26 points, 10 rebounds, and nine assists in one of the Blazers’ most impressive wins in recent memory. Portland’s offense has been sharp at 120.5 PPG, and their confidence is growing after snapping a brutal 16-game skid against the Thunder. With balanced scoring and improved rebounding, the Blazers will be aiming to hand Miami its first home loss of the season.
PICK – UNDER 240.5 TOTAL POINTS
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NEW ORLEANS PELICANS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
TEAM TRENDS
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the line in each of their last four road games against opponents on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Pelicans have lost 13 straight games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Five of the Spurs’ last six home games vs the Pelicans have gone UNDERS.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| NO | 2 | 6 | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| SA | 6 | 2 | 4-0 | 2-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| NO | 107.9 | 120.8 | -12.9 | 228.7 |
| SA | 118.3 | 109.6 | +8.7 | 227.9 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| SAS | UNDER | |
| -11.5 | 225.5 |
The San Antonio Spurs (7–0) are off to their best start in over two decades and will look to keep it rolling at home after a 121–110 win over Houston. Victor Wembanyama continued his strong form with 22 points, while Julian Champagnie added 22 points and four steals in an energetic performance. The Spurs have now won eight straight when Wembanyama scores 20 or more and rank among the league’s most balanced teams, averaging 121.0 PPG with a +16.5 differential. Adding to the excitement, De’Aaron Fox is set to make his season debut for San Antonio.
The New Orleans Pelicans (1–4) finally snapped a long road slump with a 101–99 win over Dallas, doing so without Zion Williamson and Jordan Poole, both of whom remain sidelined. The Pelicans showed grit defensively but have struggled to find consistent scoring, averaging 109.3 PPG while allowing 123.3 PPG this season. Their last matchup with San Antonio ended in a 120–116 defeat despite a strong team effort, and they’ll need another big performance from their supporting cast to stay competitive in this rematch.
PICK – UNDER 225.5 TOTAL POINTS
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INDIANA PACERS @ DENVER NUGGETS
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TEAM TRENDS
- The Pacers have failed to cover the line in each of their last seven games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Nuggets have won six straight home games.
- Each of the Pacers’ last four road games have gone UNDERS.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| IND | 1 | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| DEN | 6 | 2 | 5-0 | 1-2 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| IND | 111.6 | 119.5 | -7.9 | 231.1 |
| DEN | 125.1 | 112.4 | +12.7 | 237.5 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| DEN | OVER | |
| -11.5 | 233.5 |
The Denver Nuggets (3–1) close out their four-game homestand in great shape after cruising past Golden State 129–104. Nikola Jokić flirted with another triple-double, posting 26 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists on a stellar 12-of-15 shooting night, while Jamal Murray added 23 points and eight assists. Denver has now won six straight at Ball Arena and continues to look like one of the West’s most efficient teams, averaging 130.3 PPG with a +9.6 point differential. Jokić, who averaged 29.5 points and 16.0 assists against Indiana last season, remains the heartbeat of the offense.
The Indiana Pacers (0–6) head to Denver still chasing their first win of the season after a 112–103 home loss to Brooklyn. Pascal Siakam led the effort with 25 points, but Indiana’s defense continues to be a major concern, giving up 127.7 PPG, the second-worst mark in the league. The Pacers have also dropped six straight on the road and are desperate to find rhythm on both ends. Andrew Nembhard, who’s missed the past seven games, is questionable to return, which would be a much-needed boost to Indiana’s backcourt depth.
PICK – DENVER -11.5
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PHOENIX SUNS @ LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
TEAM TRENDS
- The Suns have lost each of their last 12 road games.
- The Clippers have seen each of their last five home games vs Suns go OVERS.
- The Suns have lost the first quarter in each of their last 11 road games.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM | W | L | HOME | ROAD |
| PHX | 4 | 5 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| LAC | 3 | 5 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
SEASON POINTS +/-
| TEAM | PPG | OPPG | DIFF | TOT.AV. |
| PHX | 116.7 | 118.2 | -1.5 | 234.9 |
| LAC | 110.5 | 115.1 | -4.6 | 225.6 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD | POINTS | RESULT |
| LAC | OVER | |
| -4.5 | 226.5 |
The Phoenix Suns (4–4) are looking to build on Thursday’s 115–102 win over the Clippers, their second straight victory and one powered by hot shooting from deep. Phoenix went 19-of-49 (38.8%) from three, with Jalen Green lighting it up in his Suns debut—dropping 29 points and six triples. Devin Booker added steady playmaking, while the team’s defense held the Clippers under 33% from beyond the arc. Despite that momentum, Phoenix still hasn’t won on the road since February, riding a 12-game road losing streak, and will hope to change that behind a confident, rejuvenated offense. Dillon Brooks is questionable to return.
The Los Angeles Clippers (3–5) return home looking for payback after Thursday’s loss, which saw Ivica Zubac lead the way with 23 points and 11 rebounds. The Clippers struggled to keep pace from deep, hitting just 10-of-31 from three, and their offense looked out of rhythm without Kawhi Leonard. James Harden, who missed the first meeting, is expected back, giving L.A. a needed scoring punch. The Clippers have been solid defensively overall, allowing 109.0 PPG, but will need more consistent perimeter shooting to end a two-game skid.
PICK – LA CLIPPERS -4.5
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