NBA – Tonight’s Playoff Picks & Trends – Mon, 26th May

nba western conference finals picks

*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

West Finals – Game 4 (Oklahoma City leads series 2-1)

TEAM & TOTALS TRENDS

  • Minnesota has won 10 of its last 11 home games.
  • 8 of the Timberwolves’ last 9 playoff home games have gone over 218.5 total points.
  • The Timberwolves have won the 1st half in 4 straight games as home underdogs.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the line in 6 straight road games.

WIN/LOSS

TEAM W L HOME ROAD
OKC 68 14 35-6 33-8
MIN 49 33 25-16 24-17

SEASON POINTS AVERAGE

TEAM PPG OPPG DIFF TOTAL
OKC 120.5 107.6 +12.9 228.1
MIN 114.3 109.3 +5.0 223.6

SEASON SERIES

DATE RESULT
Jan 1, 2025 MIN 105 @ OKC 113
Feb 14, 2025 OKC 101 @ MIN 116
Feb 24, 2025 OKC 130 @ MIN 123
Feb 25, 2025 MIN 131 @ OKC 128 (OT)
GAME 1 MIN 88 @ OKC 114
GAME 2 MIN 103 @ OKC 118
GAME 3 OKC 101 @ MIN 143

PICKS ATS

SPREAD POINTS RESULT
OKC OVER OKC
-2.5 218.5 128-126
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN

PLAYER TRENDS

  • Mike Conley has made 2+ threes in 3 straight home games.
  • Luguentz Dort has hit 2 threes in 3 straight playoff road games.
  • Mike Conley has 3+ rebounds in 6 straight games.
  • Anthony Edwards has 6+ assists in 5 of his last 6 vs. OKC.
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 8+ assists in 5 of his last 6 vs. Minnesota.
  • Julius Randle has 22+ points in 7 of his last 8 playoff home games.
  • Chet Holmgren has 15+ points in 5 straight road games after playing under 30 mins.
  • Anthony Edwards has 30+ points in 4 straight playoff games as a home underdog.
  • Naz Reid has 10+ points in 7 straight home games vs. OKC.
  • SGA has 31+ points in 5 of OKC’s last 6 games.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein has 6+ rebounds in 22 of his last 23 road games vs. conference teams.
  • Julius Randle has 8+ rebounds in 6 of his last 7 home games vs. OKC.
  • Naz Reid has 8+ rebounds in 7 straight games vs. the Thunder.
  • SGA has 2+ steals in 6 of his last 8 games.
  • Alex Caruso has 2+ steals in 5 of his last 7 games vs. Minnesota.

PREVIEW

The Timberwolves and Thunder will meet again at Target Center for Game 4 of the Western Finals, with OKC leading the series 2-1.

Minnesota responded in big fashion in Game 3, dominating the Thunder 143-101 to continue the trend of home teams winning each game in the series so far.

The Timberwolves were highly efficient inside the arc, shooting 62.5% (35-of-56) on two-point field goals, compared to the Thunder’s 50.0% (21-of-42). Minnesota also controlled the glass, out-rebounding Oklahoma City 50-31. Anthony Edwards led the charge with 30 points, 9 rebounds, and 5 threes on 12-of-17 shooting.

Minnesota has now won 15 straight games when Edwards shoots 55% or better from the field, and they hold a 5-1 record at home in these playoffs. The Thunder, meanwhile, are 3-3 on the road and will look to bounce back to avoid the series being tied heading back to Oklahoma City.

PICK – OVER 218.5 TOTAL POINTS

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