*These NBA tips and player prop picks are done the previous game day. Adjust selections should spreads and lineups change.
OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER @ DENVER NUGGETS
Ball Arena, Denver, CO
West Semifinals – Game 4 (Denver leads series 2-1)
TEAM & TOTALS TRENDS
- The Nuggets have won 5 of their last 6 home games vs. the Thunder.
- The Thunder have won the 1st half in each of their last 7 games vs. the Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have covered the line in 8 of their last 9 games as home underdogs vs. Western teams.
- Each of the Thunder’s last 7 games following overtime have gone over the total.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM |
W |
L |
HOME |
ROAD |
| OKC |
68 |
14 |
35-6 |
33-8 |
| DEN |
50 |
32 |
26-15 |
24-17 |
SEASON POINTS AVERAGE
| TEAM |
PPG |
OPPG |
DIFF |
TOTAL |
| OKC |
120.5 |
107.6 |
+12.9 |
228.1 |
| DEN |
120.8 |
116.9 |
+3.9 |
237.7 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE |
RESULT |
| Oct 25, 2024 |
OKC 102 @ DEN 87 |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
OKC 122 @ DEN 124 |
| Mar 10, 2025 |
DEN 103 @ OKC 127 |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
DEN 140 @ OKC 127 |
| GAME 1 |
DEN 121 @ OKC 119 |
| GAME 2 |
DEN 106 @ OKC 149 |
| GAME 3 |
OKC 104 @ DEN 113 (OT) |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD |
POINTS |
RESULT |
| DEN |
OVER |
OKC |
| +6.5 |
227.5 |
92-87 |
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN
PLAYER TRENDS
- Aaron Gordon has recorded 8+ rebounds in 6 straight home games vs. the Thunder.
- Aaron Gordon has made 2+ threes in 7 straight playoff games as a dog vs. Northwest teams.
- Jamal Murray has had 6+ assists in 8 of his last 9 home games.
- Jamal Murray has scored 21+ points in each of his last 6 home games as a dog vs. West teams.
- Jamal Murray has had 4+ rebounds in 7 straight games.
- Nikola Jokic has had 11+ assists in 6 of his last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Nikola Jokic has scored 30+ points in 7 of the Nuggets’ last 8 Game 4s.
- Nikola Jokic has recorded 12+ rebounds in each of the Nuggets’ last 4 home games vs. the Thunder.
- Michael Porter Jr. has made 2+ threes in 12 of his last 13 games vs. the Thunder.
- Michael Porter Jr. has scored 15+ in 6 of his last 7 home games vs. the Thunder.
- Michael Porter Jr. has recorded 6+ rebounds in each of his last 6 home games vs. the Thunder.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30+ in 7 of the Thunder’s last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has had 8+ assists in 4 of OKC’s last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
- Jalen Williams has scored 25+ in 4 of his last 5 road games.
- Jalen Williams has recorded 4+ assists in each of his last 13 road games.
- Chet Holmgren has scored 15+ in 7 of his last 8 road games.
- Chet Holmgren has recorded 10+ rebounds in each of OKC’s last 3 games at Ball Arena.
PICK – DENVER +6.5
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS @ INDIANA PACERS
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
East Semifinals – Game 4 (Indiana leads series 2-1)
TEAM & TOTALS TRENDS
- The Cavaliers have won 6 straight road games following a road win.
- The Pacers’ last 4 games as home underdogs have gone under the total.
- The road team has covered in each of the last 7 games between these teams.
WIN/LOSS
| TEAM |
W |
L |
HOME |
ROAD |
| CLE |
64 |
18 |
34-7 |
30-11 |
| IND |
50 |
32 |
29-11 |
21-21 |
SEASON POINTS AVERAGE
| TEAM |
PPG |
OPPG |
DIFF |
TOTAL |
| CLE |
121.9 |
112.4 |
+9.5 |
234.3 |
| IND |
117.4 |
115.1 |
+2.3 |
232.5 |
SEASON SERIES
| DATE |
RESULT |
| Jan 13, 2025 |
IND 108 @ CLE 93 |
| Jan 15, 2025 |
CLE 127 @ IND 117 |
| Apr 11, 2025 |
CLE 112 @ IND 114 |
| Apr 14, 2025 |
IND 126 @ CLE 118 (OT) |
| GAME 1 |
IND 121 @ CLE 112 |
| GAME 2 |
IND 120 @ CLE 119 |
| GAME 3 |
CLE 126 @ IND 104 |
PICKS ATS
| SPREAD |
POINTS |
RESULT |
| IND |
OVER |
IND |
| +5.5 |
230.5 |
129-109 |
NBA PLAYER PROP BETS - CLICK TO OPEN
PLAYER TRENDS
- De’Andre Hunter has scored 17+ in his last 7 road games after being held to single digits.
- Donovan Mitchell has hit 4+ threes in 6 straight road Conference Semifinal games.
- Max Strus has made 3+ threes in his last 5 road games vs. Central teams.
- Pascal Siakam has recorded 2+ assists in 14 straight playoff games as an underdog.
- Andrew Nembhard has had 4+ assists in 12 straight playoff home games.
- Tyrese Haliburton has had 10+ assists in 4 of his last 5 home games vs. Cleveland.
- Darius Garland has had 6+ assists in 6 of his last 7 road games vs. Indiana.
- Donovan Mitchell has had 4+ assists in 8 straight Game 4s.
- Jarrett Allen has scored 10+ in 10 straight games as a favorite vs. the Pacers.
- Donovan Mitchell has scored 35+ in 3 straight road games vs. Indiana.
- Aaron Nesmith has scored 16+ in 5 straight games after scoring under 10.
- Darius Garland has scored 21+ in 4 of his last 5 games.
- Bennedict Mathurin has scored 18+ in 6 straight games as a home dog vs. East teams.
- Max Strus has scored 20+ in each of his last 2 games.
- Donovan Mitchell has had 4+ rebounds in 9 straight games vs. winning teams.
- Aaron Nesmith has had 4+ rebounds in 11 straight as a dog vs. Central teams.
- Myles Turner has recorded 8+ rebounds in 3 of the Pacers’ last 4 games.
- Jarrett Allen has had 12 rebounds in 3 of Cleveland’s last 4 games.
- Evan Mobley has had 12+ boards in 3 of his last 4 vs. Indiana.
PICK – INDIANA +5.5
